The Ocean System Pathways (OSPs): a new scenario and simulation framework to investigate the future of the world fisheries
The Fisheries and Marine Ecosystems Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) has dedicated a decade to unravelling the future impacts of climate change on marine animal biomass. FishMIP is now preparing a new simulation protocol to assess the combined effects of both climate and socio-economic chan...
| Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Formato: | Preprint |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Authorea
2025
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/170221 |
| _version_ | 1855533890485092352 |
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| author | Maury, Olivier Tittensor, Derek Eddy, Tyler Allison, Edward (Eddie) Bari, Tarub Barrier, Nicolas Campling, Liam Cheung, William Frieler, Katja Fulton, Beth Guillotreau, Patrice Heneghan, Ryan Lam, Vicky Leclere, David Lengaigne, Matthieu Lotze-Campen, Hermann Novaglio, Camilla Ortega-Cisneros, Kelly Schewe, Jacob Shin, Yunne-Jai Sloterdijk, Hans Squires, Dale Sumaila, Ussif Rashid Tidd, Alexander Ruijven, Bas Blanchard, Julia L. |
| author_browse | Allison, Edward (Eddie) Bari, Tarub Barrier, Nicolas Blanchard, Julia L. Campling, Liam Cheung, William Eddy, Tyler Frieler, Katja Fulton, Beth Guillotreau, Patrice Heneghan, Ryan Lam, Vicky Leclere, David Lengaigne, Matthieu Lotze-Campen, Hermann Maury, Olivier Novaglio, Camilla Ortega-Cisneros, Kelly Ruijven, Bas Schewe, Jacob Shin, Yunne-Jai Sloterdijk, Hans Squires, Dale Sumaila, Ussif Rashid Tidd, Alexander Tittensor, Derek |
| author_facet | Maury, Olivier Tittensor, Derek Eddy, Tyler Allison, Edward (Eddie) Bari, Tarub Barrier, Nicolas Campling, Liam Cheung, William Frieler, Katja Fulton, Beth Guillotreau, Patrice Heneghan, Ryan Lam, Vicky Leclere, David Lengaigne, Matthieu Lotze-Campen, Hermann Novaglio, Camilla Ortega-Cisneros, Kelly Schewe, Jacob Shin, Yunne-Jai Sloterdijk, Hans Squires, Dale Sumaila, Ussif Rashid Tidd, Alexander Ruijven, Bas Blanchard, Julia L. |
| author_sort | Maury, Olivier |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | The Fisheries and Marine Ecosystems Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) has dedicated a decade to
unravelling the future impacts of climate change on marine animal biomass. FishMIP is now preparing a new simulation protocol to assess the combined effects of both climate and socio-economic changes on marine fisheries and ecosystems. This protocol will be based on the Ocean System Pathways (OSPs), a new set of socio-economic scenarios derived from the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) widely used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The OSPs extend the SSPs to the economic, governance, management and socio-cultural contexts of large pelagic, small pelagic, benthic-demersal and emerging fisheries, as well as mariculture. Comprising qualitative storylines, quantitative model driver pathways and a plug-in-model framework, the OSPs will enable a heterogeneous suite of ecosystem models to simulate fisheries dynamics in a standardized way. This paper introduces this OSP framework and the simulation protocol that FishMIP will implement to explore future ocean social-ecological systems holistically, with a focus on critical issues such as climate justice, global food security, equitable fisheries, aquaculture development, fisheries management, and biodiversity conservation. Ultimately, the OSP framework is tailored to contribute to the synthesis work of the IPCC. It also aims to inform ongoing policy processes within the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). Finally, it seeks to support the synthesis work of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES), with a particular focus on studying pathways relevant for the United Nations Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD). |
| format | Preprint |
| id | CGSpace170221 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| publishDateRange | 2025 |
| publishDateSort | 2025 |
| publisher | Authorea |
