Paddy rice methane emissions across Monsoon Asia
Although rice cultivation is one of the most important agricultural sources of methane (CH4) and contributes ∼8% of total global anthropogenic emissions, large discrepancies remain among estimates of global CH4 emissions from rice cultivation (ranging from 18 to 115 Tg CH4 yr−1) due to a lack of obs...
| Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Elsevier
2023
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/164003 |
| _version_ | 1855529022984814592 |
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| author | Ouyang, Zutao Jackson, Robert B. McNicol, Gavin Fluet-Chouinard, Etienne Runkle, Benjamin R.K. Papale, Dario Knox, Sara H. Cooley, Sarah Delwiche, Kyle B. Feron, Sarah Irvin, Jeremy Andrew Malhotra, Avni Muddasir, Muhammad Sabbatini, Simone Alberto, Ma. Carmelita R. Cescatti, Alessandro Chen, Chi-Ling Dong, Jinwei Fong, Bryant N. Guo, Haiqiang Hao, Lu Iwata, Hiroki Jia, Qingyu Ju, Weimin Kang, Minseok Li, Hong Kim, Joon Reba, Michele L. Nayak, Amaresh Kumar Roberti, Debora Regina Ryu, Youngryel Swain, Chinmaya Kumar Tsuang, Benjei Xiao, Xiangming Yuan, Wenping Zhang, Geli Zhang, Yongguang |
| author_browse | Alberto, Ma. Carmelita R. Cescatti, Alessandro Chen, Chi-Ling Cooley, Sarah Delwiche, Kyle B. Dong, Jinwei Feron, Sarah Fluet-Chouinard, Etienne Fong, Bryant N. Guo, Haiqiang Hao, Lu Irvin, Jeremy Andrew Iwata, Hiroki Jackson, Robert B. Jia, Qingyu Ju, Weimin Kang, Minseok Kim, Joon Knox, Sara H. Li, Hong Malhotra, Avni McNicol, Gavin Muddasir, Muhammad Nayak, Amaresh Kumar Ouyang, Zutao Papale, Dario Reba, Michele L. Roberti, Debora Regina Runkle, Benjamin R.K. Ryu, Youngryel Sabbatini, Simone Swain, Chinmaya Kumar Tsuang, Benjei Xiao, Xiangming Yuan, Wenping Zhang, Geli Zhang, Yongguang |
| author_facet | Ouyang, Zutao Jackson, Robert B. McNicol, Gavin Fluet-Chouinard, Etienne Runkle, Benjamin R.K. Papale, Dario Knox, Sara H. Cooley, Sarah Delwiche, Kyle B. Feron, Sarah Irvin, Jeremy Andrew Malhotra, Avni Muddasir, Muhammad Sabbatini, Simone Alberto, Ma. Carmelita R. Cescatti, Alessandro Chen, Chi-Ling Dong, Jinwei Fong, Bryant N. Guo, Haiqiang Hao, Lu Iwata, Hiroki Jia, Qingyu Ju, Weimin Kang, Minseok Li, Hong Kim, Joon Reba, Michele L. Nayak, Amaresh Kumar Roberti, Debora Regina Ryu, Youngryel Swain, Chinmaya Kumar Tsuang, Benjei Xiao, Xiangming Yuan, Wenping Zhang, Geli Zhang, Yongguang |
| author_sort | Ouyang, Zutao |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Although rice cultivation is one of the most important agricultural sources of methane (CH4) and contributes ∼8% of total global anthropogenic emissions, large discrepancies remain among estimates of global CH4 emissions from rice cultivation (ranging from 18 to 115 Tg CH4 yr−1) due to a lack of observational constraints. The spatial distribution of paddy-rice emissions has been assessed at regional-to-global scales by bottom-up inventories and land surface models over coarse spatial resolution (e.g., > 0.5°) or spatial units (e.g., agro-ecological zones). However, high-resolution CH4 flux estimates capable of capturing the effects of local climate and management practices on emissions, as well as replicating in situ data, remain challenging to produce because of the scarcity of high-resolution maps of paddy-rice and insufficient understanding of CH4 predictors. Here, we combine paddy-rice methane-flux data from 23 global eddy covariance sites and MODIS remote sensing data with machine learning to 1) evaluate data-driven model performance and variable importance for predicting rice CH4 fluxes; and 2) produce gridded up-scaling estimates of rice CH4 emissions at 5000-m resolution across Monsoon Asia, where ∼87% of global rice area is cultivated and ∼ 90% of global rice production occurs. Our random-forest model achieved Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency values of 0.59 and 0.69 for 8-day CH4 fluxes and site mean CH4 fluxes respectively, with land surface temperature, biomass and water-availability-related indices as the most important predictors. We estimate the average annual (winter fallow season excluded) paddy rice CH4 emissions throughout Monsoon Asia to be 20.6 ± 1.1 Tg yr−1 for 2001–2015, which is at the lower range of previous inventory-based estimates (20–32 CH4 Tg yr−1). Our estimates also suggest that CH4 emissions from paddy rice in this region have been declining from 2007 through 2015 following declines in both paddy-rice growing area and emission rates per unit area, suggesting that CH4 emissions from paddy rice in Monsoon Asia have likely not contributed to the renewed growth of atmospheric CH4 in recent years. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace164003 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| publishDateRange | 2023 |
