The effect of population growth on economic growth: A meta-regression analysis of the macroeconomic literature

Many studies have sought to gauge the impact of population growth on economic growth. A well‐known stylized fact of this literature is that the estimated effects of population growth measures on economic growth are not robust, varying between being positive, negative, and insignificantly different f...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Headey, Derek D., Hodge, Andrew
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Wiley 2009
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/162127
_version_ 1855516913125294080
author Headey, Derek D.
Hodge, Andrew
author_browse Headey, Derek D.
Hodge, Andrew
author_facet Headey, Derek D.
Hodge, Andrew
author_sort Headey, Derek D.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Many studies have sought to gauge the impact of population growth on economic growth. A well‐known stylized fact of this literature is that the estimated effects of population growth measures on economic growth are not robust, varying between being positive, negative, and insignificantly different from zero. The present study analyzes 471 statistical regressions from 29 prominent economic growth studies using meta‐regression analysis to identify the effect of alternative methodologies on key population growth results. This study finds that a broad set of methodological factors explains more than half of the variation in the population growth effects observed from this literature, including the types of variables used to measure population growth, the countries selected, the time frame of the analysis, and the nature of the control variables specified. The study also yields results that have implications for policymakers, especially insofar as several policy factors seem to influence the population change–economic growth nexus. Particularly strong is the evidence in support of the increasingly adverse effects of population growth in the post‐1980 period, suggesting that demographic issues should warrant greater attention than they currently receive from the policymaking community.
format Journal Article
id CGSpace162127
institution CGIAR Consortium
language Inglés
publishDate 2009
publishDateRange 2009
publishDateSort 2009
publisher Wiley
publisherStr Wiley
record_format dspace
spelling CGSpace1621272024-11-21T10:01:17Z The effect of population growth on economic growth: A meta-regression analysis of the macroeconomic literature Headey, Derek D. Hodge, Andrew economic growth population growth regression analysis Many studies have sought to gauge the impact of population growth on economic growth. A well‐known stylized fact of this literature is that the estimated effects of population growth measures on economic growth are not robust, varying between being positive, negative, and insignificantly different from zero. The present study analyzes 471 statistical regressions from 29 prominent economic growth studies using meta‐regression analysis to identify the effect of alternative methodologies on key population growth results. This study finds that a broad set of methodological factors explains more than half of the variation in the population growth effects observed from this literature, including the types of variables used to measure population growth, the countries selected, the time frame of the analysis, and the nature of the control variables specified. The study also yields results that have implications for policymakers, especially insofar as several policy factors seem to influence the population change–economic growth nexus. Particularly strong is the evidence in support of the increasingly adverse effects of population growth in the post‐1980 period, suggesting that demographic issues should warrant greater attention than they currently receive from the policymaking community. 2009-06 2024-11-21T10:01:17Z 2024-11-21T10:01:17Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/162127 en Limited Access Wiley Headey, Derek D.; Hodge, Andrew. 2009. The effect of population growth on economic growth. Population and Development Review 35(2):221-248
spellingShingle economic growth
population growth
regression analysis
Headey, Derek D.
Hodge, Andrew
The effect of population growth on economic growth: A meta-regression analysis of the macroeconomic literature
title The effect of population growth on economic growth: A meta-regression analysis of the macroeconomic literature
title_full The effect of population growth on economic growth: A meta-regression analysis of the macroeconomic literature
title_fullStr The effect of population growth on economic growth: A meta-regression analysis of the macroeconomic literature
title_full_unstemmed The effect of population growth on economic growth: A meta-regression analysis of the macroeconomic literature
title_short The effect of population growth on economic growth: A meta-regression analysis of the macroeconomic literature
title_sort effect of population growth on economic growth a meta regression analysis of the macroeconomic literature
topic economic growth
population growth
regression analysis
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/162127
work_keys_str_mv AT headeyderekd theeffectofpopulationgrowthoneconomicgrowthametaregressionanalysisofthemacroeconomicliterature
AT hodgeandrew theeffectofpopulationgrowthoneconomicgrowthametaregressionanalysisofthemacroeconomicliterature
AT headeyderekd effectofpopulationgrowthoneconomicgrowthametaregressionanalysisofthemacroeconomicliterature
AT hodgeandrew effectofpopulationgrowthoneconomicgrowthametaregressionanalysisofthemacroeconomicliterature