Exploring growth linkages and market opportunities for agriculture in Southern Africa

Considering the heterogeneity of the countries of southern Africa and the presence of South Africa and other middle-income countries in the region, southern Africa has a unique opportunity to exploit agricultural potential and regional trade opportunities through regional dynamics and integration. W...

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Autores principales: Nin-Pratt, Alejandro, Diao, Xinshen
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2006
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160381
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author Nin-Pratt, Alejandro
Diao, Xinshen
author_browse Diao, Xinshen
Nin-Pratt, Alejandro
author_facet Nin-Pratt, Alejandro
Diao, Xinshen
author_sort Nin-Pratt, Alejandro
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Considering the heterogeneity of the countries of southern Africa and the presence of South Africa and other middle-income countries in the region, southern Africa has a unique opportunity to exploit agricultural potential and regional trade opportunities through regional dynamics and integration. We analyze the implications of such opportunities for the growth of the low-income countries, using a regional general equilibrium model that captures growth linkages. We find that growth in the middle-income southern African countries, such as South Africa, benefits the region’s low-income countries through increased demand for their agricultural exports. Agricultural productivity growth, however, is necessary for low-income countries to take advantage of South Africa’s growth. Productivity growth in the low-income countries’ grain and livestock sectors generates more growth in GDP and food consumption than growth in nontraditional export crops. Unlike other regions where growth in grain production is likely to be constrained by domestic demand, expanding middle-income economies in southern Africa provide additional demand for grains and livestock, slowing the decline in grain prices in the region.
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spelling CGSpace1603812025-11-06T07:24:32Z Exploring growth linkages and market opportunities for agriculture in Southern Africa Nin-Pratt, Alejandro Diao, Xinshen agricultural productivity agricultural growth exports Considering the heterogeneity of the countries of southern Africa and the presence of South Africa and other middle-income countries in the region, southern Africa has a unique opportunity to exploit agricultural potential and regional trade opportunities through regional dynamics and integration. We analyze the implications of such opportunities for the growth of the low-income countries, using a regional general equilibrium model that captures growth linkages. We find that growth in the middle-income southern African countries, such as South Africa, benefits the region’s low-income countries through increased demand for their agricultural exports. Agricultural productivity growth, however, is necessary for low-income countries to take advantage of South Africa’s growth. Productivity growth in the low-income countries’ grain and livestock sectors generates more growth in GDP and food consumption than growth in nontraditional export crops. Unlike other regions where growth in grain production is likely to be constrained by domestic demand, expanding middle-income economies in southern Africa provide additional demand for grains and livestock, slowing the decline in grain prices in the region. 2006 2024-11-21T09:50:38Z 2024-11-21T09:50:38Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160381 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Nin-Pratt, Alejandro; Diao, Xinshen. Exploring growth linkages and market opportunities for agriculture in Southern Africa. DSGD Discussion Paper 42. International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160381
spellingShingle agricultural productivity
agricultural growth
exports
Nin-Pratt, Alejandro
Diao, Xinshen
Exploring growth linkages and market opportunities for agriculture in Southern Africa
title Exploring growth linkages and market opportunities for agriculture in Southern Africa
title_full Exploring growth linkages and market opportunities for agriculture in Southern Africa
title_fullStr Exploring growth linkages and market opportunities for agriculture in Southern Africa
title_full_unstemmed Exploring growth linkages and market opportunities for agriculture in Southern Africa
title_short Exploring growth linkages and market opportunities for agriculture in Southern Africa
title_sort exploring growth linkages and market opportunities for agriculture in southern africa
topic agricultural productivity
agricultural growth
exports
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160381
work_keys_str_mv AT ninprattalejandro exploringgrowthlinkagesandmarketopportunitiesforagricultureinsouthernafrica
AT diaoxinshen exploringgrowthlinkagesandmarketopportunitiesforagricultureinsouthernafrica