Doha scenarios, trade reforms, and poverty in the Philippines: a CGE analysis

The paper examines the possible impact of Doha agreement on Philippine poverty. Using a detailed CGE analysis, the agreement is observed to depress world demand for Philippine agricultural exports, and thus slightly increase poverty, especially among rural households. However, an ambitious full trad...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Cororaton, Caesar B., Cockburn, John, Corong, Erwin
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2005
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160692
Descripción
Sumario:The paper examines the possible impact of Doha agreement on Philippine poverty. Using a detailed CGE analysis, the agreement is observed to depress world demand for Philippine agricultural exports, and thus slightly increase poverty, especially among rural households. However, an ambitious full trade liberalization scenario, which involves free world trade and domestic liberalization, leads to increased industrial exports that favor urban households. These impacts are driven primarily by domestic trade liberalization, as free world trade favors the agricultural sector by increasing the cost of competing agricultural imports.