The impact of technical change in agriculture on human fertility: district-level evidence from India
Green Revolution technologies were developed and promoted to boost food supplies and foster development, both of which were expected to create breathing space for achieving demographic transitions in developing countries through lowered human fertility. Little comprehensive research, however, has be...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Artículo preliminar |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
International Food Policy Research Institute
1994
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/156859 |
| _version_ | 1855536539960868864 |
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| author | Vosti, Stephen A. Witcover, Julie Lipton, Michael |
| author_browse | Lipton, Michael Vosti, Stephen A. Witcover, Julie |
| author_facet | Vosti, Stephen A. Witcover, Julie Lipton, Michael |
| author_sort | Vosti, Stephen A. |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Green Revolution technologies were developed and promoted to boost food supplies and foster development, both of which were expected to create breathing space for achieving demographic transitions in developing countries through lowered human fertility. Little comprehensive research, however, has been done on the effects of those technologies themselves on human fertility -- leaving unanswered the question of whether particular types of agricultural technologies were actually increasing, or decreasing, this demographic "breathing space." This paper uses District-level data from rural India on agricultural change (from 1961 to 1981) and changes in human fertility (from 1971 to 1981) to assess the impact of the former on the latter, with particular emphasis on high yielding (HYV) Green Revolution technologies. Modifying a conceptual framework derived from theory on the determinants of fertility, and estimating a reduced form model that explicitly accounts for endogeneity of real wage growth, we find that, while socio-cultural and demographic factors were the strongest determinants of fertility change: a) Green Revolution and related technologies did have an impact on fertility change; b) that the magnitude and direction of this impact was technology specific; and c) that the impact was only partially due to the effect of the new technologies on changes in real wage growth. |
| format | Artículo preliminar |
| id | CGSpace156859 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 1994 |
| publishDateRange | 1994 |
| publishDateSort | 1994 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1568592025-11-06T07:18:37Z The impact of technical change in agriculture on human fertility: district-level evidence from India Vosti, Stephen A. Witcover, Julie Lipton, Michael green revolution green technology fertility agricultural innovation Green Revolution technologies were developed and promoted to boost food supplies and foster development, both of which were expected to create breathing space for achieving demographic transitions in developing countries through lowered human fertility. Little comprehensive research, however, has been done on the effects of those technologies themselves on human fertility -- leaving unanswered the question of whether particular types of agricultural technologies were actually increasing, or decreasing, this demographic "breathing space." This paper uses District-level data from rural India on agricultural change (from 1961 to 1981) and changes in human fertility (from 1971 to 1981) to assess the impact of the former on the latter, with particular emphasis on high yielding (HYV) Green Revolution technologies. Modifying a conceptual framework derived from theory on the determinants of fertility, and estimating a reduced form model that explicitly accounts for endogeneity of real wage growth, we find that, while socio-cultural and demographic factors were the strongest determinants of fertility change: a) Green Revolution and related technologies did have an impact on fertility change; b) that the magnitude and direction of this impact was technology specific; and c) that the impact was only partially due to the effect of the new technologies on changes in real wage growth. 1994 2024-10-24T12:45:52Z 2024-10-24T12:45:52Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/156859 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Vosti, Stephen A.; Witcover, Julie; Lipton, Michael. 1994. The impact of technical change in agriculture on human fertility: district-level evidence from India. EPTD Discussion Paper 5. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/156859 |
| spellingShingle | green revolution green technology fertility agricultural innovation Vosti, Stephen A. Witcover, Julie Lipton, Michael The impact of technical change in agriculture on human fertility: district-level evidence from India |
| title | The impact of technical change in agriculture on human fertility: district-level evidence from India |
| title_full | The impact of technical change in agriculture on human fertility: district-level evidence from India |
| title_fullStr | The impact of technical change in agriculture on human fertility: district-level evidence from India |
| title_full_unstemmed | The impact of technical change in agriculture on human fertility: district-level evidence from India |
| title_short | The impact of technical change in agriculture on human fertility: district-level evidence from India |
| title_sort | impact of technical change in agriculture on human fertility district level evidence from india |
| topic | green revolution green technology fertility agricultural innovation |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/156859 |
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