Climate warming and water management adaptation for California

The ability of California's water supply system to adapt to long-term climatic and demographic changes is examined. Two climate warming and a historical climate scenario are examined with population and land use estimates for the year 2100 using a statewide economic-engineering optimization model of...

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Main Authors: Tanaka, Stacy K., Zhu, Tingju, Lund, Jay R., Howitt, Richard E., Jenkins, Marion W., Pulido, Manuel A., Tauber, Mélanie, Ritzema, Randall S., Ferreira, Inês C.
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Springer 2006
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/172143
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author Tanaka, Stacy K.
Zhu, Tingju
Lund, Jay R.
Howitt, Richard E.
Jenkins, Marion W.
Pulido, Manuel A.
Tauber, Mélanie
Ritzema, Randall S.
Ferreira, Inês C.
author_browse Ferreira, Inês C.
Howitt, Richard E.
Jenkins, Marion W.
Lund, Jay R.
Pulido, Manuel A.
Ritzema, Randall S.
Tanaka, Stacy K.
Tauber, Mélanie
Zhu, Tingju
author_facet Tanaka, Stacy K.
Zhu, Tingju
Lund, Jay R.
Howitt, Richard E.
Jenkins, Marion W.
Pulido, Manuel A.
Tauber, Mélanie
Ritzema, Randall S.
Ferreira, Inês C.
author_sort Tanaka, Stacy K.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The ability of California's water supply system to adapt to long-term climatic and demographic changes is examined. Two climate warming and a historical climate scenario are examined with population and land use estimates for the year 2100 using a statewide economic-engineering optimization model of water supply management. Methodologically, the results of this analysis indicate that for long-term climate change studies of complex systems, there is considerable value in including other major changes expected during a long-term time-frame (such as population changes), allowing the system to adapt to changes in conditions (a common feature of human societies), and representing the system in sufficient hydrologic and operational detail and breadth to allow significant adaptation. While the policy results of this study are preliminary, they point to a considerable engineering and economic ability of complex, diverse, and inter-tied systems to adapt to significant changes in climate and population. More specifically, California's water supply system appears physically capable of adapting to significant changes in climate and population, albeit at a significant cost. Such adaptation would entail large changes in the operation of California's large groundwater storage capacity, significant transfers of water among water users, and some adoption of new technologies
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spelling CGSpace1721432025-02-19T14:07:53Z Climate warming and water management adaptation for California Tanaka, Stacy K. Zhu, Tingju Lund, Jay R. Howitt, Richard E. Jenkins, Marion W. Pulido, Manuel A. Tauber, Mélanie Ritzema, Randall S. Ferreira, Inês C. water supply climate change demography population dynamics water management The ability of California's water supply system to adapt to long-term climatic and demographic changes is examined. Two climate warming and a historical climate scenario are examined with population and land use estimates for the year 2100 using a statewide economic-engineering optimization model of water supply management. Methodologically, the results of this analysis indicate that for long-term climate change studies of complex systems, there is considerable value in including other major changes expected during a long-term time-frame (such as population changes), allowing the system to adapt to changes in conditions (a common feature of human societies), and representing the system in sufficient hydrologic and operational detail and breadth to allow significant adaptation. While the policy results of this study are preliminary, they point to a considerable engineering and economic ability of complex, diverse, and inter-tied systems to adapt to significant changes in climate and population. More specifically, California's water supply system appears physically capable of adapting to significant changes in climate and population, albeit at a significant cost. Such adaptation would entail large changes in the operation of California's large groundwater storage capacity, significant transfers of water among water users, and some adoption of new technologies 2006-06 2025-01-29T12:59:25Z 2025-01-29T12:59:25Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/172143 en Limited Access Springer Tanaka, Stacy K.; Zhu, Tingju; Lund, Jay R.; Howitt, Richard E.; Jenkins, Marion W.; Pulido, Manuel A.; Tauber, Mélanie; Ritzema, Randall S.; Ferreira, Inês C. 2006. Climate warming and water management adaptation for California. Climatic Change 76: 361-387. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9079-5
spellingShingle water supply
climate change
demography
population dynamics
water management
Tanaka, Stacy K.
Zhu, Tingju
Lund, Jay R.
Howitt, Richard E.
Jenkins, Marion W.
Pulido, Manuel A.
Tauber, Mélanie
Ritzema, Randall S.
Ferreira, Inês C.
Climate warming and water management adaptation for California
title Climate warming and water management adaptation for California
title_full Climate warming and water management adaptation for California
title_fullStr Climate warming and water management adaptation for California
title_full_unstemmed Climate warming and water management adaptation for California
title_short Climate warming and water management adaptation for California
title_sort climate warming and water management adaptation for california
topic water supply
climate change
demography
population dynamics
water management
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/172143
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