A sluggish demand could be as potent as technological progress in creating surplus in staple production: the case of Bangladesh

During the decade from 1982/83 through 1992/93, Bangladesh was able to increase production of rice, its staple food, at a rate modestly higher than the growth in population. However, the growth in per capita supply remained stagnant, because of the substitution of imports with domestic production. O...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Ahmed, Raisuddin
Format: Artículo preliminar
Language:Inglés
Published: International Food Policy Research Institute 1997
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/161140
_version_ 1855540307770212352
author Ahmed, Raisuddin
author_browse Ahmed, Raisuddin
author_facet Ahmed, Raisuddin
author_sort Ahmed, Raisuddin
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description During the decade from 1982/83 through 1992/93, Bangladesh was able to increase production of rice, its staple food, at a rate modestly higher than the growth in population. However, the growth in per capita supply remained stagnant, because of the substitution of imports with domestic production. On the other hand, per capita income grew about 2 percent per annum. Nevertheless, the real price of rice declined about 2.7 percent annually. This decline in the rice price, on the face of a stagnant supply and increasing incomes, aroused suspicion whether income distribution has twisted against the poor who have a higher marginal propensity to consume rice compared to the rich. Three factors are identified that contributed to the decline in the rice price while per capita income increased: a) urbanization, b) diversification of diet, and c) income distribution. The analysis shows that, of a total demand depressing effect of 15.6 percent, urbanization accounts for 4 percentage points, cross-price effects for 7 percentage points, and worsening income distribution accounts, residually, for 4.6 percentage points. These findings are based on plausible values of demand and supply parameters which warrant fresh evaluation in the context of rapid structural change in the economy of Bangladesh.
format Artículo preliminar
id CGSpace161140
institution CGIAR Consortium
language Inglés
publishDate 1997
publishDateRange 1997
publishDateSort 1997
publisher International Food Policy Research Institute
publisherStr International Food Policy Research Institute
record_format dspace
spelling CGSpace1611402025-11-06T07:23:03Z A sluggish demand could be as potent as technological progress in creating surplus in staple production: the case of Bangladesh Ahmed, Raisuddin supply and demand urbanization rice income distribution production economics During the decade from 1982/83 through 1992/93, Bangladesh was able to increase production of rice, its staple food, at a rate modestly higher than the growth in population. However, the growth in per capita supply remained stagnant, because of the substitution of imports with domestic production. On the other hand, per capita income grew about 2 percent per annum. Nevertheless, the real price of rice declined about 2.7 percent annually. This decline in the rice price, on the face of a stagnant supply and increasing incomes, aroused suspicion whether income distribution has twisted against the poor who have a higher marginal propensity to consume rice compared to the rich. Three factors are identified that contributed to the decline in the rice price while per capita income increased: a) urbanization, b) diversification of diet, and c) income distribution. The analysis shows that, of a total demand depressing effect of 15.6 percent, urbanization accounts for 4 percentage points, cross-price effects for 7 percentage points, and worsening income distribution accounts, residually, for 4.6 percentage points. These findings are based on plausible values of demand and supply parameters which warrant fresh evaluation in the context of rapid structural change in the economy of Bangladesh. 1997 2024-11-21T09:53:44Z 2024-11-21T09:53:44Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/161140 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Ahmed, Raisuddin. 1997. A sluggish demand could be as potent as technological progress in creating surplus in staple production;the case of Bangladesh. MTID Discussion Paper 16. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/161140
spellingShingle supply and demand
urbanization
rice
income distribution
production economics
Ahmed, Raisuddin
A sluggish demand could be as potent as technological progress in creating surplus in staple production: the case of Bangladesh
title A sluggish demand could be as potent as technological progress in creating surplus in staple production: the case of Bangladesh
title_full A sluggish demand could be as potent as technological progress in creating surplus in staple production: the case of Bangladesh
title_fullStr A sluggish demand could be as potent as technological progress in creating surplus in staple production: the case of Bangladesh
title_full_unstemmed A sluggish demand could be as potent as technological progress in creating surplus in staple production: the case of Bangladesh
title_short A sluggish demand could be as potent as technological progress in creating surplus in staple production: the case of Bangladesh
title_sort sluggish demand could be as potent as technological progress in creating surplus in staple production the case of bangladesh
topic supply and demand
urbanization
rice
income distribution
production economics
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/161140
work_keys_str_mv AT ahmedraisuddin asluggishdemandcouldbeaspotentastechnologicalprogressincreatingsurplusinstapleproductionthecaseofbangladesh
AT ahmedraisuddin sluggishdemandcouldbeaspotentastechnologicalprogressincreatingsurplusinstapleproductionthecaseofbangladesh