A computable general equilibrium analysis of Mexico's agricultural policy reforms

Since the late 1980s, Mexico has liberalized its agricultural sector, moving from a system of price supports, producer subsidies and consumer subsidies to a less distorting scheme in which market forces play a greater role. Coinciding with these agrarian and food policy reforms, the government has i...

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Main Author: Harris, Rebecca Lee
Format: Artículo preliminar
Language:Inglés
Published: International Food Policy Research Institute 2001
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/158001
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author Harris, Rebecca Lee
author_browse Harris, Rebecca Lee
author_facet Harris, Rebecca Lee
author_sort Harris, Rebecca Lee
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Since the late 1980s, Mexico has liberalized its agricultural sector, moving from a system of price supports, producer subsidies and consumer subsidies to a less distorting scheme in which market forces play a greater role. Coinciding with these agrarian and food policy reforms, the government has implemented the PROCAMPO system of direct payments to farmers. There is a general consensus that a direct payment program has the potential to be more efficient than a system of subsidies and supports. At the same time, there is widespread agreement that other policies need to be put in place to assure protection of the economically vulnerable segments of the population. Within this context, this paper uses a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to analyze the regional, household and economy-wide effects of switching from the old system of price supports and subsidies to the new system of PROCAMPO payments. A CGE model of Mexico is constructed with four rural regions and one urban region and a high disaggregation of the agricultural and food sectors. It also includes 15 households, defined according to region and income level to permit a rich analysis of distribution effects. The initial experiment consists of removing the PROCAMPO payments from the base year (1996) and adding back the subsidy and support scheme as it existed in 1993, the year before PROCAMPO began. Then two policies are tested under an exchange rate depreciation to see how each policy regime reacts to adverse shocks. The simulations demonstrate that in a static situation, lump sum payments are preferred to the system of subsidies and price supports. In the event of a negative external shock, the simulations suggest that the old system performs better in terms of output and rural incomes. However, urban households are worse off, and their size in total population may make this an unattractive policy."
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spelling CGSpace1580012025-11-06T06:55:08Z A computable general equilibrium analysis of Mexico's agricultural policy reforms Harris, Rebecca Lee computable general equilibrium models agrarian reform food policies equilibrium theory models subsidies Since the late 1980s, Mexico has liberalized its agricultural sector, moving from a system of price supports, producer subsidies and consumer subsidies to a less distorting scheme in which market forces play a greater role. Coinciding with these agrarian and food policy reforms, the government has implemented the PROCAMPO system of direct payments to farmers. There is a general consensus that a direct payment program has the potential to be more efficient than a system of subsidies and supports. At the same time, there is widespread agreement that other policies need to be put in place to assure protection of the economically vulnerable segments of the population. Within this context, this paper uses a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to analyze the regional, household and economy-wide effects of switching from the old system of price supports and subsidies to the new system of PROCAMPO payments. A CGE model of Mexico is constructed with four rural regions and one urban region and a high disaggregation of the agricultural and food sectors. It also includes 15 households, defined according to region and income level to permit a rich analysis of distribution effects. The initial experiment consists of removing the PROCAMPO payments from the base year (1996) and adding back the subsidy and support scheme as it existed in 1993, the year before PROCAMPO began. Then two policies are tested under an exchange rate depreciation to see how each policy regime reacts to adverse shocks. The simulations demonstrate that in a static situation, lump sum payments are preferred to the system of subsidies and price supports. In the event of a negative external shock, the simulations suggest that the old system performs better in terms of output and rural incomes. However, urban households are worse off, and their size in total population may make this an unattractive policy." 2001 2024-10-24T12:53:02Z 2024-10-24T12:53:02Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/158001 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Harris, Rebecca Lee. 2001. A computable general equilibrium analysis of Mexico's agricultural policy reforms. TMD Discussion Paper 65. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/158001
spellingShingle computable general equilibrium models
agrarian reform
food policies
equilibrium theory
models
subsidies
Harris, Rebecca Lee
A computable general equilibrium analysis of Mexico's agricultural policy reforms
title A computable general equilibrium analysis of Mexico's agricultural policy reforms
title_full A computable general equilibrium analysis of Mexico's agricultural policy reforms
title_fullStr A computable general equilibrium analysis of Mexico's agricultural policy reforms
title_full_unstemmed A computable general equilibrium analysis of Mexico's agricultural policy reforms
title_short A computable general equilibrium analysis of Mexico's agricultural policy reforms
title_sort computable general equilibrium analysis of mexico s agricultural policy reforms
topic computable general equilibrium models
agrarian reform
food policies
equilibrium theory
models
subsidies
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/158001
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