Southeast Asia must narrow down the yield gap to continue to be a major rice bowl

Southeast Asia is a major rice-producing region with a high level of internal consumption and accounting for 40% of global rice exports. Limited land resources, climate change and yield stagnation during recent years have once again raised concerns about the capacity of the region to remain as a lar...

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Main Authors: Yuan, Shen, Stuart, Alexander M., Laborte, Alice G., Rattalino Edreira, Juan I., Dobermann, Achim, Kien, Le Vu Ngoc, Thúy, Lưu Thị, Paothong, Kritkamol, Traesang, Prachya, Tint, Khin Myo, San, Su Su, Villafuerte, Marcelino Q., Quicho, Emma D., Pame, Anny Ruth P., Then, Rathmuny, Flor, Rica Joy, Thon, Neak, Agus, Fahmuddin, Agustiani, Nurwulan, Deng, Nanyan, Li, Tao, Grassini, Patricio
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Springer 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/164093
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author Yuan, Shen
Stuart, Alexander M.
Laborte, Alice G.
Rattalino Edreira, Juan I.
Dobermann, Achim
Kien, Le Vu Ngoc
Thúy, Lưu Thị
Paothong, Kritkamol
Traesang, Prachya
Tint, Khin Myo
San, Su Su
Villafuerte, Marcelino Q.
Quicho, Emma D.
Pame, Anny Ruth P.
Then, Rathmuny
Flor, Rica Joy
Thon, Neak
Agus, Fahmuddin
Agustiani, Nurwulan
Deng, Nanyan
Li, Tao
Grassini, Patricio
author_browse Agus, Fahmuddin
Agustiani, Nurwulan
Deng, Nanyan
Dobermann, Achim
Flor, Rica Joy
Grassini, Patricio
Kien, Le Vu Ngoc
Laborte, Alice G.
Li, Tao
Pame, Anny Ruth P.
Paothong, Kritkamol
Quicho, Emma D.
Rattalino Edreira, Juan I.
San, Su Su
Stuart, Alexander M.
Then, Rathmuny
Thon, Neak
Thúy, Lưu Thị
Tint, Khin Myo
Traesang, Prachya
Villafuerte, Marcelino Q.
Yuan, Shen
author_facet Yuan, Shen
Stuart, Alexander M.
Laborte, Alice G.
Rattalino Edreira, Juan I.
Dobermann, Achim
Kien, Le Vu Ngoc
Thúy, Lưu Thị
Paothong, Kritkamol
Traesang, Prachya
Tint, Khin Myo
San, Su Su
Villafuerte, Marcelino Q.
Quicho, Emma D.
Pame, Anny Ruth P.
Then, Rathmuny
Flor, Rica Joy
Thon, Neak
Agus, Fahmuddin
Agustiani, Nurwulan
Deng, Nanyan
Li, Tao
Grassini, Patricio
author_sort Yuan, Shen
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Southeast Asia is a major rice-producing region with a high level of internal consumption and accounting for 40% of global rice exports. Limited land resources, climate change and yield stagnation during recent years have once again raised concerns about the capacity of the region to remain as a large net exporter. Here we use a modelling approach to map rice yield gaps and assess production potential and net exports by 2040. We find that the average yield gap represents 48% of the yield potential estimate for the region, but there are substantial differences among countries. Exploitable yield gaps are relatively large in Cambodia, Myanmar, Philippines and Thailand but comparably smaller in Indonesia and Vietnam. Continuation of current yield trends will not allow Indonesia and Philippines to meet their domestic rice demand. In contrast, closing the exploitable yield gap by half would drastically reduce the need for rice imports with an aggregated annual rice surplus of 54 million tons available for export. Our study provides insights for increasing regional production on existing cropland by narrowing existing yield gaps.
format Journal Article
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language Inglés
publishDate 2022
publishDateRange 2022
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publisher Springer
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spelling CGSpace1640932024-12-19T14:12:13Z Southeast Asia must narrow down the yield gap to continue to be a major rice bowl Yuan, Shen Stuart, Alexander M. Laborte, Alice G. Rattalino Edreira, Juan I. Dobermann, Achim Kien, Le Vu Ngoc Thúy, Lưu Thị Paothong, Kritkamol Traesang, Prachya Tint, Khin Myo San, Su Su Villafuerte, Marcelino Q. Quicho, Emma D. Pame, Anny Ruth P. Then, Rathmuny Flor, Rica Joy Thon, Neak Agus, Fahmuddin Agustiani, Nurwulan Deng, Nanyan Li, Tao Grassini, Patricio rice consumption rice production self-sufficiency yield gap Southeast Asia is a major rice-producing region with a high level of internal consumption and accounting for 40% of global rice exports. Limited land resources, climate change and yield stagnation during recent years have once again raised concerns about the capacity of the region to remain as a large net exporter. Here we use a modelling approach to map rice yield gaps and assess production potential and net exports by 2040. We find that the average yield gap represents 48% of the yield potential estimate for the region, but there are substantial differences among countries. Exploitable yield gaps are relatively large in Cambodia, Myanmar, Philippines and Thailand but comparably smaller in Indonesia and Vietnam. Continuation of current yield trends will not allow Indonesia and Philippines to meet their domestic rice demand. In contrast, closing the exploitable yield gap by half would drastically reduce the need for rice imports with an aggregated annual rice surplus of 54 million tons available for export. Our study provides insights for increasing regional production on existing cropland by narrowing existing yield gaps. 2022-03-24 2024-12-19T12:53:28Z 2024-12-19T12:53:28Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/164093 en Open Access Springer Yuan, Shen; Stuart, Alexander M.; Laborte, Alice G.; Rattalino Edreira, Juan I.; Dobermann, Achim; Kien, Le Vu Ngoc; Thúy, Lưu Thị; Paothong, Kritkamol; Traesang, Prachya; Tint, Khin Myo; San, Su Su; Villafuerte, Marcelino Q.; Quicho, Emma D.; Pame, Anny Ruth P.; Then, Rathmuny; Flor, Rica Joy; Thon, Neak; Agus, Fahmuddin; Agustiani, Nurwulan; Deng, Nanyan; Li, Tao and Grassini, Patricio. 2022. Southeast Asia must narrow down the yield gap to continue to be a major rice bowl. Nat Food, Volume 3 no. 3 p. 217-226
spellingShingle rice consumption
rice production
self-sufficiency
yield gap
Yuan, Shen
Stuart, Alexander M.
Laborte, Alice G.
Rattalino Edreira, Juan I.
Dobermann, Achim
Kien, Le Vu Ngoc
Thúy, Lưu Thị
Paothong, Kritkamol
Traesang, Prachya
Tint, Khin Myo
San, Su Su
Villafuerte, Marcelino Q.
Quicho, Emma D.
Pame, Anny Ruth P.
Then, Rathmuny
Flor, Rica Joy
Thon, Neak
Agus, Fahmuddin
Agustiani, Nurwulan
Deng, Nanyan
Li, Tao
Grassini, Patricio
Southeast Asia must narrow down the yield gap to continue to be a major rice bowl
title Southeast Asia must narrow down the yield gap to continue to be a major rice bowl
title_full Southeast Asia must narrow down the yield gap to continue to be a major rice bowl
title_fullStr Southeast Asia must narrow down the yield gap to continue to be a major rice bowl
title_full_unstemmed Southeast Asia must narrow down the yield gap to continue to be a major rice bowl
title_short Southeast Asia must narrow down the yield gap to continue to be a major rice bowl
title_sort southeast asia must narrow down the yield gap to continue to be a major rice bowl
topic rice consumption
rice production
self-sufficiency
yield gap
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/164093
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