China: Shadow WTO agricultural domestic support notifications

This paper reviews recent agricultural policy changes in China and presents estimates of domestic support for the period 1996-2005. A set of relevant alternative subsidy-definition scenarios and their effects on the calculated levels of support are analyzed, and a projection of domestic support thro...

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Main Author: Cheng, Fuzhi
Format: Artículo preliminar
Language:Inglés
Published: International Food Policy Research Institute 2008
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160992
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author Cheng, Fuzhi
author_browse Cheng, Fuzhi
author_facet Cheng, Fuzhi
author_sort Cheng, Fuzhi
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This paper reviews recent agricultural policy changes in China and presents estimates of domestic support for the period 1996-2005. A set of relevant alternative subsidy-definition scenarios and their effects on the calculated levels of support are analyzed, and a projection of domestic support through 2013 is presented. The paper concludes with a discussion of new WTO rules that may be negotiated in the Doha Round and their implications for China. Based on standard WTO subsidy calculation methods, our results indicated that China's domestic support for the period 1996-2005 has been well below the limits agreed at its WTO accession. The market price support (MPS) component of the aggregate measure of support (AMS) in China has been below zero, and this has dwarfed the relatively small but positive non-product specific AMS and led to a zero current total AMS after de minimis. China has no AMS commitments but can provide trade-distorting domestic support to agricultural producers up to 8.5 percent of the value of production (or RMB561 billion). Thus there appears to be substantial room for China to extend its amber box subsidy measures through heavy use of the de minimis provision. We project domestic support notifications through 2013 based on specified assumptions about domestic policies, including changes in administered prices and commodity program coverage. New rules potentially negotiated in the Doha Round are expected to provide more constraints on subsidies. Due to China's developing country status, with no AMS commitments under the Uruguay Round Agreement on Agriculture the impacts of these new constraints are shown to be limited, although our projections indicate that China may exceed its WTO commitment levels under certain price and commodity coverage scenarios.
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spelling CGSpace1609922025-11-06T06:21:20Z China: Shadow WTO agricultural domestic support notifications Cheng, Fuzhi agricultural policies trade agreements world trade organization support measures globalization markets This paper reviews recent agricultural policy changes in China and presents estimates of domestic support for the period 1996-2005. A set of relevant alternative subsidy-definition scenarios and their effects on the calculated levels of support are analyzed, and a projection of domestic support through 2013 is presented. The paper concludes with a discussion of new WTO rules that may be negotiated in the Doha Round and their implications for China. Based on standard WTO subsidy calculation methods, our results indicated that China's domestic support for the period 1996-2005 has been well below the limits agreed at its WTO accession. The market price support (MPS) component of the aggregate measure of support (AMS) in China has been below zero, and this has dwarfed the relatively small but positive non-product specific AMS and led to a zero current total AMS after de minimis. China has no AMS commitments but can provide trade-distorting domestic support to agricultural producers up to 8.5 percent of the value of production (or RMB561 billion). Thus there appears to be substantial room for China to extend its amber box subsidy measures through heavy use of the de minimis provision. We project domestic support notifications through 2013 based on specified assumptions about domestic policies, including changes in administered prices and commodity program coverage. New rules potentially negotiated in the Doha Round are expected to provide more constraints on subsidies. Due to China's developing country status, with no AMS commitments under the Uruguay Round Agreement on Agriculture the impacts of these new constraints are shown to be limited, although our projections indicate that China may exceed its WTO commitment levels under certain price and commodity coverage scenarios. 2008 2024-11-21T09:52:52Z 2024-11-21T09:52:52Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160992 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Cheng, Fuzhi. 2008. China: Shadow WTO agricultural domestic support notifications. IFPRI Discussion Paper 793. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160992
spellingShingle agricultural policies
trade agreements
world trade organization
support measures
globalization
markets
Cheng, Fuzhi
China: Shadow WTO agricultural domestic support notifications
title China: Shadow WTO agricultural domestic support notifications
title_full China: Shadow WTO agricultural domestic support notifications
title_fullStr China: Shadow WTO agricultural domestic support notifications
title_full_unstemmed China: Shadow WTO agricultural domestic support notifications
title_short China: Shadow WTO agricultural domestic support notifications
title_sort china shadow wto agricultural domestic support notifications
topic agricultural policies
trade agreements
world trade organization
support measures
globalization
markets
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160992
work_keys_str_mv AT chengfuzhi chinashadowwtoagriculturaldomesticsupportnotifications