Introducing a genetically modified banana in Uganda: Social benefits, costs, and consumer perceptions

Banana is a staple crop consumed by Ugandan households. The Uganda National Agricultural Research Organization has implemented conventional and biotechnology programs that seek improving bananas and address the crop's most important pest and disease problems. A major thrust is the development of gen...

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Autores principales: Falck-Zepeda, José B., Kilkuwe, Enoch M., Wesseler, Justus
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2008
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160434
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author Falck-Zepeda, José B.
Kilkuwe, Enoch M.
Wesseler, Justus
author_browse Falck-Zepeda, José B.
Kilkuwe, Enoch M.
Wesseler, Justus
author_facet Falck-Zepeda, José B.
Kilkuwe, Enoch M.
Wesseler, Justus
author_sort Falck-Zepeda, José B.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Banana is a staple crop consumed by Ugandan households. The Uganda National Agricultural Research Organization has implemented conventional and biotechnology programs that seek improving bananas and address the crop's most important pest and disease problems. A major thrust is the development of genetically modified (GM) bananas. The purpose of this paper is to examine potential social welfare impacts of adopting a GM banana in Uganda. The study has three objectives. First, suggest and apply an approach to calculate reversible and irreversible benefits and costs of introducing a GM banana. The study applies a real option approach to estimate, ex ante, the maximum incremental social tolerable irreversible costs (MISTICs) that would justify immediate introduction of the technology. Second, suggest an approach for assessing producer/consumer preferences and willingness to pay (WTP) for introducing a GM banana. Finally, the paper discusses main implications for biosafety decision making for GM crops in Uganda. Results of MISTICs estimation for different scenarios indicate that in delaying the approval of a GM banana, Uganda foregoes potential annual benefits ranging approximately from US$179 million to US$365 million. Average annual MISTICs per household vary between US$34 and US$ 69. Results indicate that only if the average household is willing to give up at least US$38 per year to avoid introduction of a GM banana, should postponing an immediate release be considered. Results imply that although GM bananas promise vast benefits, realization of those benefits depends on consumers' perceptions and attitudes and the willingness to pay for the GM technology.
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spelling CGSpace1604342025-11-06T05:58:02Z Introducing a genetically modified banana in Uganda: Social benefits, costs, and consumer perceptions Falck-Zepeda, José B. Kilkuwe, Enoch M. Wesseler, Justus bananas experimental design biosafety biotechnology genetically modified organisms social welfare willingness to pay Banana is a staple crop consumed by Ugandan households. The Uganda National Agricultural Research Organization has implemented conventional and biotechnology programs that seek improving bananas and address the crop's most important pest and disease problems. A major thrust is the development of genetically modified (GM) bananas. The purpose of this paper is to examine potential social welfare impacts of adopting a GM banana in Uganda. The study has three objectives. First, suggest and apply an approach to calculate reversible and irreversible benefits and costs of introducing a GM banana. The study applies a real option approach to estimate, ex ante, the maximum incremental social tolerable irreversible costs (MISTICs) that would justify immediate introduction of the technology. Second, suggest an approach for assessing producer/consumer preferences and willingness to pay (WTP) for introducing a GM banana. Finally, the paper discusses main implications for biosafety decision making for GM crops in Uganda. Results of MISTICs estimation for different scenarios indicate that in delaying the approval of a GM banana, Uganda foregoes potential annual benefits ranging approximately from US$179 million to US$365 million. Average annual MISTICs per household vary between US$34 and US$ 69. Results indicate that only if the average household is willing to give up at least US$38 per year to avoid introduction of a GM banana, should postponing an immediate release be considered. Results imply that although GM bananas promise vast benefits, realization of those benefits depends on consumers' perceptions and attitudes and the willingness to pay for the GM technology. 2008 2024-11-21T09:50:47Z 2024-11-21T09:50:47Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160434 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Falck-Zepeda, José Benjamin; Kilkuwe, Enoch M.; Wesseler, Justus. 2008. Introducing a genetically modified banana in Uganda. IFPRI Discussion Paper 767. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160434
spellingShingle bananas
experimental design
biosafety
biotechnology
genetically modified organisms
social welfare
willingness to pay
Falck-Zepeda, José B.
Kilkuwe, Enoch M.
Wesseler, Justus
Introducing a genetically modified banana in Uganda: Social benefits, costs, and consumer perceptions
title Introducing a genetically modified banana in Uganda: Social benefits, costs, and consumer perceptions
title_full Introducing a genetically modified banana in Uganda: Social benefits, costs, and consumer perceptions
title_fullStr Introducing a genetically modified banana in Uganda: Social benefits, costs, and consumer perceptions
title_full_unstemmed Introducing a genetically modified banana in Uganda: Social benefits, costs, and consumer perceptions
title_short Introducing a genetically modified banana in Uganda: Social benefits, costs, and consumer perceptions
title_sort introducing a genetically modified banana in uganda social benefits costs and consumer perceptions
topic bananas
experimental design
biosafety
biotechnology
genetically modified organisms
social welfare
willingness to pay
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160434
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