Future of fish for food and nutrition security in Nigeria

The objective of this study was to provide a future macro picture of the fish sector in Nigeria until 2050 by projecting the dynamics of fish supply and demand and drawing policy implications on food security that can be of interest to policymakers in Nigeria. The study uses a multispecies–multisect...

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Autores principales: Chan, Chin Yee, Long Chu, Hoang, Tran, Nhuong, Sari, Evren Can, Cheong, Kai Ching, Olagunju, Olanrewaju, Shikuku, Kelvin, Byrd, Kendra, Diyzee, Kanar, Subasinghe, Rohana, Siriwardena, Sunil
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: WorldFish 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/163446
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author Chan, Chin Yee
Long Chu, Hoang
Tran, Nhuong
Sari, Evren Can
Cheong, Kai Ching
Olagunju, Olanrewaju
Shikuku, Kelvin
Byrd, Kendra
Diyzee, Kanar
Subasinghe, Rohana
Siriwardena, Sunil
author_browse Byrd, Kendra
Chan, Chin Yee
Cheong, Kai Ching
Diyzee, Kanar
Long Chu, Hoang
Olagunju, Olanrewaju
Sari, Evren Can
Shikuku, Kelvin
Siriwardena, Sunil
Subasinghe, Rohana
Tran, Nhuong
author_facet Chan, Chin Yee
Long Chu, Hoang
Tran, Nhuong
Sari, Evren Can
Cheong, Kai Ching
Olagunju, Olanrewaju
Shikuku, Kelvin
Byrd, Kendra
Diyzee, Kanar
Subasinghe, Rohana
Siriwardena, Sunil
author_sort Chan, Chin Yee
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The objective of this study was to provide a future macro picture of the fish sector in Nigeria until 2050 by projecting the dynamics of fish supply and demand and drawing policy implications on food security that can be of interest to policymakers in Nigeria. The study uses a multispecies–multisector–multiregion equilibrium model to provide projections for Nigeria’s fish sector and its impact on food and nutrition security by mid-century. The model incorporates both quantitative and qualitative insights from 63 stakeholders with various expertise in Nigeria to verify data, validate preliminary projection results and explore six alternative scenarios. Under the business-as-usual (BAU) scenario, the demand for fish in Nigeria would increase relatively fast, fueled by economic and demographic growth. The country’s current domestic fish production will not adequately meet the rapidly growing demand, leading to increased reliance on imports, and imports would increase until 2050 in all alternative scenarios. Aquaculture is likely to become the dominant source of fish production, accounting for over 60% of total fish supply by 2050.
format Artículo preliminar
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institution CGIAR Consortium
language Inglés
publishDate 2024
publishDateRange 2024
publishDateSort 2024
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publisherStr WorldFish
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spelling CGSpace1634462025-09-03T06:03:04Z Future of fish for food and nutrition security in Nigeria Chan, Chin Yee Long Chu, Hoang Tran, Nhuong Sari, Evren Can Cheong, Kai Ching Olagunju, Olanrewaju Shikuku, Kelvin Byrd, Kendra Diyzee, Kanar Subasinghe, Rohana Siriwardena, Sunil aquaculture nutrition security fish production fish foresight modeling The objective of this study was to provide a future macro picture of the fish sector in Nigeria until 2050 by projecting the dynamics of fish supply and demand and drawing policy implications on food security that can be of interest to policymakers in Nigeria. The study uses a multispecies–multisector–multiregion equilibrium model to provide projections for Nigeria’s fish sector and its impact on food and nutrition security by mid-century. The model incorporates both quantitative and qualitative insights from 63 stakeholders with various expertise in Nigeria to verify data, validate preliminary projection results and explore six alternative scenarios. Under the business-as-usual (BAU) scenario, the demand for fish in Nigeria would increase relatively fast, fueled by economic and demographic growth. The country’s current domestic fish production will not adequately meet the rapidly growing demand, leading to increased reliance on imports, and imports would increase until 2050 in all alternative scenarios. Aquaculture is likely to become the dominant source of fish production, accounting for over 60% of total fish supply by 2050. 2024-12-11 2024-12-13T08:19:22Z 2024-12-13T08:19:22Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/163446 en Open Access application/pdf WorldFish Chan CY, Chu L, Tran N, Sarı EC, Cheong KC, Olagunju O, Shikuku K, Byrd K, Kanar D, Subasinghe R and Siriwardena S. 2024. Future of fish for food and nutrition security in Nigeria. Penang, Malaysia: WorldFish. Working paper: 2024-62.
spellingShingle aquaculture
nutrition security
fish production
fish
foresight modeling
Chan, Chin Yee
Long Chu, Hoang
Tran, Nhuong
Sari, Evren Can
Cheong, Kai Ching
Olagunju, Olanrewaju
Shikuku, Kelvin
Byrd, Kendra
Diyzee, Kanar
Subasinghe, Rohana
Siriwardena, Sunil
Future of fish for food and nutrition security in Nigeria
title Future of fish for food and nutrition security in Nigeria
title_full Future of fish for food and nutrition security in Nigeria
title_fullStr Future of fish for food and nutrition security in Nigeria
title_full_unstemmed Future of fish for food and nutrition security in Nigeria
title_short Future of fish for food and nutrition security in Nigeria
title_sort future of fish for food and nutrition security in nigeria
topic aquaculture
nutrition security
fish production
fish
foresight modeling
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/163446
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