Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming

The impact of projected global warming on crop yields has been evaluated by indirect methods using simulation models. Direct studies on the effects of observed climate change on crop growth and yield could provide more accurate information for assessing the impact of climate change on crop productio...

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Main Authors: Peng, Shaobing, Huang, Jianliang, Sheehy, John E., Laza, Rebecca C., Visperas, Romeo M., Zhong, Xuhua, Centeno, Grace S., Khush, Gurdev S., Cassman, Kenneth G.
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: National Academy of Sciences 2004
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/166791
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author Peng, Shaobing
Huang, Jianliang
Sheehy, John E.
Laza, Rebecca C.
Visperas, Romeo M.
Zhong, Xuhua
Centeno, Grace S.
Khush, Gurdev S.
Cassman, Kenneth G.
author_browse Cassman, Kenneth G.
Centeno, Grace S.
Huang, Jianliang
Khush, Gurdev S.
Laza, Rebecca C.
Peng, Shaobing
Sheehy, John E.
Visperas, Romeo M.
Zhong, Xuhua
author_facet Peng, Shaobing
Huang, Jianliang
Sheehy, John E.
Laza, Rebecca C.
Visperas, Romeo M.
Zhong, Xuhua
Centeno, Grace S.
Khush, Gurdev S.
Cassman, Kenneth G.
author_sort Peng, Shaobing
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The impact of projected global warming on crop yields has been evaluated by indirect methods using simulation models. Direct studies on the effects of observed climate change on crop growth and yield could provide more accurate information for assessing the impact of climate change on crop production. We analyzed weather data at the International Rice Research Institute Farm from 1979 to 2003 to examine temperature trends and the relationship between rice yield and temperature by using data from irrigated field experiments conducted at the International Rice Research Institute Farm from 1992 to 2003. Here we report that annual mean maximum and minimum temperatures have increased by 0.35°C and 1.13°C, respectively, for the period 1979–2003 and a close linkage between rice grain yield and mean minimum temperature during the dry cropping season (January to April). Grain yield declined by 10% for each 1°C increase in growing-season minimum temperature in the dry season, whereas the effect of maximum temperature on crop yield was insignificant. This report provides a direct evidence of decreased rice yields from increased nighttime temperature associated with global warming.
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publishDate 2004
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spelling CGSpace1667912024-12-22T05:44:52Z Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming Peng, Shaobing Huang, Jianliang Sheehy, John E. Laza, Rebecca C. Visperas, Romeo M. Zhong, Xuhua Centeno, Grace S. Khush, Gurdev S. Cassman, Kenneth G. yields global warming temperature The impact of projected global warming on crop yields has been evaluated by indirect methods using simulation models. Direct studies on the effects of observed climate change on crop growth and yield could provide more accurate information for assessing the impact of climate change on crop production. We analyzed weather data at the International Rice Research Institute Farm from 1979 to 2003 to examine temperature trends and the relationship between rice yield and temperature by using data from irrigated field experiments conducted at the International Rice Research Institute Farm from 1992 to 2003. Here we report that annual mean maximum and minimum temperatures have increased by 0.35°C and 1.13°C, respectively, for the period 1979–2003 and a close linkage between rice grain yield and mean minimum temperature during the dry cropping season (January to April). Grain yield declined by 10% for each 1°C increase in growing-season minimum temperature in the dry season, whereas the effect of maximum temperature on crop yield was insignificant. This report provides a direct evidence of decreased rice yields from increased nighttime temperature associated with global warming. 2004-07-06 2024-12-19T12:56:41Z 2024-12-19T12:56:41Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/166791 en National Academy of Sciences Peng, Shaobing; Huang, Jianliang; Sheehy, John E.; Laza, Rebecca C.; Visperas, Romeo M.; Zhong, Xuhua; Centeno, Grace S.; Khush, Gurdev S. and Cassman, Kenneth G. 2004. Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A., Volume 101 no. 27 p. 9971-9975
spellingShingle yields
global warming
temperature
Peng, Shaobing
Huang, Jianliang
Sheehy, John E.
Laza, Rebecca C.
Visperas, Romeo M.
Zhong, Xuhua
Centeno, Grace S.
Khush, Gurdev S.
Cassman, Kenneth G.
Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming
title Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming
title_full Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming
title_fullStr Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming
title_full_unstemmed Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming
title_short Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming
title_sort rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming
topic yields
global warming
temperature
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/166791
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