Market information and R&D investment under ambiguity: A framed artefactual experiment with plant breeding professionals

Investments in R&D are often made under ambiguity about the potential impacts of various projects. High-quality, systematic market research could help reduce that ambiguity, including in investments in agricultural research-for-development, such as plant breeding. Using an online framed artefactual...

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Autores principales: Trachtman, Carly, Kramer, Berber, do Nascimento Miguel, Jérémy
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/169025
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author Trachtman, Carly
Kramer, Berber
do Nascimento Miguel, Jérémy
author_browse Kramer, Berber
Trachtman, Carly
do Nascimento Miguel, Jérémy
author_facet Trachtman, Carly
Kramer, Berber
do Nascimento Miguel, Jérémy
author_sort Trachtman, Carly
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Investments in R&D are often made under ambiguity about the potential impacts of various projects. High-quality, systematic market research could help reduce that ambiguity, including in investments in agricultural research-for-development, such as plant breeding. Using an online framed artefactual experiment with a diverse sample of breeding experts working in various disciplines across the world, we ask how market information and information quality influences breeding experts’ investments in prospects with ambiguous returns, and how the quality and source of information affect willingness to pay for market information. We find that providing market information leads participants to make more prioritized (rather than diversified) decisions. However, participants do not consider differences in information quality, instead over extrapolating from noisy and biased information signals. Finally, while most participants are willing to use experimental funds to purchase market information, around half prefer lower quality information even if higher quality information is available at the same price. We conclude that prioritizing R&D projects with greater impact opportunities will require better awareness among decision-makers of quality issues in various types of market research.
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spelling CGSpace1690252025-12-02T21:02:52Z Market information and R&D investment under ambiguity: A framed artefactual experiment with plant breeding professionals Trachtman, Carly Kramer, Berber do Nascimento Miguel, Jérémy agricultural research for development plant breeding experimental design market research Investments in R&D are often made under ambiguity about the potential impacts of various projects. High-quality, systematic market research could help reduce that ambiguity, including in investments in agricultural research-for-development, such as plant breeding. Using an online framed artefactual experiment with a diverse sample of breeding experts working in various disciplines across the world, we ask how market information and information quality influences breeding experts’ investments in prospects with ambiguous returns, and how the quality and source of information affect willingness to pay for market information. We find that providing market information leads participants to make more prioritized (rather than diversified) decisions. However, participants do not consider differences in information quality, instead over extrapolating from noisy and biased information signals. Finally, while most participants are willing to use experimental funds to purchase market information, around half prefer lower quality information even if higher quality information is available at the same price. We conclude that prioritizing R&D projects with greater impact opportunities will require better awareness among decision-makers of quality issues in various types of market research. 2024-12-31 2025-01-14T21:01:23Z 2025-01-14T21:01:23Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/169025 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Trachtman, Carly; Kramer, Berber; and do Nascimento Miguel, Jérémy. 2024. Market information and R&D investment under ambiguity: A framed artefactual experiment with plant breeding professionals. IFPRI Discussion Paper 2314. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/169025
spellingShingle agricultural research for development
plant breeding
experimental design
market research
Trachtman, Carly
Kramer, Berber
do Nascimento Miguel, Jérémy
Market information and R&D investment under ambiguity: A framed artefactual experiment with plant breeding professionals
title Market information and R&D investment under ambiguity: A framed artefactual experiment with plant breeding professionals
title_full Market information and R&D investment under ambiguity: A framed artefactual experiment with plant breeding professionals
title_fullStr Market information and R&D investment under ambiguity: A framed artefactual experiment with plant breeding professionals
title_full_unstemmed Market information and R&D investment under ambiguity: A framed artefactual experiment with plant breeding professionals
title_short Market information and R&D investment under ambiguity: A framed artefactual experiment with plant breeding professionals
title_sort market information and r d investment under ambiguity a framed artefactual experiment with plant breeding professionals
topic agricultural research for development
plant breeding
experimental design
market research
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/169025
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AT donascimentomigueljeremy marketinformationandrdinvestmentunderambiguityaframedartefactualexperimentwithplantbreedingprofessionals