Trade liberalization and complementary domestic policies: a rural-urban general equilibrium analysis of Morocco.

In this study, a dynamically recursive general equilibrium model of Morocco is used to examine alternative trade and domestic policy scenarios involving the implementation of the EU Association Agreement for the period 1998-2012. The model has a detailed treatment of the agricultural and rural econo...

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Autores principales: Lofgren, Hans, El-Said, Moataz, Robinson, Sherman
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 1999
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/161361
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author Lofgren, Hans
El-Said, Moataz
Robinson, Sherman
author_browse El-Said, Moataz
Lofgren, Hans
Robinson, Sherman
author_facet Lofgren, Hans
El-Said, Moataz
Robinson, Sherman
author_sort Lofgren, Hans
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description In this study, a dynamically recursive general equilibrium model of Morocco is used to examine alternative trade and domestic policy scenarios involving the implementation of the EU Association Agreement for the period 1998-2012. The model has a detailed treatment of the agricultural and rural economy in Morocco. The results for the trade liberalization scenarios indicate that tariff unification has small aggregate effects whereas the removal of non-tariff barriers has strong positive aggregate effects: factor incomes and household welfare expand considerably more rapidly than for the base. However, trade liberalization disfavors the rural poor, especially in rainfed areas. We simulate the introduction of complementary domestic policies with a non-distorting transfer program that fully compensates the owners of rainfed resources and skill upgrading for the rural labor force. The results indicate that, if combined with at least one of these complementary domestic policies, trade liberalization can lead to a win-win outcome: the welfare of all household groups increases significantly more rapidly than if status-quo policies are followed.
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spelling CGSpace1613612025-11-06T07:25:34Z Trade liberalization and complementary domestic policies: a rural-urban general equilibrium analysis of Morocco. Lofgren, Hans El-Said, Moataz Robinson, Sherman trade liberalization econometrics tariffs mathematical models trade In this study, a dynamically recursive general equilibrium model of Morocco is used to examine alternative trade and domestic policy scenarios involving the implementation of the EU Association Agreement for the period 1998-2012. The model has a detailed treatment of the agricultural and rural economy in Morocco. The results for the trade liberalization scenarios indicate that tariff unification has small aggregate effects whereas the removal of non-tariff barriers has strong positive aggregate effects: factor incomes and household welfare expand considerably more rapidly than for the base. However, trade liberalization disfavors the rural poor, especially in rainfed areas. We simulate the introduction of complementary domestic policies with a non-distorting transfer program that fully compensates the owners of rainfed resources and skill upgrading for the rural labor force. The results indicate that, if combined with at least one of these complementary domestic policies, trade liberalization can lead to a win-win outcome: the welfare of all household groups increases significantly more rapidly than if status-quo policies are followed. 1999 2024-11-21T09:55:10Z 2024-11-21T09:55:10Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/161361 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Lofgren, Hans; El-Said, Moataz; Robinson, Sherman. 1999. Trade liberalization and complementary domestic policies;a rural-urban general equilibrium analysis of Morocco. TMD Discussion Paper 41. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/161361
spellingShingle trade liberalization
econometrics
tariffs
mathematical models
trade
Lofgren, Hans
El-Said, Moataz
Robinson, Sherman
Trade liberalization and complementary domestic policies: a rural-urban general equilibrium analysis of Morocco.
title Trade liberalization and complementary domestic policies: a rural-urban general equilibrium analysis of Morocco.
title_full Trade liberalization and complementary domestic policies: a rural-urban general equilibrium analysis of Morocco.
title_fullStr Trade liberalization and complementary domestic policies: a rural-urban general equilibrium analysis of Morocco.
title_full_unstemmed Trade liberalization and complementary domestic policies: a rural-urban general equilibrium analysis of Morocco.
title_short Trade liberalization and complementary domestic policies: a rural-urban general equilibrium analysis of Morocco.
title_sort trade liberalization and complementary domestic policies a rural urban general equilibrium analysis of morocco
topic trade liberalization
econometrics
tariffs
mathematical models
trade
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/161361
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