Linking risk and economic assessments in the analysis of plant pest regulations: the case of U.S. imports of Mexican avocados

This study compares the effects of importing fresh Mexican Hass avocados into the United States under three scenarios for mitigating pest risks. The analysis finds that Scenario 1, adherence to the U.S. phytosanitary rule of November 2004—which removed all seasonal and geographic restrictions on Mex...

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Autores principales: Peterson, Everett B., Orden, David
Formato: Informe técnico
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: United States Department of Agriculture 2006
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/172190
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author Peterson, Everett B.
Orden, David
author_browse Orden, David
Peterson, Everett B.
author_facet Peterson, Everett B.
Orden, David
author_sort Peterson, Everett B.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This study compares the effects of importing fresh Mexican Hass avocados into the United States under three scenarios for mitigating pest risks. The analysis finds that Scenario 1, adherence to the U.S. phytosanitary rule of November 2004—which removed all seasonal and geographic restrictions on Mexican avocados, while maintaining existing compliance procedures in Mexico—leads to low pest risks for U.S. producers and an estimated annual U.S. welfare gain of $72 million. In Scenario 2, if compliance measures specific to fruit fly control are eliminated along with seasonal and geographic restrictions, pest risks for U.S. producers remain low and there is an additional gain in net U.S. welfare of $1.7 million. Results for Scenario 3, which eliminates all control measures in Mexico, depends on the level of pest-risk estimated. With average risk, there is a gain in net U.S. welfare of about $8.5 million compared with eliminating only seasonal and geographic restrictions, but U.S. producers incur significant pest control costs. With maximum pest-risk estimates, the net gain in U.S. welfare is $16.2 million less than if only geographic and seasonal restrictions are eliminated, with larger pest control costs for U.S. producers and lower consumer welfare gains due to pest-related losses of U.S. avocados.
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spelling CGSpace1721902025-02-19T14:09:54Z Linking risk and economic assessments in the analysis of plant pest regulations: the case of U.S. imports of Mexican avocados Peterson, Everett B. Orden, David assessment risk imports risk assessment trade phytosanitary measures avocados pest control plant protection This study compares the effects of importing fresh Mexican Hass avocados into the United States under three scenarios for mitigating pest risks. The analysis finds that Scenario 1, adherence to the U.S. phytosanitary rule of November 2004—which removed all seasonal and geographic restrictions on Mexican avocados, while maintaining existing compliance procedures in Mexico—leads to low pest risks for U.S. producers and an estimated annual U.S. welfare gain of $72 million. In Scenario 2, if compliance measures specific to fruit fly control are eliminated along with seasonal and geographic restrictions, pest risks for U.S. producers remain low and there is an additional gain in net U.S. welfare of $1.7 million. Results for Scenario 3, which eliminates all control measures in Mexico, depends on the level of pest-risk estimated. With average risk, there is a gain in net U.S. welfare of about $8.5 million compared with eliminating only seasonal and geographic restrictions, but U.S. producers incur significant pest control costs. With maximum pest-risk estimates, the net gain in U.S. welfare is $16.2 million less than if only geographic and seasonal restrictions are eliminated, with larger pest control costs for U.S. producers and lower consumer welfare gains due to pest-related losses of U.S. avocados. 2006 2025-01-29T12:59:31Z 2025-01-29T12:59:31Z Report https://hdl.handle.net/10568/172190 en Limited Access United States Department of Agriculture Peterson, Everett B.; Orden, David. 2006. Linking risk and economic assessments in the analysis of plant pest regulations: the case of U.S. imports of Mexican avocados
spellingShingle assessment
risk
imports
risk assessment
trade
phytosanitary measures
avocados
pest control
plant protection
Peterson, Everett B.
Orden, David
Linking risk and economic assessments in the analysis of plant pest regulations: the case of U.S. imports of Mexican avocados
title Linking risk and economic assessments in the analysis of plant pest regulations: the case of U.S. imports of Mexican avocados
title_full Linking risk and economic assessments in the analysis of plant pest regulations: the case of U.S. imports of Mexican avocados
title_fullStr Linking risk and economic assessments in the analysis of plant pest regulations: the case of U.S. imports of Mexican avocados
title_full_unstemmed Linking risk and economic assessments in the analysis of plant pest regulations: the case of U.S. imports of Mexican avocados
title_short Linking risk and economic assessments in the analysis of plant pest regulations: the case of U.S. imports of Mexican avocados
title_sort linking risk and economic assessments in the analysis of plant pest regulations the case of u s imports of mexican avocados
topic assessment
risk
imports
risk assessment
trade
phytosanitary measures
avocados
pest control
plant protection
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/172190
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