Prospective Stratégique : Elaboration de Scénarios sur la Transition Agroécologique (TAE) en Tunisie / Rappel de Quelques Eléments d’Orientations Méthodologiques

This methodological brief delineates the strategic foresight process through eight key steps: i) identification of the central question for exploring future scenarios; ii) identification of key influencing factors related to the question; iii) identification of key external driving forces; iv) ranki...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Sghaier, Mongi, Frija, Aymen, Darghouth, Mohamed Aziz
Formato: Brief
Lenguaje:Francés
Publicado: International Center for Agricultural Research in the Dry Areas 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/168587
Descripción
Sumario:This methodological brief delineates the strategic foresight process through eight key steps: i) identification of the central question for exploring future scenarios; ii) identification of key influencing factors related to the question; iii) identification of key external driving forces; iv) ranking these forces according to importance and unpredictability; v) development of a scenario logic with two main axes of critical forces; vi) Concretizing the scenarios narratives in a more explicit way; vii) explore the implications of these scenarios on food systems outcomes ; and finally viii) selection of advanced indicators to monitor and refine the scenarios over time. The document briefly defines and presents each of these methodological steps.