Assessing the individual and cumulative impacts of drivers in food systems transformation through a multi-model ensemble paradigm

The global food system faces a triple challenge: ensuring accessible healthy diets for all while promoting fair production, processing, and distribution, within safe planetary boundaries. Unfortunately, it significantly contributes to transgressing these boundaries. Intensified production driven by...

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Autores principales: Sundiang, Marina, Oliveira, Thais Diniz, Mason-D'Croz, Daniel, Gibson, Matthew, Beier, Felicitas, Benavidez, Lauren, Chepeliev, Maksym, Doelman, Jonathan, Dunston, Shahnila, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Hasegawa, Tomoko, Havlik, Petr, Hristov, Jordan, Jägermeyr, Jonas, Kozicka, Marta, Kuiper, Marijke, de Lange, Thijs, Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Chen, David Meng-Chuen, Mishra, Abhijeet, Nelson, Gerald C., Perez Dominguez, Ignacio, Popp, Alexander, Sands, Ronald, Springmann, Marco, Stehfest, Elke, Sulser, Timothy B., Takahashi, Kiyoshi, Tassinari, Gianmaria, Thom, Ferike, Thornton, Philip K., Tommey, Jake, Tsuchiya, Kazuaki, van Zeist, Willem-Jan, van Meijl, Hans, van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique, Van Vuuren, Detlef, Weindl, Isabelle, Wiebe, Keith D., Herrero, Mario
Formato: Conference Paper
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Purdue University 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/169872
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author Sundiang, Marina
Oliveira, Thais Diniz
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
Gibson, Matthew
Beier, Felicitas
Benavidez, Lauren
Chepeliev, Maksym
Doelman, Jonathan
Dunston, Shahnila
Fujimori, Shinichiro
Hasegawa, Tomoko
Havlik, Petr
Hristov, Jordan
Jägermeyr, Jonas
Kozicka, Marta
Kuiper, Marijke
de Lange, Thijs
Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
Chen, David Meng-Chuen
Mishra, Abhijeet
Nelson, Gerald C.
Perez Dominguez, Ignacio
Popp, Alexander
Sands, Ronald
Springmann, Marco
Stehfest, Elke
Sulser, Timothy B.
Takahashi, Kiyoshi
Tassinari, Gianmaria
Thom, Ferike
Thornton, Philip K.
Tommey, Jake
Tsuchiya, Kazuaki
van Zeist, Willem-Jan
van Meijl, Hans
van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique
Van Vuuren, Detlef
Weindl, Isabelle
Wiebe, Keith D.
Herrero, Mario
author_browse Beier, Felicitas
Benavidez, Lauren
Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon
Chen, David Meng-Chuen
Chepeliev, Maksym
Doelman, Jonathan
Dunston, Shahnila
Fujimori, Shinichiro
Gibson, Matthew
Hasegawa, Tomoko
Havlik, Petr
Herrero, Mario
Hristov, Jordan
Jägermeyr, Jonas
Kozicka, Marta
Kuiper, Marijke
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
Mishra, Abhijeet
Nelson, Gerald C.
Oliveira, Thais Diniz
Perez Dominguez, Ignacio
Popp, Alexander
Sands, Ronald
Springmann, Marco
Stehfest, Elke
Sulser, Timothy B.
Sundiang, Marina
Takahashi, Kiyoshi
Tassinari, Gianmaria
Thom, Ferike
Thornton, Philip K.
Tommey, Jake
Tsuchiya, Kazuaki
Van Vuuren, Detlef
Weindl, Isabelle
Wiebe, Keith D.
de Lange, Thijs
van Meijl, Hans
van Zeist, Willem-Jan
van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique
author_facet Sundiang, Marina
Oliveira, Thais Diniz
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
Gibson, Matthew
Beier, Felicitas
Benavidez, Lauren
Chepeliev, Maksym
Doelman, Jonathan
Dunston, Shahnila
Fujimori, Shinichiro
Hasegawa, Tomoko
Havlik, Petr
Hristov, Jordan
Jägermeyr, Jonas
Kozicka, Marta
Kuiper, Marijke
de Lange, Thijs
Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
Chen, David Meng-Chuen
Mishra, Abhijeet
Nelson, Gerald C.
Perez Dominguez, Ignacio
Popp, Alexander
Sands, Ronald
Springmann, Marco
Stehfest, Elke
Sulser, Timothy B.
Takahashi, Kiyoshi
Tassinari, Gianmaria
Thom, Ferike
Thornton, Philip K.
Tommey, Jake
Tsuchiya, Kazuaki
van Zeist, Willem-Jan
van Meijl, Hans
van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique
Van Vuuren, Detlef
Weindl, Isabelle
Wiebe, Keith D.
