Impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia: a multimarket model analysis
The potential impact of a highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreak in Ethiopia is assessed, specifically on the country’s poultry and associated sectors. Ethiopia has not yet experienced an HPAI outbreak but has experienced a scare. An HPAI outbreak would cause a supply and demand shock to...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Brief |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
International Food Policy Research Institute
2009
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/162009 |
| _version_ | 1855527384612077568 |
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| author | Thomas, Marcelle Diao, Xinshen Roy, Devesh |
| author_browse | Diao, Xinshen Roy, Devesh Thomas, Marcelle |
| author_facet | Thomas, Marcelle Diao, Xinshen Roy, Devesh |
| author_sort | Thomas, Marcelle |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | The potential impact of a highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreak in Ethiopia is assessed, specifically on the country’s poultry and associated sectors. Ethiopia has not yet experienced an HPAI outbreak but has experienced a scare. An HPAI outbreak would cause a supply and demand shock to the poultry sector. Whereas supply shocks would be related directly to the disease and be local, demand shocks would be more dispersed across regions. Results of a dynamic spatially disaggregated multimarket model indicate that, given the poultry sector’s small contribution to the Ethiopian economy, the likely overall effect of an HPAI outbreak on the economy would be small. Importantly, for the same reason that aggregate impacts are likely to be small, the livelihood impact could be large, because poor households participate significantly in poultry production. |
| format | Brief |
| id | CGSpace162009 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2009 |
| publishDateRange | 2009 |
| publishDateSort | 2009 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1620092025-11-06T04:34:39Z Impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia: a multimarket model analysis Thomas, Marcelle Diao, Xinshen Roy, Devesh highly pathogenic avian influenza poultry farming The potential impact of a highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreak in Ethiopia is assessed, specifically on the country’s poultry and associated sectors. Ethiopia has not yet experienced an HPAI outbreak but has experienced a scare. An HPAI outbreak would cause a supply and demand shock to the poultry sector. Whereas supply shocks would be related directly to the disease and be local, demand shocks would be more dispersed across regions. Results of a dynamic spatially disaggregated multimarket model indicate that, given the poultry sector’s small contribution to the Ethiopian economy, the likely overall effect of an HPAI outbreak on the economy would be small. Importantly, for the same reason that aggregate impacts are likely to be small, the livelihood impact could be large, because poor households participate significantly in poultry production. 2009 2024-11-21T10:00:23Z 2024-11-21T10:00:23Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/162009 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute International Livestock Research Institute Royal Veterinary College Thomas, Marcelle; Diao, Xinshen; Roy, Devesh. 2009. Impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia: a multimarket model analysis. Controlling avian flu and protecting people’s livelihoods in Africa and Indonesia; HPAI Research Brief 13. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/162009 |
| spellingShingle | highly pathogenic avian influenza poultry farming Thomas, Marcelle Diao, Xinshen Roy, Devesh Impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia: a multimarket model analysis |
| title | Impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia: a multimarket model analysis |
| title_full | Impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia: a multimarket model analysis |
| title_fullStr | Impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia: a multimarket model analysis |
| title_full_unstemmed | Impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia: a multimarket model analysis |
| title_short | Impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia: a multimarket model analysis |
| title_sort | impact of a potential avian flu outbreak in ethiopia a multimarket model analysis |
| topic | highly pathogenic avian influenza poultry farming |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/162009 |
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