Implications of the food crisis for long-term agricultural development

The prices of maize, wheat, rice, and other crops have more than doubled over the past two years. These price hikes have been catalyzed by various factors including the rising cost of oil, biofuel subsidies in the US and Europe, the depreciation of the US dollar, the prolonged drought in Australia,...

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Autor principal: Minot, Nicholas
Formato: Otro
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2008
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160334
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author Minot, Nicholas
author_browse Minot, Nicholas
author_facet Minot, Nicholas
author_sort Minot, Nicholas
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The prices of maize, wheat, rice, and other crops have more than doubled over the past two years. These price hikes have been catalyzed by various factors including the rising cost of oil, biofuel subsidies in the US and Europe, the depreciation of the US dollar, the prolonged drought in Australia, and restrictions on the export of rice and wheat by various countries including Vietnam, India, Russia and Argentina. However, these short-term "headline" causes would not have had the same dramatic effect on world markets if we had not experienced a 5-10 year period of disequilibrium, in which the growth in cereal demand outpaced the growth in cereal production. This imbalance has been reflected in declining global cereal stocks since 2000. Cereal demand has been growing at 2-3% per year, thanks to rising incomes in China, India, and, more recently, sub-Saharan Africa. As incomes rise, people diversify their diet and consume more meat and other animal products, increasing the demand for feed, particularly maize. Meanwhile, yield growth in these cereals has declined from 3% in the 1970s to 1-2% in the 1990s, largely due to declining public investment in agricultural research.
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spelling CGSpace1603342025-11-06T06:02:28Z Implications of the food crisis for long-term agricultural development Minot, Nicholas food prices biofuels subsidies agricultural development The prices of maize, wheat, rice, and other crops have more than doubled over the past two years. These price hikes have been catalyzed by various factors including the rising cost of oil, biofuel subsidies in the US and Europe, the depreciation of the US dollar, the prolonged drought in Australia, and restrictions on the export of rice and wheat by various countries including Vietnam, India, Russia and Argentina. However, these short-term "headline" causes would not have had the same dramatic effect on world markets if we had not experienced a 5-10 year period of disequilibrium, in which the growth in cereal demand outpaced the growth in cereal production. This imbalance has been reflected in declining global cereal stocks since 2000. Cereal demand has been growing at 2-3% per year, thanks to rising incomes in China, India, and, more recently, sub-Saharan Africa. As incomes rise, people diversify their diet and consume more meat and other animal products, increasing the demand for feed, particularly maize. Meanwhile, yield growth in these cereals has declined from 3% in the 1970s to 1-2% in the 1990s, largely due to declining public investment in agricultural research. 2008 2024-11-21T09:50:31Z 2024-11-21T09:50:31Z Other https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160334 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Minot, Nicholas. 2008. Implications of the food crisis for long-term agricultural development. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160334
spellingShingle food prices
biofuels
subsidies
agricultural development
Minot, Nicholas
Implications of the food crisis for long-term agricultural development
title Implications of the food crisis for long-term agricultural development
title_full Implications of the food crisis for long-term agricultural development
title_fullStr Implications of the food crisis for long-term agricultural development
title_full_unstemmed Implications of the food crisis for long-term agricultural development
title_short Implications of the food crisis for long-term agricultural development
title_sort implications of the food crisis for long term agricultural development
topic food prices
biofuels
subsidies
agricultural development
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160334
work_keys_str_mv AT minotnicholas implicationsofthefoodcrisisforlongtermagriculturaldevelopment