Educational responses to local and migration destination shocks: Evidence from China
Over the last 20 years, China has experienced substantial positive shocks to export-oriented industries—especially following its accession to the World Trade Organization—and these shocks have had major implications for human capital investment. One primary channel through which export expansion can...
| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Oxford University Press
2025
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/162642 |
| _version_ | 1855542912446627840 |
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| author | Leight, Jessica Pan, Yao |
| author_browse | Leight, Jessica Pan, Yao |
| author_facet | Leight, Jessica Pan, Yao |
| author_sort | Leight, Jessica |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Over the last 20 years, China has experienced substantial positive shocks to export-oriented industries—especially following its accession to the World Trade Organization—and these shocks have had major implications for human capital investment. One primary channel through which export expansion can shape choices about human capital accumulation is positive labor-demand shocks, and these shocks can be observed both at potential within-country migration destinations and in the locality of birth. Exploiting cross-county variation in the reduction in export tariff uncertainty post-WTO, both locally and at plausible migration destinations, this analysis finds that youth in China reaching matriculation age post-accession in counties experiencing a larger export shock (either locally or at those destinations) show a lower probability of enrolling in high school. This pattern is observed in a sample including both youth who ultimately migrate and youth who do not migrate. For urban youth, the effects of local shocks are larger than the effects of destination shocks, but the opposite pattern is observed for rural youth.
A supplementary online appendix is available with this article at The World Bank Economic Review website.
JEL classification: F14, F16, J24, O15, O18, O19 |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace162642 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| publishDateRange | 2025 |
| publishDateSort | 2025 |
| publisher | Oxford University Press |
| publisherStr | Oxford University Press |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1626422025-12-19T20:34:05Z Educational responses to local and migration destination shocks: Evidence from China Leight, Jessica Pan, Yao capital exports human capital shock trade transport international organizations Over the last 20 years, China has experienced substantial positive shocks to export-oriented industries—especially following its accession to the World Trade Organization—and these shocks have had major implications for human capital investment. One primary channel through which export expansion can shape choices about human capital accumulation is positive labor-demand shocks, and these shocks can be observed both at potential within-country migration destinations and in the locality of birth. Exploiting cross-county variation in the reduction in export tariff uncertainty post-WTO, both locally and at plausible migration destinations, this analysis finds that youth in China reaching matriculation age post-accession in counties experiencing a larger export shock (either locally or at those destinations) show a lower probability of enrolling in high school. This pattern is observed in a sample including both youth who ultimately migrate and youth who do not migrate. For urban youth, the effects of local shocks are larger than the effects of destination shocks, but the opposite pattern is observed for rural youth. A supplementary online appendix is available with this article at The World Bank Economic Review website. JEL classification: F14, F16, J24, O15, O18, O19 2025-11 2024-11-22T16:21:23Z 2024-11-22T16:21:23Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/162642 en Open Access Oxford University Press Leight, Jessica; and Pan, Yao. 2025. Educational responses to local and migration destination shocks: Evidence from China. World Bank Economic Review 39(4): 971-992. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/lhae050 |
| spellingShingle | capital exports human capital shock trade transport international organizations Leight, Jessica Pan, Yao Educational responses to local and migration destination shocks: Evidence from China |
| title | Educational responses to local and migration destination shocks: Evidence from China |
| title_full | Educational responses to local and migration destination shocks: Evidence from China |
| title_fullStr | Educational responses to local and migration destination shocks: Evidence from China |
| title_full_unstemmed | Educational responses to local and migration destination shocks: Evidence from China |
| title_short | Educational responses to local and migration destination shocks: Evidence from China |
| title_sort | educational responses to local and migration destination shocks evidence from china |
| topic | capital exports human capital shock trade transport international organizations |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/162642 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT leightjessica educationalresponsestolocalandmigrationdestinationshocksevidencefromchina AT panyao educationalresponsestolocalandmigrationdestinationshocksevidencefromchina |