Herrero, Mario
author_sort Sundiang, Marina
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The global food system faces a triple challenge: ensuring accessible healthy diets for all while promoting fair production, processing, and distribution, within safe planetary boundaries. Unfortunately, it significantly contributes to transgressing these boundaries. Intensified production driven by population growth depletes resources, exacerbates biodiversity loss, and worsens the climate crisis. Despite producing enough for 10 billion people, distribution remains uneven, leaving one in ten food insecure. Existing consumption patterns reinforce this imbalance. Failure to act risks exacerbating food inequality, malnutrition, and crossing irreversible tipping points. Leveraging global economic models, we find that a comprehensive approach combining productivity gains and diet shifts maximizes environmental benefits. Implementing these interventions together can meet agricultural demands without further land conversion or increased emissions. Combining this with climate change mitigation and land-use regulations maximizes environmental benefits and offsets food affordability challenges associated with ambitious mitigation efforts.
format Conference Paper
id CGSpace169872
institution CGIAR Consortium
language Inglés
publishDate 2024
publishDateRange 2024
publishDateSort 2024
publisher Purdue University
publisherStr Purdue University
record_format dspace
spelling CGSpace1698722025-12-08T09:54:28Z Assessing the individual and cumulative impacts of drivers in food systems transformation through a multi-model ensemble paradigm Sundiang, Marina Oliveira, Thais Diniz Mason-D'Croz, Daniel Gibson, Matthew Beier, Felicitas Benavidez, Lauren Chepeliev, Maksym Doelman, Jonathan Dunston, Shahnila Fujimori, Shinichiro Hasegawa, Tomoko Havlik, Petr Hristov, Jordan Jägermeyr, Jonas Kozicka, Marta Kuiper, Marijke de Lange, Thijs Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon Lotze-Campen, Hermann Chen, David Meng-Chuen Mishra, Abhijeet Nelson, Gerald C. Perez Dominguez, Ignacio Popp, Alexander Sands, Ronald Springmann, Marco Stehfest, Elke Sulser, Timothy B. Takahashi, Kiyoshi Tassinari, Gianmaria Thom, Ferike Thornton, Philip K. Tommey, Jake Tsuchiya, Kazuaki van Zeist, Willem-Jan van Meijl, Hans van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique Van Vuuren, Detlef Weindl, Isabelle Wiebe, Keith D. Herrero, Mario food systems models globalization climate change The global food system faces a triple challenge: ensuring accessible healthy diets for all while promoting fair production, processing, and distribution, within safe planetary boundaries. Unfortunately, it significantly contributes to transgressing these boundaries. Intensified production driven by population growth depletes resources, exacerbates biodiversity loss, and worsens the climate crisis. Despite producing enough for 10 billion people, distribution remains uneven, leaving one in ten food insecure. Existing consumption patterns reinforce this imbalance. Failure to act risks exacerbating food inequality, malnutrition, and crossing irreversible tipping points. Leveraging global economic models, we find that a comprehensive approach combining productivity gains and diet shifts maximizes environmental benefits. Implementing these interventions together can meet agricultural demands without further land conversion or increased emissions. Combining this with climate change mitigation and land-use regulations maximizes environmental benefits and offsets food affordability challenges associated with ambitious mitigation efforts. 2024-06-07 2025-01-24T19:51:38Z 2025-01-24T19:51:38Z Conference Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/169872 en Open Access Purdue University Sundiang, Marina; Oliveira, Thais Diniz; Mason-D'Croz, Daniel; Gibson, Matthew; Beier, Felicitas; et al. 2024. Assessing the individual and cumulative impacts of drivers in food systems transformation through a multi-model ensemble paradigm. Presented during the 27th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis at Fort Collins in Colorado, USA. https://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/resources/res_display.asp?RecordID=7330
spellingShingle food systems
models
globalization
climate change
Sundiang, Marina
Oliveira, Thais Diniz
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
Gibson, Matthew
Beier, Felicitas
Benavidez, Lauren
Chepeliev, Maksym
Doelman, Jonathan
Dunston, Shahnila
Fujimori, Shinichiro
Hasegawa, Tomoko
Havlik, Petr
Hristov, Jordan
Jägermeyr, Jonas
Kozicka, Marta
Kuiper, Marijke
de Lange, Thijs
Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
Chen, David Meng-Chuen
Mishra, Abhijeet
Nelson, Gerald C.
Perez Dominguez, Ignacio
Popp, Alexander
Sands, Ronald
Springmann, Marco
Stehfest, Elke
Sulser, Timothy B.
Takahashi, Kiyoshi
Tassinari, Gianmaria
Thom, Ferike
Thornton, Philip K.
Tommey, Jake
Tsuchiya, Kazuaki
van Zeist, Willem-Jan
van Meijl, Hans
van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique
Van Vuuren, Detlef
Weindl, Isabelle
Wiebe, Keith D.
Herrero, Mario
Assessing the individual and cumulative impacts of drivers in food systems transformation through a multi-model ensemble paradigm
title Assessing the individual and cumulative impacts of drivers in food systems transformation through a multi-model ensemble paradigm
title_full Assessing the individual and cumulative impacts of drivers in food systems transformation through a multi-model ensemble paradigm
title_fullStr Assessing the individual and cumulative impacts of drivers in food systems transformation through a multi-model ensemble paradigm
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the individual and cumulative impacts of drivers in food systems transformation through a multi-model ensemble paradigm
title_short Assessing the individual and cumulative impacts of drivers in food systems transformation through a multi-model ensemble paradigm
title_sort assessing the individual and cumulative impacts of drivers in food systems transformation through a multi model ensemble paradigm
topic food systems
models
globalization
climate change
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/169872
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