Why projections on China's future food supply and demand differ
This article analyses the macroeconomic assumptions, demand and supply parameters, and structures of the models used in projecting China's future food supply, demand and trade. Projections vary greatly, from China being self‐sufficient in grain to being a net importer of 369 million metric tons of g...
| Autores principales: | , |
|---|---|
| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Wiley
1997
|
| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/171969 |
| _version_ | 1855522716425125888 |
|---|---|
| author | Fan, Shenggen Agcaoili-Sombilla, Mercedita C. |
| author_browse | Agcaoili-Sombilla, Mercedita C. Fan, Shenggen |
| author_facet | Fan, Shenggen Agcaoili-Sombilla, Mercedita C. |
| author_sort | Fan, Shenggen |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | This article analyses the macroeconomic assumptions, demand and supply parameters, and structures of the models used in projecting China's future food supply, demand and trade. Projections vary greatly, from China being self‐sufficient in grain to being a net importer of 369 million metric tons of grain in 2030. The differences stem mainly from the approaches chosen to model China's grain production and, in particular, the combined effects of land decline and yield growth. The article also points out improvements needed in future work on modelling China's grain economy, which include accounting for the links between agriculture and other sectors, technical change in the livestock industry and infrastructure constraints on grain imports. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace171969 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 1997 |
| publishDateRange | 1997 |
| publishDateSort | 1997 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| publisherStr | Wiley |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1719692025-02-19T14:00:46Z Why projections on China's future food supply and demand differ Fan, Shenggen Agcaoili-Sombilla, Mercedita C. food supply forecasting food consumption This article analyses the macroeconomic assumptions, demand and supply parameters, and structures of the models used in projecting China's future food supply, demand and trade. Projections vary greatly, from China being self‐sufficient in grain to being a net importer of 369 million metric tons of grain in 2030. The differences stem mainly from the approaches chosen to model China's grain production and, in particular, the combined effects of land decline and yield growth. The article also points out improvements needed in future work on modelling China's grain economy, which include accounting for the links between agriculture and other sectors, technical change in the livestock industry and infrastructure constraints on grain imports. 1997-06 2025-01-29T12:59:04Z 2025-01-29T12:59:04Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/171969 en Limited Access Wiley Fan, Shenggen; Agcaoili-Sombilla, Mercedita C. 1997. Why projections on China's future food supply and demand differ. Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 41(2): 169-190. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8489.00009 |
| spellingShingle | food supply forecasting food consumption Fan, Shenggen Agcaoili-Sombilla, Mercedita C. Why projections on China's future food supply and demand differ |
| title | Why projections on China's future food supply and demand differ |
| title_full | Why projections on China's future food supply and demand differ |
| title_fullStr | Why projections on China's future food supply and demand differ |
| title_full_unstemmed | Why projections on China's future food supply and demand differ |
| title_short | Why projections on China's future food supply and demand differ |
| title_sort | why projections on china s future food supply and demand differ |
| topic | food supply forecasting food consumption |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/171969 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT fanshenggen whyprojectionsonchinasfuturefoodsupplyanddemanddiffer AT agcaoilisombillamerceditac whyprojectionsonchinasfuturefoodsupplyanddemanddiffer |