Kenya tax model: Value added tax simulation analysis

Taxation can be used as a policy tool to influence economic behaviour, promote equity and achieve developmental goals. However, taxation can result in undesired outcomes if not well designed and implemented. Distortionary tax may adversely affect consumption, private sector investment (Adam and Beva...

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Autores principales: Shibia, Adan, Omune, Lensa, Mbuthia, Juneweenex, Diao, Xinshen, Oguso, Alex, Omwenga, Walter, Kiptoo, Elvis, Ali, Jecinta, Laichena, Joshua
Formato: Brief
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/172822
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author Shibia, Adan
Omune, Lensa
Mbuthia, Juneweenex
Diao, Xinshen
Oguso, Alex
Omwenga, Walter
Kiptoo, Elvis
Ali, Jecinta
Laichena, Joshua
author_browse Ali, Jecinta
Diao, Xinshen
Kiptoo, Elvis
Laichena, Joshua
Mbuthia, Juneweenex
Oguso, Alex
Omune, Lensa
Omwenga, Walter
Shibia, Adan
author_facet Shibia, Adan
Omune, Lensa
Mbuthia, Juneweenex
Diao, Xinshen
Oguso, Alex
Omwenga, Walter
Kiptoo, Elvis
Ali, Jecinta
Laichena, Joshua
author_sort Shibia, Adan
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Taxation can be used as a policy tool to influence economic behaviour, promote equity and achieve developmental goals. However, taxation can result in undesired outcomes if not well designed and implemented. Distortionary tax may adversely affect consumption, private sector investment (Adam and Bevan, 2014) and household welfare (de la Feria and Swistak, 2024). Kenya faces a similar trade-off between generating sufficient tax revenue to finance government programmes such as the Bottom-Up Economic Transformation Agenda (BETA) and mitigating potential adverse effects on domestic production and household welfare. The Value Added Tax (VAT) contributes about 30 per cent of Kenya’s total tax revenue (National Treasury, 2024). The average share of VAT to GDP for Kenya was 4.6 per cent between 2013/14 and 2023/24, comparable to that of East African Community (EAC) countries and Sub-Saharan African at 4.5 per cent (World Bank, 2024; East Africa Revenue Authorities Technical Committee, 2024), but lower than the 6.7 per cent for South Africa and the 5.2 per cent for lower-middle-income economies. VAT is a broad-based consumption tax, with tax incidence largely falling on the final consumers, and therefore any VAT policy changes have potential economy-wide implications. This is compounded by the fact that VAT is a regressive tax, meaning that low-income households spend a higher proportion of their income on vatable products compared to high income earners. The VAT in Kenya is currently imposed at a standard rate of 16 per cent, with certain essential goods, particularly primary agricultural produces, and services as VAT exempt or zero-rated.
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spelling CGSpace1728222025-02-06T22:28:04Z Kenya tax model: Value added tax simulation analysis Shibia, Adan Omune, Lensa Mbuthia, Juneweenex Diao, Xinshen Oguso, Alex Omwenga, Walter Kiptoo, Elvis Ali, Jecinta Laichena, Joshua taxes Value Added Tax economic behaviour welfare income Taxation can be used as a policy tool to influence economic behaviour, promote equity and achieve developmental goals. However, taxation can result in undesired outcomes if not well designed and implemented. Distortionary tax may adversely affect consumption, private sector investment (Adam and Bevan, 2014) and household welfare (de la Feria and Swistak, 2024). Kenya faces a similar trade-off between generating sufficient tax revenue to finance government programmes such as the Bottom-Up Economic Transformation Agenda (BETA) and mitigating potential adverse effects on domestic production and household welfare. The Value Added Tax (VAT) contributes about 30 per cent of Kenya’s total tax revenue (National Treasury, 2024). The average share of VAT to GDP for Kenya was 4.6 per cent between 2013/14 and 2023/24, comparable to that of East African Community (EAC) countries and Sub-Saharan African at 4.5 per cent (World Bank, 2024; East Africa Revenue Authorities Technical Committee, 2024), but lower than the 6.7 per cent for South Africa and the 5.2 per cent for lower-middle-income economies. VAT is a broad-based consumption tax, with tax incidence largely falling on the final consumers, and therefore any VAT policy changes have potential economy-wide implications. This is compounded by the fact that VAT is a regressive tax, meaning that low-income households spend a higher proportion of their income on vatable products compared to high income earners. The VAT in Kenya is currently imposed at a standard rate of 16 per cent, with certain essential goods, particularly primary agricultural produces, and services as VAT exempt or zero-rated. 2024 2025-02-05T21:13:43Z 2025-02-05T21:13:43Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/172822 en Open Access Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis Shibia, Adan; Omune, Lensa; Mbuthia, Juneweenex; Diao, Xinshen; Oguso, Alex; Omwenga, Walter; Kiptoo, Elvis; Ali, Jecinta; and Laichena, Joshua. 2024. Kenya tax model: Value added tax simulation analysis. KIPPRA Policy Brief 252. Nairobi, Kenya: Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis. https://repository.kippra.or.ke/handle/123456789/5257
spellingShingle taxes
Value Added Tax
economic behaviour
welfare
income
Shibia, Adan
Omune, Lensa
Mbuthia, Juneweenex
Diao, Xinshen
Oguso, Alex
Omwenga, Walter
Kiptoo, Elvis
Ali, Jecinta
Laichena, Joshua
Kenya tax model: Value added tax simulation analysis
title Kenya tax model: Value added tax simulation analysis
title_full Kenya tax model: Value added tax simulation analysis
title_fullStr Kenya tax model: Value added tax simulation analysis
title_full_unstemmed Kenya tax model: Value added tax simulation analysis
title_short Kenya tax model: Value added tax simulation analysis
title_sort kenya tax model value added tax simulation analysis
topic taxes
Value Added Tax
economic behaviour
welfare
income
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/172822
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