Climate change, urbanization, and optimal long-term floodplain protection
This paper examines levee-protected floodplains and economic aspects of adaptation to increasing long-term flood risk due to urbanization and climate change. The lower American River floodplain in the Sacramento, California, metropolitan area is used as an illustration to explore the course of optim...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
American Geophysical Union
2007
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/171812 |
| _version_ | 1855543424378208256 |
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| author | Zhu, Tingju Lund, Jay R. Jenkins, Marion W. Marques, G. F. Ritzema, Randall S. |
| author_browse | Jenkins, Marion W. Lund, Jay R. Marques, G. F. Ritzema, Randall S. Zhu, Tingju |
| author_facet | Zhu, Tingju Lund, Jay R. Jenkins, Marion W. Marques, G. F. Ritzema, Randall S. |
| author_sort | Zhu, Tingju |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | This paper examines levee-protected floodplains and economic aspects of adaptation to increasing long-term flood risk due to urbanization and climate change. The lower American River floodplain in the Sacramento, California, metropolitan area is used as an illustration to explore the course of optimal floodplain protection decisions over long periods. A dynamic programming model is developed and suggests economically desirable adaptations for floodplain levee systems given simultaneous changes in flood climate and urban land values. Economic engineering optimization analyses of several climate change and urbanization scenarios are made. Sensitivity analyses consider assumptions about future values of floodplain land and damageable property along with the discount rate. Methodological insights and policy lessons are drawn from modeling results, reflecting the joint effects and relationships that climate, economic costs, and regional economic growth can have on floodplain levee planning decisions. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace171812 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2007 |
| publishDateRange | 2007 |
| publishDateSort | 2007 |
| publisher | American Geophysical Union |
| publisherStr | American Geophysical Union |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1718122025-01-29T12:58:47Z Climate change, urbanization, and optimal long-term floodplain protection Zhu, Tingju Lund, Jay R. Jenkins, Marion W. Marques, G. F. Ritzema, Randall S. climate change urbanization dynamic programming embankments flooding This paper examines levee-protected floodplains and economic aspects of adaptation to increasing long-term flood risk due to urbanization and climate change. The lower American River floodplain in the Sacramento, California, metropolitan area is used as an illustration to explore the course of optimal floodplain protection decisions over long periods. A dynamic programming model is developed and suggests economically desirable adaptations for floodplain levee systems given simultaneous changes in flood climate and urban land values. Economic engineering optimization analyses of several climate change and urbanization scenarios are made. Sensitivity analyses consider assumptions about future values of floodplain land and damageable property along with the discount rate. Methodological insights and policy lessons are drawn from modeling results, reflecting the joint effects and relationships that climate, economic costs, and regional economic growth can have on floodplain levee planning decisions. 2007-06 2025-01-29T12:58:47Z 2025-01-29T12:58:47Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/171812 en Limited Access American Geophysical Union Zhu, Tingju; Lund, Jay R.; Jenkins, Marion W.; Marques, G. F.; Ritzema, Randall S. 2007. Climate change, urbanization, and optimal long-term floodplain protection. Water Resources Research 43 (6): W06421. https://doi.org/10.1029/2004WR003516 |
| spellingShingle | climate change urbanization dynamic programming embankments flooding Zhu, Tingju Lund, Jay R. Jenkins, Marion W. Marques, G. F. Ritzema, Randall S. Climate change, urbanization, and optimal long-term floodplain protection |
| title | Climate change, urbanization, and optimal long-term floodplain protection |
| title_full | Climate change, urbanization, and optimal long-term floodplain protection |
| title_fullStr | Climate change, urbanization, and optimal long-term floodplain protection |
| title_full_unstemmed | Climate change, urbanization, and optimal long-term floodplain protection |
| title_short | Climate change, urbanization, and optimal long-term floodplain protection |
| title_sort | climate change urbanization and optimal long term floodplain protection |
| topic | climate change urbanization dynamic programming embankments flooding |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/171812 |
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