Validating APSIM for the Northern Territory of Australia: An environment with challenging weather and soils

Extreme weather (high rainfall and temperatures) and challenging soils are sources of uncertainties in the use of current crop models that have been developed for more favorable environments. This may limit their applicability to guide and support decision making for the development of new agricultu...

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Autores principales: Pembleton, Keith G., Radanielson, Ando M.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Wiley 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/163814
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author Pembleton, Keith G.
Radanielson, Ando M.
author_browse Pembleton, Keith G.
Radanielson, Ando M.
author_facet Pembleton, Keith G.
Radanielson, Ando M.
author_sort Pembleton, Keith G.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Extreme weather (high rainfall and temperatures) and challenging soils are sources of uncertainties in the use of current crop models that have been developed for more favorable environments. This may limit their applicability to guide and support decision making for the development of new agricultural regions in tropical environments. We evaluated the accuracy of the Agricultural Production Systems Simulator (APSIM) framework in representing yield and development of a range of crops across multiple locations in the Northern Territory of Australia, a tropical region with large potential for agricultural development. Observations of yield, biomass, and phenology for a range of crops from 28 experiments undertaken at three locations were compiled and used to develop simulations undertaken using APSIM version 7.10. Model performance varied with coefficients of determination and concordance correlation coefficients ranging from 0.36 to 0.98 and 0.37 to 0.93, respectively. Instances where model performance was less than ideal were associated with conditions presenting a limited number of observed values. Deviations by the model from yield observations were larger for situations with high‐yielding crops and low daily maximum temperatures during vegetative growth stages. Deviations in phenology were larger for conditions associated with water and N stress. APSIM was capable of representing the yield, biomass, and development of cereal and pulse crops and can be used with confidence to assist the expansion of agriculture in tropical environments such as the Northern Territory of Australia.
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spelling CGSpace1638142025-02-19T14:26:49Z Validating APSIM for the Northern Territory of Australia: An environment with challenging weather and soils Pembleton, Keith G. Radanielson, Ando M. extreme weather events environmental factors tropical zones crops Extreme weather (high rainfall and temperatures) and challenging soils are sources of uncertainties in the use of current crop models that have been developed for more favorable environments. This may limit their applicability to guide and support decision making for the development of new agricultural regions in tropical environments. We evaluated the accuracy of the Agricultural Production Systems Simulator (APSIM) framework in representing yield and development of a range of crops across multiple locations in the Northern Territory of Australia, a tropical region with large potential for agricultural development. Observations of yield, biomass, and phenology for a range of crops from 28 experiments undertaken at three locations were compiled and used to develop simulations undertaken using APSIM version 7.10. Model performance varied with coefficients of determination and concordance correlation coefficients ranging from 0.36 to 0.98 and 0.37 to 0.93, respectively. Instances where model performance was less than ideal were associated with conditions presenting a limited number of observed values. Deviations by the model from yield observations were larger for situations with high‐yielding crops and low daily maximum temperatures during vegetative growth stages. Deviations in phenology were larger for conditions associated with water and N stress. APSIM was capable of representing the yield, biomass, and development of cereal and pulse crops and can be used with confidence to assist the expansion of agriculture in tropical environments such as the Northern Territory of Australia. 2024-05 2024-12-19T12:53:03Z 2024-12-19T12:53:03Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/163814 en Open Access Wiley Pembleton, Keith G.; Radanielson, Ando M. 2024. Validating APSIM for the Northern Territory of Australia: An environment with challenging weather and soils. Agronomy Journal, Volume 116 no. 3 p. 1357-1370
spellingShingle extreme weather events
environmental factors
tropical zones
crops
Pembleton, Keith G.
Radanielson, Ando M.
Validating APSIM for the Northern Territory of Australia: An environment with challenging weather and soils
title Validating APSIM for the Northern Territory of Australia: An environment with challenging weather and soils
title_full Validating APSIM for the Northern Territory of Australia: An environment with challenging weather and soils
title_fullStr Validating APSIM for the Northern Territory of Australia: An environment with challenging weather and soils
title_full_unstemmed Validating APSIM for the Northern Territory of Australia: An environment with challenging weather and soils
title_short Validating APSIM for the Northern Territory of Australia: An environment with challenging weather and soils
title_sort validating apsim for the northern territory of australia an environment with challenging weather and soils
topic extreme weather events
environmental factors
tropical zones
crops
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/163814
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