Facing alternative futures: prospects for and paths to food security in Africa

Food security in Africa has substantially worsened since 1970. Although the proportion of malnourished individuals in Sub-Saharan Africa has remained in the range of 33–35 percent since around 1970, the absolute number of malnourished people in Africa has increased substantially with population grow...

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Autores principales: Rosegrant, Mark W., Cline, Sarah A., Li, Weibo, Sulser, Timothy B., Valmonte-Santos, Rowena
Formato: Brief
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2005
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160698
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author Rosegrant, Mark W.
Cline, Sarah A.
Li, Weibo
Sulser, Timothy B.
Valmonte-Santos, Rowena
author_browse Cline, Sarah A.
Li, Weibo
Rosegrant, Mark W.
Sulser, Timothy B.
Valmonte-Santos, Rowena
author_facet Rosegrant, Mark W.
Cline, Sarah A.
Li, Weibo
Sulser, Timothy B.
Valmonte-Santos, Rowena
author_sort Rosegrant, Mark W.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Food security in Africa has substantially worsened since 1970. Although the proportion of malnourished individuals in Sub-Saharan Africa has remained in the range of 33–35 percent since around 1970, the absolute number of malnourished people in Africa has increased substantially with population growth, from around 88 million in 1970 to an estimate of over 200 million in 1999–2001. Yet this discouraging trend need not be a blueprint for the future. New research from IFPRI shows that the policy and investment choices of African policymakers and the international development community can make an enormous difference for Africa’s future agricultural production and food security. By modeling the results of a number of different policy scenarios in Africa through the year 2025, we show that the number of malnourished children, one important indicator of food security, could rise as high as 41.9 million or fall as low as 9.4 million. These scenarios, therefore, shed light on the effectiveness of various policies and investments in assuring a food-secure future for Africa.
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spelling CGSpace1606982025-11-06T04:37:56Z Facing alternative futures: prospects for and paths to food security in Africa Rosegrant, Mark W. Cline, Sarah A. Li, Weibo Sulser, Timothy B. Valmonte-Santos, Rowena forecasting productivity human capital food policies trade liberalization research rainfed farming marketing margins commodities trade food supply food security climate change technological changes commodity markets resource management economic development prices nutrition malnutrition Food security in Africa has substantially worsened since 1970. Although the proportion of malnourished individuals in Sub-Saharan Africa has remained in the range of 33–35 percent since around 1970, the absolute number of malnourished people in Africa has increased substantially with population growth, from around 88 million in 1970 to an estimate of over 200 million in 1999–2001. Yet this discouraging trend need not be a blueprint for the future. New research from IFPRI shows that the policy and investment choices of African policymakers and the international development community can make an enormous difference for Africa’s future agricultural production and food security. By modeling the results of a number of different policy scenarios in Africa through the year 2025, we show that the number of malnourished children, one important indicator of food security, could rise as high as 41.9 million or fall as low as 9.4 million. These scenarios, therefore, shed light on the effectiveness of various policies and investments in assuring a food-secure future for Africa. 2005 2024-11-21T09:51:39Z 2024-11-21T09:51:39Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160698 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Rosegrant, Mark W.; Cline, Sarah A.; Li, Weibo; Sulser, Timothy B.; Valmonte-Santos, Rowena. Facing alternative futures: prospects for and paths to food security in Africa. 2020 Africa Conference Brief. 17; 39. International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160698
spellingShingle forecasting
productivity
human capital
food policies
trade liberalization
research
rainfed farming
marketing margins
commodities
trade
food supply
food security
climate change
technological changes
commodity markets
resource management
economic development
prices
nutrition
malnutrition
Rosegrant, Mark W.
Cline, Sarah A.
Li, Weibo
Sulser, Timothy B.
Valmonte-Santos, Rowena
Facing alternative futures: prospects for and paths to food security in Africa
title Facing alternative futures: prospects for and paths to food security in Africa
title_full Facing alternative futures: prospects for and paths to food security in Africa
title_fullStr Facing alternative futures: prospects for and paths to food security in Africa
title_full_unstemmed Facing alternative futures: prospects for and paths to food security in Africa
title_short Facing alternative futures: prospects for and paths to food security in Africa
title_sort facing alternative futures prospects for and paths to food security in africa
topic forecasting
productivity
human capital
food policies
trade liberalization
research
rainfed farming
marketing margins
commodities
trade
food supply
food security
climate change
technological changes
commodity markets
resource management
economic development
prices
nutrition
malnutrition
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160698
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