| publisherStr | Authorea |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1702212025-12-08T09:54:28Z The Ocean System Pathways (OSPs): a new scenario and simulation framework to investigate the future of the world fisheries Maury, Olivier Tittensor, Derek Eddy, Tyler Allison, Edward (Eddie) Bari, Tarub Barrier, Nicolas Campling, Liam Cheung, William Frieler, Katja Fulton, Beth Guillotreau, Patrice Heneghan, Ryan Lam, Vicky Leclere, David Lengaigne, Matthieu Lotze-Campen, Hermann Novaglio, Camilla Ortega-Cisneros, Kelly Schewe, Jacob Shin, Yunne-Jai Sloterdijk, Hans Squires, Dale Sumaila, Ussif Rashid Tidd, Alexander Ruijven, Bas Blanchard, Julia L. climate change biodiversity conservation fish ocean system pathways The Fisheries and Marine Ecosystems Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) has dedicated a decade to unravelling the future impacts of climate change on marine animal biomass. FishMIP is now preparing a new simulation protocol to assess the combined effects of both climate and socio-economic changes on marine fisheries and ecosystems. This protocol will be based on the Ocean System Pathways (OSPs), a new set of socio-economic scenarios derived from the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) widely used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The OSPs extend the SSPs to the economic, governance, management and socio-cultural contexts of large pelagic, small pelagic, benthic-demersal and emerging fisheries, as well as mariculture. Comprising qualitative storylines, quantitative model driver pathways and a plug-in-model framework, the OSPs will enable a heterogeneous suite of ecosystem models to simulate fisheries dynamics in a standardized way. This paper introduces this OSP framework and the simulation protocol that FishMIP will implement to explore future ocean social-ecological systems holistically, with a focus on critical issues such as climate justice, global food security, equitable fisheries, aquaculture development, fisheries management, and biodiversity conservation. Ultimately, the OSP framework is tailored to contribute to the synthesis work of the IPCC. It also aims to inform ongoing policy processes within the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). Finally, it seeks to support the synthesis work of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES), with a particular focus on studying pathways relevant for the United Nations Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD). 2025-01-28T14:12:19Z 2025-01-28T14:12:19Z Preprint https://hdl.handle.net/10568/170221 en Open Access Authorea Olivier Maury, Derek Tittensor, Tyler Eddy, Edward (Eddie) Allison, Tarub Bari, Nicolas Barrier, Liam Campling, William Cheung, Katja Frieler, Beth Fulton, Patrice Guillotreau, Ryan Heneghan, Vicky Lam, David Leclere, Matthieu Lengaigne, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Camilla Novaglio, Kelly Ortega-Cisneros, Jacob Schewe, Yunne-Jai Shin, Hans Sloterdijk, Dale Squires, Ussif Rashid Sumaila, Alexander Tidd, Bas Ruijven, Julia L. Blanchard. (16/5/2024). The Ocean System Pathways (OSPs): a new scenario and simulation framework to investigate the future of the world fisheries. The Earth And Space Open Archive. |
| spellingShingle | climate change biodiversity conservation fish ocean system pathways Maury, Olivier Tittensor, Derek Eddy, Tyler Allison, Edward (Eddie) Bari, Tarub Barrier, Nicolas Campling, Liam Cheung, William Frieler, Katja Fulton, Beth Guillotreau, Patrice Heneghan, Ryan Lam, Vicky Leclere, David Lengaigne, Matthieu Lotze-Campen, Hermann Novaglio, Camilla Ortega-Cisneros, Kelly Schewe, Jacob Shin, Yunne-Jai Sloterdijk, Hans Squires, Dale Sumaila, Ussif Rashid Tidd, Alexander Ruijven, Bas Blanchard, Julia L. The Ocean System Pathways (OSPs): a new scenario and simulation framework to investigate the future of the world fisheries |
| title | The Ocean System Pathways (OSPs): a new scenario and simulation framework to investigate the future of the world fisheries |
| title_full | The Ocean System Pathways (OSPs): a new scenario and simulation framework to investigate the future of the world fisheries |
| title_fullStr | The Ocean System Pathways (OSPs): a new scenario and simulation framework to investigate the future of the world fisheries |
| title_full_unstemmed | The Ocean System Pathways (OSPs): a new scenario and simulation framework to investigate the future of the world fisheries |
| title_short | The Ocean System Pathways (OSPs): a new scenario and simulation framework to investigate the future of the world fisheries |
| title_sort | ocean system pathways osps a new scenario and simulation framework to investigate the future of the world fisheries |
| topic | climate change biodiversity conservation fish ocean system pathways |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/170221 |
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