Impact of global warming on Chinese wheat productivity
Climate change continues to have major impact on crop productivity all over the world. While many researchers have evaluated the possible impact of global warming on crop yields using mainly indirect crop simulation models, there are relatively few direct assessments on the impact of observed climat...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Artículo preliminar |
| Language: | Inglés |
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International Food Policy Research Institute
2005
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160736 |
| _version_ | 1855540146951159808 |
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| author | You, Liangzhi Rosegrant, Mark W. Fang, Cheng Wood, Stanley |
| author_browse | Fang, Cheng Rosegrant, Mark W. Wood, Stanley You, Liangzhi |
| author_facet | You, Liangzhi Rosegrant, Mark W. Fang, Cheng Wood, Stanley |
| author_sort | You, Liangzhi |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Climate change continues to have major impact on crop productivity all over the world. While many researchers have evaluated the possible impact of global warming on crop yields using mainly indirect crop simulation models, there are relatively few direct assessments on the impact of observed climate change on past crop yield and growth. We use a 1979-2000 Chinese crop-specific panel dataset to investigate the climate impact on Chinese wheat yield growth. We find that a 1 percent increase in wheat growing season temperature reduces wheat yields by about 0.3 percent. This negative impact is less severe than those reported in other regions. Rising temperature over the past two decades accounts for a 2.4 percent decline in wheat yields in China while the majority of the wheat yield growth, 75 percent, comes from increased use of physical inputs. We emphasize the necessity of including such major influencing factors as physical inputs into the crop yield-climate function in order to have an accurate estimation of climate impact on crop yields. |
| format | Artículo preliminar |
| id | CGSpace160736 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2005 |
| publishDateRange | 2005 |
| publishDateSort | 2005 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1607362025-11-06T07:22:48Z Impact of global warming on Chinese wheat productivity You, Liangzhi Rosegrant, Mark W. Fang, Cheng Wood, Stanley global warming climate wheat Climate change continues to have major impact on crop productivity all over the world. While many researchers have evaluated the possible impact of global warming on crop yields using mainly indirect crop simulation models, there are relatively few direct assessments on the impact of observed climate change on past crop yield and growth. We use a 1979-2000 Chinese crop-specific panel dataset to investigate the climate impact on Chinese wheat yield growth. We find that a 1 percent increase in wheat growing season temperature reduces wheat yields by about 0.3 percent. This negative impact is less severe than those reported in other regions. Rising temperature over the past two decades accounts for a 2.4 percent decline in wheat yields in China while the majority of the wheat yield growth, 75 percent, comes from increased use of physical inputs. We emphasize the necessity of including such major influencing factors as physical inputs into the crop yield-climate function in order to have an accurate estimation of climate impact on crop yields. 2005 2024-11-21T09:51:48Z 2024-11-21T09:51:48Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160736 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute You, Liangzhi; Rosegrant, Mark W.; Fang, Cheng; Wood, Stanley. Impact of global warming on Chinese wheat productivity. EPTD Discussion Paper 143. International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160736 |
| spellingShingle | global warming climate wheat You, Liangzhi Rosegrant, Mark W. Fang, Cheng Wood, Stanley Impact of global warming on Chinese wheat productivity |
| title | Impact of global warming on Chinese wheat productivity |
| title_full | Impact of global warming on Chinese wheat productivity |
| title_fullStr | Impact of global warming on Chinese wheat productivity |
| title_full_unstemmed | Impact of global warming on Chinese wheat productivity |
| title_short | Impact of global warming on Chinese wheat productivity |
| title_sort | impact of global warming on chinese wheat productivity |
| topic | global warming climate wheat |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160736 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT youliangzhi impactofglobalwarmingonchinesewheatproductivity AT rosegrantmarkw impactofglobalwarmingonchinesewheatproductivity AT fangcheng impactofglobalwarmingonchinesewheatproductivity AT woodstanley impactofglobalwarmingonchinesewheatproductivity |