| publishDateSort | 2023 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| publisherStr | Elsevier |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1640032024-12-19T14:12:52Z Paddy rice methane emissions across Monsoon Asia Ouyang, Zutao Jackson, Robert B. McNicol, Gavin Fluet-Chouinard, Etienne Runkle, Benjamin R.K. Papale, Dario Knox, Sara H. Cooley, Sarah Delwiche, Kyle B. Feron, Sarah Irvin, Jeremy Andrew Malhotra, Avni Muddasir, Muhammad Sabbatini, Simone Alberto, Ma. Carmelita R. Cescatti, Alessandro Chen, Chi-Ling Dong, Jinwei Fong, Bryant N. Guo, Haiqiang Hao, Lu Iwata, Hiroki Jia, Qingyu Ju, Weimin Kang, Minseok Li, Hong Kim, Joon Reba, Michele L. Nayak, Amaresh Kumar Roberti, Debora Regina Ryu, Youngryel Swain, Chinmaya Kumar Tsuang, Benjei Xiao, Xiangming Yuan, Wenping Zhang, Geli Zhang, Yongguang climate change greenhouse gas emissions machine learning paddy rice remote sensing Although rice cultivation is one of the most important agricultural sources of methane (CH4) and contributes ∼8% of total global anthropogenic emissions, large discrepancies remain among estimates of global CH4 emissions from rice cultivation (ranging from 18 to 115 Tg CH4 yr−1) due to a lack of observational constraints. The spatial distribution of paddy-rice emissions has been assessed at regional-to-global scales by bottom-up inventories and land surface models over coarse spatial resolution (e.g., > 0.5°) or spatial units (e.g., agro-ecological zones). However, high-resolution CH4 flux estimates capable of capturing the effects of local climate and management practices on emissions, as well as replicating in situ data, remain challenging to produce because of the scarcity of high-resolution maps of paddy-rice and insufficient understanding of CH4 predictors. Here, we combine paddy-rice methane-flux data from 23 global eddy covariance sites and MODIS remote sensing data with machine learning to 1) evaluate data-driven model performance and variable importance for predicting rice CH4 fluxes; and 2) produce gridded up-scaling estimates of rice CH4 emissions at 5000-m resolution across Monsoon Asia, where ∼87% of global rice area is cultivated and ∼ 90% of global rice production occurs. Our random-forest model achieved Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency values of 0.59 and 0.69 for 8-day CH4 fluxes and site mean CH4 fluxes respectively, with land surface temperature, biomass and water-availability-related indices as the most important predictors. We estimate the average annual (winter fallow season excluded) paddy rice CH4 emissions throughout Monsoon Asia to be 20.6 ± 1.1 Tg yr−1 for 2001–2015, which is at the lower range of previous inventory-based estimates (20–32 CH4 Tg yr−1). Our estimates also suggest that CH4 emissions from paddy rice in this region have been declining from 2007 through 2015 following declines in both paddy-rice growing area and emission rates per unit area, suggesting that CH4 emissions from paddy rice in Monsoon Asia have likely not contributed to the renewed growth of atmospheric CH4 in recent years. 2023-01 2024-12-19T12:53:19Z 2024-12-19T12:53:19Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/164003 en Open Access Elsevier Ouyang, Zutao; Jackson, Robert B.; McNicol, Gavin; Fluet-Chouinard, Etienne; Runkle, Benjamin R.K.; Papale, Dario; Knox, Sara H.; Cooley, Sarah; Delwiche, Kyle B.; Feron, Sarah; Irvin, Jeremy Andrew; Malhotra, Avni; Muddasir, Muhammad; Sabbatini, Simone; Alberto, Ma. Carmelita R.; Cescatti, Alessandro; Chen, Chi-Ling; Dong, Jinwei; Fong, Bryant N.; Guo, Haiqiang; Hao, Lu; Iwata, Hiroki; Jia, Qingyu; Ju, Weimin; Kang, Minseok; Li, Hong; Kim, Joon; Reba, Michele L.; Nayak, Amaresh Kumar; Roberti, Debora Regina; Ryu, Youngryel; Swain, Chinmaya Kumar; Tsuang, Benjei; Xiao, Xiangming; Yuan, Wenping; Zhang, Geli and Zhang, Yongguang. 2023. Paddy rice methane emissions across Monsoon Asia. Remote Sensing of Environment, Volume 284 p. 113335 |
| spellingShingle | climate change greenhouse gas emissions machine learning paddy rice remote sensing Ouyang, Zutao Jackson, Robert B. McNicol, Gavin Fluet-Chouinard, Etienne Runkle, Benjamin R.K. Papale, Dario Knox, Sara H. Cooley, Sarah Delwiche, Kyle B. Feron, Sarah Irvin, Jeremy Andrew Malhotra, Avni Muddasir, Muhammad Sabbatini, Simone Alberto, Ma. Carmelita R. Cescatti, Alessandro Chen, Chi-Ling Dong, Jinwei Fong, Bryant N. Guo, Haiqiang Hao, Lu Iwata, Hiroki Jia, Qingyu Ju, Weimin Kang, Minseok Li, Hong Kim, Joon Reba, Michele L. Nayak, Amaresh Kumar Roberti, Debora Regina Ryu, Youngryel Swain, Chinmaya Kumar Tsuang, Benjei Xiao, Xiangming Yuan, Wenping Zhang, Geli Zhang, Yongguang Paddy rice methane emissions across Monsoon Asia |
| title | Paddy rice methane emissions across Monsoon Asia |
| title_full | Paddy rice methane emissions across Monsoon Asia |
| title_fullStr | Paddy rice methane emissions across Monsoon Asia |
| title_full_unstemmed | Paddy rice methane emissions across Monsoon Asia |
| title_short | Paddy rice methane emissions across Monsoon Asia |
| title_sort | paddy rice methane emissions across monsoon asia |
| topic | climate change greenhouse gas emissions machine learning paddy rice remote sensing |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/164003 |
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