The state of food insecurity measurement: A mix of methods, and a mix of messages

Robust food insecurity indicators are needed for monitoring development targets, humanitarian advocacy efforts, and rationally allocating foreign aid. Longstanding dissatisfaction with the FAO’s undernourishment indicator prompted the development of new metrics in recent decades, including the FAO’s...

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Main Author: Headey, Derek D.
Format: Artículo preliminar
Language:Inglés
Published: International Food Policy Research Institute 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/169686
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author Headey, Derek D.
author_browse Headey, Derek D.
author_facet Headey, Derek D.
author_sort Headey, Derek D.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Robust food insecurity indicators are needed for monitoring development targets, humanitarian advocacy efforts, and rationally allocating foreign aid. Longstanding dissatisfaction with the FAO’s undernourishment indicator prompted the development of new metrics in recent decades, including the FAO’s Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES) and the unaffordability of healthy diets. However, no previous research has assessed whether food insecurity and poverty indicators are in broad agreement on which countries are insecure/poor, and whether global food insecurity is rising or falling. Unfortunately, this new mix of methods produces mixed messages. At the country level, FIES severe food insecurity is often higher in Latin America and the Caribbean than in Niger and other extremely poor African countries. On global trends, the FAO reports increasing undernourishment and FIES food insecurity over 2014-2022, whereas the World Bank reports monetary poverty declining and healthy diets becoming more affordable. Moreover, trends in FAO food security indicators are not statistically explained by hypothesized factors cited in FAO reports, such as conflict or climate change, and increases in the FAO’s calorie consumption inequality metric are inconsistent with declining income inequality reported by the World Bank. We provide four concrete suggestions to improve food security measurement and monitoring: (1) the FAO should cease modelling undernourishment; (2) new independent studies should re-evaluate the FIES and test new metrics; (3) international agencies should implement coordinated, high-frequency, multi-purpose, open-access surveys; and (4) researchers should further improve the “nowcasting” of poverty and food insecurity for data-scarce crisis contexts.
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spelling CGSpace1696862025-12-02T21:03:03Z The state of food insecurity measurement: A mix of methods, and a mix of messages Headey, Derek D. food insecurity malnutrition prevalence of undernourishment poverty stunting Robust food insecurity indicators are needed for monitoring development targets, humanitarian advocacy efforts, and rationally allocating foreign aid. Longstanding dissatisfaction with the FAO’s undernourishment indicator prompted the development of new metrics in recent decades, including the FAO’s Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES) and the unaffordability of healthy diets. However, no previous research has assessed whether food insecurity and poverty indicators are in broad agreement on which countries are insecure/poor, and whether global food insecurity is rising or falling. Unfortunately, this new mix of methods produces mixed messages. At the country level, FIES severe food insecurity is often higher in Latin America and the Caribbean than in Niger and other extremely poor African countries. On global trends, the FAO reports increasing undernourishment and FIES food insecurity over 2014-2022, whereas the World Bank reports monetary poverty declining and healthy diets becoming more affordable. Moreover, trends in FAO food security indicators are not statistically explained by hypothesized factors cited in FAO reports, such as conflict or climate change, and increases in the FAO’s calorie consumption inequality metric are inconsistent with declining income inequality reported by the World Bank. We provide four concrete suggestions to improve food security measurement and monitoring: (1) the FAO should cease modelling undernourishment; (2) new independent studies should re-evaluate the FIES and test new metrics; (3) international agencies should implement coordinated, high-frequency, multi-purpose, open-access surveys; and (4) researchers should further improve the “nowcasting” of poverty and food insecurity for data-scarce crisis contexts. 2024-12-31 2025-01-22T21:13:49Z 2025-01-22T21:13:49Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/169686 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Headey, Derek D. 2024. The state of food insecurity measurement: A mix of methods, and a mix of messages. IFPRI Discussion Paper 2323. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/169686
spellingShingle food insecurity
malnutrition
prevalence of undernourishment
poverty
stunting
Headey, Derek D.
The state of food insecurity measurement: A mix of methods, and a mix of messages
title The state of food insecurity measurement: A mix of methods, and a mix of messages
title_full The state of food insecurity measurement: A mix of methods, and a mix of messages
title_fullStr The state of food insecurity measurement: A mix of methods, and a mix of messages
title_full_unstemmed The state of food insecurity measurement: A mix of methods, and a mix of messages
title_short The state of food insecurity measurement: A mix of methods, and a mix of messages
title_sort state of food insecurity measurement a mix of methods and a mix of messages
topic food insecurity
malnutrition
prevalence of undernourishment
poverty
stunting
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/169686
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