Univariate versus multivariate flood frequency analysis in tropical region: Employing two classes of hydrological models

Flood frequency analysis is critical in flood planning and management and hydraulic structures design. While univariate flood frequency analysis (using the peak flow) is still widely employed in developing countries, how does it compare to the robust copula‐based bivariate flood frequency analysis r...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Deb, Proloy, Malakar, Pragnaditya, Bora, Pradip Kumar, Dubey, Swatantra Kumar
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Wiley 2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/163817
_version_ 1855524394459201536
author Deb, Proloy
Malakar, Pragnaditya
Bora, Pradip Kumar
Dubey, Swatantra Kumar
author_browse Bora, Pradip Kumar
Deb, Proloy
Dubey, Swatantra Kumar
Malakar, Pragnaditya
author_facet Deb, Proloy
Malakar, Pragnaditya
Bora, Pradip Kumar
Dubey, Swatantra Kumar
author_sort Deb, Proloy
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Flood frequency analysis is critical in flood planning and management and hydraulic structures design. While univariate flood frequency analysis (using the peak flow) is still widely employed in developing countries, how does it compare to the robust copula‐based bivariate flood frequency analysis remains unknown. Moreover, there is also a decade‐long critical question whether less data requiring hydrological models can be an alternate to the data‐intensive models in flood prediction, especially in a developing tropical country like India? To answer these questions, this study aims in comparing two types of hydrological models (IHACRES, a less data requiring model, and VIC‐3L, a data‐intensive model) in simulating the peak flows, following which the simulated peak flows are used in a detailed comparison of the univariate and bivariate flood frequency analysis. The results indicate that the data‐intensive fully distributed hydrological model performs poorly relative to the conceptually lumped IHACRES model at the study catchment in simulating the peak flows. Moreover, both univariate and copula‐based bivariate flood frequency analyses show similar peak flows for a given return period at the study catchment. Given that bivariate flood frequency analysis accounts for both peak flow and flood volume, it is recommended over the univariate flood frequency analysis since the results are widely applicable for flood planning and hydraulic structure designing the developing countries.
format Journal Article
id CGSpace163817
institution CGIAR Consortium
language Inglés
publishDate 2025
publishDateRange 2025
publishDateSort 2025
publisher Wiley
publisherStr Wiley
record_format dspace
spelling CGSpace1638172025-10-26T12:52:32Z Univariate versus multivariate flood frequency analysis in tropical region: Employing two classes of hydrological models Deb, Proloy Malakar, Pragnaditya Bora, Pradip Kumar Dubey, Swatantra Kumar flood forecasting water management hydraulic structures Flood frequency analysis is critical in flood planning and management and hydraulic structures design. While univariate flood frequency analysis (using the peak flow) is still widely employed in developing countries, how does it compare to the robust copula‐based bivariate flood frequency analysis remains unknown. Moreover, there is also a decade‐long critical question whether less data requiring hydrological models can be an alternate to the data‐intensive models in flood prediction, especially in a developing tropical country like India? To answer these questions, this study aims in comparing two types of hydrological models (IHACRES, a less data requiring model, and VIC‐3L, a data‐intensive model) in simulating the peak flows, following which the simulated peak flows are used in a detailed comparison of the univariate and bivariate flood frequency analysis. The results indicate that the data‐intensive fully distributed hydrological model performs poorly relative to the conceptually lumped IHACRES model at the study catchment in simulating the peak flows. Moreover, both univariate and copula‐based bivariate flood frequency analyses show similar peak flows for a given return period at the study catchment. Given that bivariate flood frequency analysis accounts for both peak flow and flood volume, it is recommended over the univariate flood frequency analysis since the results are widely applicable for flood planning and hydraulic structure designing the developing countries. 2025-01 2024-12-19T12:53:03Z 2024-12-19T12:53:03Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/163817 en Wiley Deb, Proloy; Malakar, Pragnaditya; Bora, Pradip Kumar and Dubey, Swatantra Kumar. 2024. Univariate versus multivariate flood frequency analysis in tropical region: Employing two classes of hydrological models. CLEAN Soil Air Water,
spellingShingle flood forecasting
water management
hydraulic structures
Deb, Proloy
Malakar, Pragnaditya
Bora, Pradip Kumar
Dubey, Swatantra Kumar
Univariate versus multivariate flood frequency analysis in tropical region: Employing two classes of hydrological models
title Univariate versus multivariate flood frequency analysis in tropical region: Employing two classes of hydrological models
title_full Univariate versus multivariate flood frequency analysis in tropical region: Employing two classes of hydrological models
title_fullStr Univariate versus multivariate flood frequency analysis in tropical region: Employing two classes of hydrological models
title_full_unstemmed Univariate versus multivariate flood frequency analysis in tropical region: Employing two classes of hydrological models
title_short Univariate versus multivariate flood frequency analysis in tropical region: Employing two classes of hydrological models
title_sort univariate versus multivariate flood frequency analysis in tropical region employing two classes of hydrological models
topic flood forecasting
water management
hydraulic structures
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/163817
work_keys_str_mv AT debproloy univariateversusmultivariatefloodfrequencyanalysisintropicalregionemployingtwoclassesofhydrologicalmodels
AT malakarpragnaditya univariateversusmultivariatefloodfrequencyanalysisintropicalregionemployingtwoclassesofhydrologicalmodels
AT borapradipkumar univariateversusmultivariatefloodfrequencyanalysisintropicalregionemployingtwoclassesofhydrologicalmodels
AT dubeyswatantrakumar univariateversusmultivariatefloodfrequencyanalysisintropicalregionemployingtwoclassesofhydrologicalmodels