Conflicts, crop choice, and agricultural investments: Empirical evidence from Nigeria

Conflict remains a major driver of poverty in Africa. Conflicts and political instability in the region have been increasing recently and are drawing more attention in public discourse. While it is widely acknowledged that conflicts disrupt agricultural production and food systems, the full extent o...

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Autores principales: Amare, Mulubrhan, Abay, Kibrom A., Berhane, Guush, Andam, Kwaw S., Adeyanju, Dolapo
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/168179
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author Amare, Mulubrhan
Abay, Kibrom A.
Berhane, Guush
Andam, Kwaw S.
Adeyanju, Dolapo
author_browse Abay, Kibrom A.
Adeyanju, Dolapo
Amare, Mulubrhan
Andam, Kwaw S.
Berhane, Guush
author_facet Amare, Mulubrhan
Abay, Kibrom A.
Berhane, Guush
Andam, Kwaw S.
Adeyanju, Dolapo
author_sort Amare, Mulubrhan
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Conflict remains a major driver of poverty in Africa. Conflicts and political instability in the region have been increasing recently and are drawing more attention in public discourse. While it is widely acknowledged that conflicts disrupt agricultural production and food systems, the full extent of the damage inflicted on the lives and livelihoods of farming households and the mechanisms to redress this harm remain poorly understood. In particular, the link between violent conflicts and households’ land allocation and related agricultural investment decisions remains understudied. In this study, we use geocoded longitudinal data along with detailed agricultural panel household surveys in Nigeria to assess the impact of violent conflicts on crop choice decisions and related agricultural investments. Specifically, we explore how farmers’ land allocation and agricultural investment decisions relate or respond to the outbreak and intensity of violent conflicts. We find that violent conflicts are associated with a reduction in the share of both land area cultivated and area harvested. We also find suggestive evidence that violent conflicts may shape farmers’ crop choices and related investments, as violent conflicts are associated with reduction in the share of land allocated to long-term crops (e.g., perennial crops, trees, roots and tubers). Overall, our findings suggest that violent conflicts can negatively influence farmers’ agricultural investments directly by affecting both land utilization patterns and portfolio allocation across activities with varying returns to investments.
format Journal Article
id CGSpace168179
institution CGIAR Consortium
language Inglés
publishDate 2025
publishDateRange 2025
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publisherStr Elsevier
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spelling CGSpace1681792025-10-26T13:02:11Z Conflicts, crop choice, and agricultural investments: Empirical evidence from Nigeria Amare, Mulubrhan Abay, Kibrom A. Berhane, Guush Andam, Kwaw S. Adeyanju, Dolapo conflicts investment smallholders decision making gender Conflict remains a major driver of poverty in Africa. Conflicts and political instability in the region have been increasing recently and are drawing more attention in public discourse. While it is widely acknowledged that conflicts disrupt agricultural production and food systems, the full extent of the damage inflicted on the lives and livelihoods of farming households and the mechanisms to redress this harm remain poorly understood. In particular, the link between violent conflicts and households’ land allocation and related agricultural investment decisions remains understudied. In this study, we use geocoded longitudinal data along with detailed agricultural panel household surveys in Nigeria to assess the impact of violent conflicts on crop choice decisions and related agricultural investments. Specifically, we explore how farmers’ land allocation and agricultural investment decisions relate or respond to the outbreak and intensity of violent conflicts. We find that violent conflicts are associated with a reduction in the share of both land area cultivated and area harvested. We also find suggestive evidence that violent conflicts may shape farmers’ crop choices and related investments, as violent conflicts are associated with reduction in the share of land allocated to long-term crops (e.g., perennial crops, trees, roots and tubers). Overall, our findings suggest that violent conflicts can negatively influence farmers’ agricultural investments directly by affecting both land utilization patterns and portfolio allocation across activities with varying returns to investments. 2025-01 2024-12-20T18:58:06Z 2024-12-20T18:58:06Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/168179 en Open Access Elsevier Amare, Mulubrhan; Abay, Kibrom A.; Berhane, Guush; Andam, Kwaw S.; and Adeyanju, Dolapo. 2025. Conflicts, crop choice, and agricultural investments: Empirical evidence from Nigeria. Land Use Policy 148(January 2025): 107391. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107391
spellingShingle conflicts
investment
smallholders
decision making
gender
Amare, Mulubrhan
Abay, Kibrom A.
Berhane, Guush
Andam, Kwaw S.
Adeyanju, Dolapo
Conflicts, crop choice, and agricultural investments: Empirical evidence from Nigeria
title Conflicts, crop choice, and agricultural investments: Empirical evidence from Nigeria
title_full Conflicts, crop choice, and agricultural investments: Empirical evidence from Nigeria
title_fullStr Conflicts, crop choice, and agricultural investments: Empirical evidence from Nigeria
title_full_unstemmed Conflicts, crop choice, and agricultural investments: Empirical evidence from Nigeria
title_short Conflicts, crop choice, and agricultural investments: Empirical evidence from Nigeria
title_sort conflicts crop choice and agricultural investments empirical evidence from nigeria
topic conflicts
investment
smallholders
decision making
gender
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/168179
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