Integrating rainfall index-based insurance with optimal crop management strategies can reduce financial risks for Australian dryland cotton farmers

Drought undermines the financial sustainability of farmers. While farmers have adopted various strategies to mitigate some drought impacts, they remain exposed to substantial drought risk. Insurance could be useful in managing climatic risks and for encouraging farmers to take sensible risks (e.g.,...

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Autores principales: Thong Nguyen-Huy, Kath, J., Kouadio, L., King, R., Mushtaq, S., Barratt, J.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/163007
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author Thong Nguyen-Huy
Kath, J.
Kouadio, L.
King, R.
Mushtaq, S.
Barratt, J.
author_browse Barratt, J.
Kath, J.
King, R.
Kouadio, L.
Mushtaq, S.
Thong Nguyen-Huy
author_facet Thong Nguyen-Huy
Kath, J.
Kouadio, L.
King, R.
Mushtaq, S.
Barratt, J.
author_sort Thong Nguyen-Huy
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Drought undermines the financial sustainability of farmers. While farmers have adopted various strategies to mitigate some drought impacts, they remain exposed to substantial drought risk. Insurance could be useful in managing climatic risks and for encouraging farmers to take sensible risks (e.g., changing their sowing date to increase yield), but it can be costly. Here, we tested whether the integration of a change in sowing date with rainfall index-based insurance could improve farmer profitability and income stability. We used the Agricultural Production Systems Simulator (APSIM)-Cotton model to simulate cotton lint yields for various sowing dates, taking into account different management strategies, across three dry-land cotton research farm sites – Dalby, Goondiwindi, and Theodore – from 1940 to 2022. We designed the index-based insurance payout when the average rainfall received during the growing season falls below a predefined level, such as the 5th, 10th, or 20th percentile of rainfall. Our study, which involved 3.9 million cotton lint simulations and 3,000 rainfall indexbased insurance products, showed that combining a shift in sowing date with insurance can lead to an income improvement of up to 21.5% at some study sites. Additionally, in drought years, the income improvement for farmers who combined optimal sowing dates with rainfall index-based insurance was up to 48.0%. The framework developed in this study could aid in devising financial strategies to enhance farming resilience during climate extremes.
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spelling CGSpace1630072025-12-08T10:11:39Z Integrating rainfall index-based insurance with optimal crop management strategies can reduce financial risks for Australian dryland cotton farmers Thong Nguyen-Huy Kath, J. Kouadio, L. King, R. Mushtaq, S. Barratt, J. crops crop management strategies risk finance Drought undermines the financial sustainability of farmers. While farmers have adopted various strategies to mitigate some drought impacts, they remain exposed to substantial drought risk. Insurance could be useful in managing climatic risks and for encouraging farmers to take sensible risks (e.g., changing their sowing date to increase yield), but it can be costly. Here, we tested whether the integration of a change in sowing date with rainfall index-based insurance could improve farmer profitability and income stability. We used the Agricultural Production Systems Simulator (APSIM)-Cotton model to simulate cotton lint yields for various sowing dates, taking into account different management strategies, across three dry-land cotton research farm sites – Dalby, Goondiwindi, and Theodore – from 1940 to 2022. We designed the index-based insurance payout when the average rainfall received during the growing season falls below a predefined level, such as the 5th, 10th, or 20th percentile of rainfall. Our study, which involved 3.9 million cotton lint simulations and 3,000 rainfall indexbased insurance products, showed that combining a shift in sowing date with insurance can lead to an income improvement of up to 21.5% at some study sites. Additionally, in drought years, the income improvement for farmers who combined optimal sowing dates with rainfall index-based insurance was up to 48.0%. The framework developed in this study could aid in devising financial strategies to enhance farming resilience during climate extremes. 2024-12 2024-12-04T04:55:33Z 2024-12-04T04:55:33Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/163007 en Open Access application/pdf Elsevier Nguyen-Huy, T., Kath, J., Kouadio, L., King, R., Mushtaq, S. and Barratt, J. 2024. Integrating rainfall index-based insurance with optimal crop management strategies can reduce financial risks for Australian dryland cotton farmers. Sustainable Futures 8:100249.
spellingShingle crops
crop management
strategies
risk
finance
Thong Nguyen-Huy
Kath, J.
Kouadio, L.
King, R.
Mushtaq, S.
Barratt, J.
Integrating rainfall index-based insurance with optimal crop management strategies can reduce financial risks for Australian dryland cotton farmers
title Integrating rainfall index-based insurance with optimal crop management strategies can reduce financial risks for Australian dryland cotton farmers
title_full Integrating rainfall index-based insurance with optimal crop management strategies can reduce financial risks for Australian dryland cotton farmers
title_fullStr Integrating rainfall index-based insurance with optimal crop management strategies can reduce financial risks for Australian dryland cotton farmers
title_full_unstemmed Integrating rainfall index-based insurance with optimal crop management strategies can reduce financial risks for Australian dryland cotton farmers
title_short Integrating rainfall index-based insurance with optimal crop management strategies can reduce financial risks for Australian dryland cotton farmers
title_sort integrating rainfall index based insurance with optimal crop management strategies can reduce financial risks for australian dryland cotton farmers
topic crops
crop management
strategies
risk
finance
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/163007
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