Spatiotemporal mapping of rice acreage and productivity growth in Bangladesh

Technological advancements have long played crucial roles in rice productivity and food security in Bangladesh. Seasonal variation over time and regional differences in rice production, however, pose a threat to agricultural sustainability but remain unexplored. We performed a spatial-temporal mappi...

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Main Authors: Al Mamun, Md. Abdullah, Nihad, Sheikh Arafat Islam, Sarker, Mou Rani, Sarkar, Md. Abdur Rouf, Hossain, Md. Ismail, Kabir, Md. Shahjahan
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: 2024
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/163825
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author Al Mamun, Md. Abdullah
Nihad, Sheikh Arafat Islam
Sarker, Mou Rani
Sarkar, Md. Abdur Rouf
Hossain, Md. Ismail
Kabir, Md. Shahjahan
author_browse Al Mamun, Md. Abdullah
Hossain, Md. Ismail
Kabir, Md. Shahjahan
Nihad, Sheikh Arafat Islam
Sarkar, Md. Abdur Rouf
Sarker, Mou Rani
author_facet Al Mamun, Md. Abdullah
Nihad, Sheikh Arafat Islam
Sarker, Mou Rani
Sarkar, Md. Abdur Rouf
Hossain, Md. Ismail
Kabir, Md. Shahjahan
author_sort Al Mamun, Md. Abdullah
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Technological advancements have long played crucial roles in rice productivity and food security in Bangladesh. Seasonal variation over time and regional differences in rice production, however, pose a threat to agricultural sustainability but remain unexplored. We performed a spatial-temporal mapping of rice cultivation area, production, and yield from 2006–2007 to 2019–2020 using secondary data for disaggregating 64 districts in Bangladesh. Growth and multivariate approaches were employed to analyze time-series data. Results showed that Mymensingh had the highest rice cultivated area and production, while Bandarban had the lowest. The 14 years highest average rice yield was found in Gopalganj and Dhaka (3.63 tons/ha), while Patuakhali (1.73 tons/ha) had the lowest. For the Aus, Aman, and Boro, the rice cultivation area in 19 districts, 11 districts, and 13 districts declined significantly. The overall rice production increased significantly in most districts. For the Aus, Aman, and Boro seasons, the rice yield in 54, 50, and 37 districts demonstrated a significant upward trend, respectively. The adoption rate of modern varieties has risen dramatically. However, there are notable variances between regions and seasons. A significant increasing trend in Aus (0.007% to 0.521%), Aman (0.004% to 0.039%), and Boro (0.013% to 0.584%) were observed in 28, 34, and 36 districts, respectively, with an increase of 1% adaptation of HYV. Predictions revealed that rice cultivation area and production of Aus, Aman, and Boro seasons will be increased in most of the regions of Bangladesh by 2030. Based on spatiotemporal cluster analysis, the five identified cluster groupings illustrated that clusters lack spatial cohesion and vary greatly seasonally. This suggests increasing rice production by expanding cultivable land, adopting high-yielding varieties, and integrating faster technological advancement in research and extension. The findings will assist scientists in developing region-specific production technologies and policymakers in designing decentral region-specific policies to ensure the future sustainability of rice production.
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spelling CGSpace1638252025-10-26T12:52:17Z Spatiotemporal mapping of rice acreage and productivity growth in Bangladesh Al Mamun, Md. Abdullah Nihad, Sheikh Arafat Islam Sarker, Mou Rani Sarkar, Md. Abdur Rouf Hossain, Md. Ismail Kabir, Md. Shahjahan Technological advancements have long played crucial roles in rice productivity and food security in Bangladesh. Seasonal variation over time and regional differences in rice production, however, pose a threat to agricultural sustainability but remain unexplored. We performed a spatial-temporal mapping of rice cultivation area, production, and yield from 2006–2007 to 2019–2020 using secondary data for disaggregating 64 districts in Bangladesh. Growth and multivariate approaches were employed to analyze time-series data. Results showed that Mymensingh had the highest rice cultivated area and production, while Bandarban had the lowest. The 14 years highest average rice yield was found in Gopalganj and Dhaka (3.63 tons/ha), while Patuakhali (1.73 tons/ha) had the lowest. For the Aus, Aman, and Boro, the rice cultivation area in 19 districts, 11 districts, and 13 districts declined significantly. The overall rice production increased significantly in most districts. For the Aus, Aman, and Boro seasons, the rice yield in 54, 50, and 37 districts demonstrated a significant upward trend, respectively. The adoption rate of modern varieties has risen dramatically. However, there are notable variances between regions and seasons. A significant increasing trend in Aus (0.007% to 0.521%), Aman (0.004% to 0.039%), and Boro (0.013% to 0.584%) were observed in 28, 34, and 36 districts, respectively, with an increase of 1% adaptation of HYV. Predictions revealed that rice cultivation area and production of Aus, Aman, and Boro seasons will be increased in most of the regions of Bangladesh by 2030. Based on spatiotemporal cluster analysis, the five identified cluster groupings illustrated that clusters lack spatial cohesion and vary greatly seasonally. This suggests increasing rice production by expanding cultivable land, adopting high-yielding varieties, and integrating faster technological advancement in research and extension. The findings will assist scientists in developing region-specific production technologies and policymakers in designing decentral region-specific policies to ensure the future sustainability of rice production. 2024-03-15 2024-12-19T12:53:03Z 2024-12-19T12:53:03Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/163825 en Open Access Al Mamun, Md. Abdullah; Nihad, Sheikh Arafat Islam; Sarker, Mou Rani; Sarkar, Md Abdur Rouf; Hossain, Md. Ismail and Kabir, Md. Shahjahan. 2024. Spatiotemporal mapping of rice acreage and productivity growth in Bangladesh. PLoS ONE, Volume 19 no. 3 p. e0300648
spellingShingle Al Mamun, Md. Abdullah
Nihad, Sheikh Arafat Islam
Sarker, Mou Rani
Sarkar, Md. Abdur Rouf
Hossain, Md. Ismail
Kabir, Md. Shahjahan
Spatiotemporal mapping of rice acreage and productivity growth in Bangladesh
title Spatiotemporal mapping of rice acreage and productivity growth in Bangladesh
title_full Spatiotemporal mapping of rice acreage and productivity growth in Bangladesh
title_fullStr Spatiotemporal mapping of rice acreage and productivity growth in Bangladesh
title_full_unstemmed Spatiotemporal mapping of rice acreage and productivity growth in Bangladesh
title_short Spatiotemporal mapping of rice acreage and productivity growth in Bangladesh
title_sort spatiotemporal mapping of rice acreage and productivity growth in bangladesh
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/163825
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