Sources of increased variability in world cereal production since the 1960s

Recent growth in world cereal production has been accompanied by a more than proportional increase in the standard deviation of production. This study applies variance decomposition procedures to data on crop production by major geographical regions of the world to analyse the sources of this increa...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Hazell, Peter B. R.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Wiley 1985
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/170510
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author Hazell, Peter B. R.
author_browse Hazell, Peter B. R.
author_facet Hazell, Peter B. R.
author_sort Hazell, Peter B. R.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Recent growth in world cereal production has been accompanied by a more than proportional increase in the standard deviation of production. This study applies variance decomposition procedures to data on crop production by major geographical regions of the world to analyse the sources of this increased instability. It is found that the increase in aggregate production variability is predominantly due to increased yield variability and to a simultaneous loss in offsetting patterns of variation in yields between crops and regions. These changes are probably associated with the sharp increase in the variability of world cereal and oil prices since the early 1970s and with the more widespread adoption of improved seed/fertiliser intensive technologies.
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spelling CGSpace1705102025-01-29T12:57:02Z Sources of increased variability in world cereal production since the 1960s Hazell, Peter B. R. grain yields Recent growth in world cereal production has been accompanied by a more than proportional increase in the standard deviation of production. This study applies variance decomposition procedures to data on crop production by major geographical regions of the world to analyse the sources of this increased instability. It is found that the increase in aggregate production variability is predominantly due to increased yield variability and to a simultaneous loss in offsetting patterns of variation in yields between crops and regions. These changes are probably associated with the sharp increase in the variability of world cereal and oil prices since the early 1970s and with the more widespread adoption of improved seed/fertiliser intensive technologies. 1985-05 2025-01-29T12:57:02Z 2025-01-29T12:57:02Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/170510 en Limited Access Wiley Hazell, Peter B. R. 1985. Sources of increased variability in world cereal production since the 1960s. Journal of Agricultural Economics 36(2): 145-159. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1477-9552.1985.tb00162.x
spellingShingle grain
yields
Hazell, Peter B. R.
Sources of increased variability in world cereal production since the 1960s
title Sources of increased variability in world cereal production since the 1960s
title_full Sources of increased variability in world cereal production since the 1960s
title_fullStr Sources of increased variability in world cereal production since the 1960s
title_full_unstemmed Sources of increased variability in world cereal production since the 1960s
title_short Sources of increased variability in world cereal production since the 1960s
title_sort sources of increased variability in world cereal production since the 1960s
topic grain
yields
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/170510
work_keys_str_mv AT hazellpeterbr sourcesofincreasedvariabilityinworldcerealproductionsincethe1960s