Why projections on China's future food supply and demand differ
This article analyses the macroeconomic assumptions, demand and supply parameters, and structures of the models used in projecting China's future food supply, demand and trade. Projections vary greatly, from China being self‐sufficient in grain to being a net importer of 369 million metric tons of g...
| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Wiley
1997
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/166911 |
| _version_ | 1855513154951315456 |
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| author | Fan, Shenggen Agcaoili-Sombilla, Mercedita |
| author_browse | Agcaoili-Sombilla, Mercedita Fan, Shenggen |
| author_facet | Fan, Shenggen Agcaoili-Sombilla, Mercedita |
| author_sort | Fan, Shenggen |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | This article analyses the macroeconomic assumptions, demand and supply parameters, and structures of the models used in projecting China's future food supply, demand and trade. Projections vary greatly, from China being self‐sufficient in grain to being a net importer of 369 million metric tons of grain in 2030. The differences stem mainly from the approaches chosen to model China's grain production and, in particular, the combined effects of land decline and yield growth. The article also points out improvements needed in future work on modelling China's grain economy, which include accounting for the links between agriculture and other sectors, technical change in the livestock industry and infrastructure constraints on grain imports. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace166911 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 1997 |
| publishDateRange | 1997 |
| publishDateSort | 1997 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| publisherStr | Wiley |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1669112025-05-14T10:23:47Z Why projections on China's future food supply and demand differ Fan, Shenggen Agcaoili-Sombilla, Mercedita supply balance projections trade production imports income elasticities yields models china This article analyses the macroeconomic assumptions, demand and supply parameters, and structures of the models used in projecting China's future food supply, demand and trade. Projections vary greatly, from China being self‐sufficient in grain to being a net importer of 369 million metric tons of grain in 2030. The differences stem mainly from the approaches chosen to model China's grain production and, in particular, the combined effects of land decline and yield growth. The article also points out improvements needed in future work on modelling China's grain economy, which include accounting for the links between agriculture and other sectors, technical change in the livestock industry and infrastructure constraints on grain imports. 1997-06 2024-12-19T12:56:48Z 2024-12-19T12:56:48Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/166911 en Wiley Fan, Shenggen; Agcaoili‐Sombilla, Mercedita. 1997. Why projections on China's future food supply and demand differ. Aus J Agri and Res Econ, Volume 41 no. 2 p. 169-190 |
| spellingShingle | supply balance projections trade production imports income elasticities yields models china Fan, Shenggen Agcaoili-Sombilla, Mercedita Why projections on China's future food supply and demand differ |
| title | Why projections on China's future food supply and demand differ |
| title_full | Why projections on China's future food supply and demand differ |
| title_fullStr | Why projections on China's future food supply and demand differ |
| title_full_unstemmed | Why projections on China's future food supply and demand differ |
| title_short | Why projections on China's future food supply and demand differ |
| title_sort | why projections on china s future food supply and demand differ |
| topic | supply balance projections trade production imports income elasticities yields models china |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/166911 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT fanshenggen whyprojectionsonchinasfuturefoodsupplyanddemanddiffer AT agcaoilisombillamercedita whyprojectionsonchinasfuturefoodsupplyanddemanddiffer |