Options for agricultural growth for poverty reduction in Nigeria

This study analyzes growth options in agricultural sub-sectors to accelerate overall economic growth and reduce poverty in Nigeria in the next nine years (2009-17) using an economy-wide, dynamic computable general equilibrium (DCGE) model. The model results show that if the individual agricultural s...

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Main Authors: Diao, Xinshen, Nwafor, Manson, Alpuerto, Vida
Format: Artículo preliminar
Language:Inglés
Published: International Food Policy Research Institute 2009
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/161493
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author Diao, Xinshen
Nwafor, Manson
Alpuerto, Vida
author_browse Alpuerto, Vida
Diao, Xinshen
Nwafor, Manson
author_facet Diao, Xinshen
Nwafor, Manson
Alpuerto, Vida
author_sort Diao, Xinshen
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This study analyzes growth options in agricultural sub-sectors to accelerate overall economic growth and reduce poverty in Nigeria in the next nine years (2009-17) using an economy-wide, dynamic computable general equilibrium (DCGE) model. The model results show that if the individual agricultural subsectors’ growth targets set by the Nigerian government can be achieved, the country will have 9.5 percent of agricultural annual growth and 8.0 percent of GDP growth in the next 10 years. The national poverty rate will fall to 30.8 percent by 2017, more than halving 1996’s poverty rate of 65.6 percent, thereby accomplishing the objective for MDG1. The report emphasizes that in designing an agricultural strategy and in prioritizing growth, it is important to consider the following four factors at the subsector level: (i) the size of a subsector in the economy, (ii) growth multiplier effect through linkages of a subsector with the rest of the economy, (iii) poverty reduction – growth elasticity effect through growth primarily led by a subsector, and (iv) market opportunities and price effect for individual agricultural products.
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spelling CGSpace1614932025-11-06T07:24:38Z Options for agricultural growth for poverty reduction in Nigeria Diao, Xinshen Nwafor, Manson Alpuerto, Vida agricultural growth poverty alleviation economic growth computable general equilibrium models government strategies market opportunities agricultural products This study analyzes growth options in agricultural sub-sectors to accelerate overall economic growth and reduce poverty in Nigeria in the next nine years (2009-17) using an economy-wide, dynamic computable general equilibrium (DCGE) model. The model results show that if the individual agricultural subsectors’ growth targets set by the Nigerian government can be achieved, the country will have 9.5 percent of agricultural annual growth and 8.0 percent of GDP growth in the next 10 years. The national poverty rate will fall to 30.8 percent by 2017, more than halving 1996’s poverty rate of 65.6 percent, thereby accomplishing the objective for MDG1. The report emphasizes that in designing an agricultural strategy and in prioritizing growth, it is important to consider the following four factors at the subsector level: (i) the size of a subsector in the economy, (ii) growth multiplier effect through linkages of a subsector with the rest of the economy, (iii) poverty reduction – growth elasticity effect through growth primarily led by a subsector, and (iv) market opportunities and price effect for individual agricultural products. 2009 2024-11-21T09:56:05Z 2024-11-21T09:56:05Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/161493 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Diao, Xinshen; Nwafor, Manson; and Alpuerto, Vida. 2009. Options for agricultural growth for poverty reduction in Nigeria. NSSP Working Paper 2. Abuja, Nigeria: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/161493
spellingShingle agricultural growth
poverty alleviation
economic growth
computable general equilibrium models
government
strategies
market opportunities
agricultural products
Diao, Xinshen
Nwafor, Manson
Alpuerto, Vida
Options for agricultural growth for poverty reduction in Nigeria
title Options for agricultural growth for poverty reduction in Nigeria
title_full Options for agricultural growth for poverty reduction in Nigeria
title_fullStr Options for agricultural growth for poverty reduction in Nigeria
title_full_unstemmed Options for agricultural growth for poverty reduction in Nigeria
title_short Options for agricultural growth for poverty reduction in Nigeria
title_sort options for agricultural growth for poverty reduction in nigeria
topic agricultural growth
poverty alleviation
economic growth
computable general equilibrium models
government
strategies
market opportunities
agricultural products
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/161493
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