Variability of ENSO teleconnections indices, and its impacts on Moroccan Agriculture

In Morocco, drought periods have become more frequent and severe due to climate change, which has had a substantial effect on freshwater supply and agricultural output. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the influence of climatic variability were the main subjects of the current study, whic...

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Main Authors: Peethani, Sujatha, Pathakoti, Mahesh, V, Mahalakshmi D., Kheir, Ahmed MS., Singh, Apoorva, Govind, Ajit
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Elsevier 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/173355
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author Peethani, Sujatha
Pathakoti, Mahesh
V, Mahalakshmi D.
Kheir, Ahmed MS.
Singh, Apoorva
Govind, Ajit
author_browse Govind, Ajit
Kheir, Ahmed MS.
Pathakoti, Mahesh
Peethani, Sujatha
Singh, Apoorva
V, Mahalakshmi D.
author_facet Peethani, Sujatha
Pathakoti, Mahesh
V, Mahalakshmi D.
Kheir, Ahmed MS.
Singh, Apoorva
Govind, Ajit
author_sort Peethani, Sujatha
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description In Morocco, drought periods have become more frequent and severe due to climate change, which has had a substantial effect on freshwater supply and agricultural output. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the influence of climatic variability were the main subjects of the current study, which made use of daily precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature data collected at 50 locations around the nation from 1990 to 2022. The study analysed Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) over Morocco to evaluate the impact of climate indices such as the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) on drought severity. It also investigated the changes in precipitation, temperature, and extreme event-related indices. Rainfall is used as a proxy for El Nino and La Nina, supported by a negative and significant correlation between Oceanic Nino Index (ONI) and rainfall. Attempted to understand the impact of the NAO on Morocco's agricultural production, particularly during the winter months. During negative NAO phases, winter temperatures can lead to reduced wheat yields by 35–45% during the El Niño years and decreased by 4–7% during the La Niña years compared to the actual yield. Relying on the NAO plays a crucial role in modulating the precipitation patterns, which implies that crop requires adequate soil moisture with no extreme temperature during the growing season in order to produce higher yield. ENSO events can indeed lead to these extreme conditions in selected locations, potentially impacting crop yields.
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spelling CGSpace1733552025-10-26T13:02:25Z Variability of ENSO teleconnections indices, and its impacts on Moroccan Agriculture Peethani, Sujatha Pathakoti, Mahesh V, Mahalakshmi D. Kheir, Ahmed MS. Singh, Apoorva Govind, Ajit climate resilience El Niño In Morocco, drought periods have become more frequent and severe due to climate change, which has had a substantial effect on freshwater supply and agricultural output. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the influence of climatic variability were the main subjects of the current study, which made use of daily precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature data collected at 50 locations around the nation from 1990 to 2022. The study analysed Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) over Morocco to evaluate the impact of climate indices such as the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) on drought severity. It also investigated the changes in precipitation, temperature, and extreme event-related indices. Rainfall is used as a proxy for El Nino and La Nina, supported by a negative and significant correlation between Oceanic Nino Index (ONI) and rainfall. Attempted to understand the impact of the NAO on Morocco's agricultural production, particularly during the winter months. During negative NAO phases, winter temperatures can lead to reduced wheat yields by 35–45% during the El Niño years and decreased by 4–7% during the La Niña years compared to the actual yield. Relying on the NAO plays a crucial role in modulating the precipitation patterns, which implies that crop requires adequate soil moisture with no extreme temperature during the growing season in order to produce higher yield. ENSO events can indeed lead to these extreme conditions in selected locations, potentially impacting crop yields. 2024-12 2025-02-22T01:40:23Z 2025-02-22T01:40:23Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/173355 en Open Access Elsevier Peethani, Sujatha, Mahesh Pathakoti, Ahmed MS Kheir, Apoorva Singh, and Ajit Govind. "Variability of ENSO teleconnections indices, and its impacts on moroccan agriculture." Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics 265 (2024): 106386. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2024.106386
spellingShingle climate resilience
El Niño
Peethani, Sujatha
Pathakoti, Mahesh
V, Mahalakshmi D.
Kheir, Ahmed MS.
Singh, Apoorva
Govind, Ajit
Variability of ENSO teleconnections indices, and its impacts on Moroccan Agriculture
title Variability of ENSO teleconnections indices, and its impacts on Moroccan Agriculture
title_full Variability of ENSO teleconnections indices, and its impacts on Moroccan Agriculture
title_fullStr Variability of ENSO teleconnections indices, and its impacts on Moroccan Agriculture
title_full_unstemmed Variability of ENSO teleconnections indices, and its impacts on Moroccan Agriculture
title_short Variability of ENSO teleconnections indices, and its impacts on Moroccan Agriculture
title_sort variability of enso teleconnections indices and its impacts on moroccan agriculture
topic climate resilience
El Niño
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/173355
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