Weighing what's practical: proxy means tests for targeting food subsidies in Egypt

Despite achieving a significant cost reduction over the past two decades, the absolute cost of food subsidies in Egypt is still high relative to the benefits received by the poor. There is scope for better targeting food subsidies, in particular those for rationed cooking oil and sugar, both because...

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Autores principales: Ahmed, Akhter, Bouis, Howarth E.
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2002
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/156763
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author Ahmed, Akhter
Bouis, Howarth E.
author_browse Ahmed, Akhter
Bouis, Howarth E.
author_facet Ahmed, Akhter
Bouis, Howarth E.
author_sort Ahmed, Akhter
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Despite achieving a significant cost reduction over the past two decades, the absolute cost of food subsidies in Egypt is still high relative to the benefits received by the poor. There is scope for better targeting food subsidies, in particular those for rationed cooking oil and sugar, both because reforms in this area are perceived to be far less politically sensitive than adjusting subsidy policies for bread and wheat flour and because higher income groups presently receive a significant percentage of the benefits. Targeting the high-subsidy green ration cards to the poor and the low-subsidy red ration cards to the nonpoor will require identification of both poor and nonpoor households. An International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) research team in Egypt, in collaboration with the Egyptian Ministry of Trade and Supply, developed a proxy means test for targeting ration cards. This paper describes the process of moving from the optimal income-predicting model to the final model that was both administratively and politically feasible. An ex-ante evaluation of the levels of accuracy of the proxy means testing model indicates that the model performs quite well in predicting the needy and nonneedy households. An effective and full implementation of this targeting method would increase the equity in the ration card food subsidy system and, at the same time, lower the total budgetary costs of rationed food subsidies. Moreover, the experience gained under this reform would facilitate targeting future social interventions to reduce and prevent poverty in Egypt.
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spelling CGSpace1567632025-11-06T05:08:56Z Weighing what's practical: proxy means tests for targeting food subsidies in Egypt Ahmed, Akhter Bouis, Howarth E. food supply economic aspects subsidies evaluation rationing households models poverty Despite achieving a significant cost reduction over the past two decades, the absolute cost of food subsidies in Egypt is still high relative to the benefits received by the poor. There is scope for better targeting food subsidies, in particular those for rationed cooking oil and sugar, both because reforms in this area are perceived to be far less politically sensitive than adjusting subsidy policies for bread and wheat flour and because higher income groups presently receive a significant percentage of the benefits. Targeting the high-subsidy green ration cards to the poor and the low-subsidy red ration cards to the nonpoor will require identification of both poor and nonpoor households. An International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) research team in Egypt, in collaboration with the Egyptian Ministry of Trade and Supply, developed a proxy means test for targeting ration cards. This paper describes the process of moving from the optimal income-predicting model to the final model that was both administratively and politically feasible. An ex-ante evaluation of the levels of accuracy of the proxy means testing model indicates that the model performs quite well in predicting the needy and nonneedy households. An effective and full implementation of this targeting method would increase the equity in the ration card food subsidy system and, at the same time, lower the total budgetary costs of rationed food subsidies. Moreover, the experience gained under this reform would facilitate targeting future social interventions to reduce and prevent poverty in Egypt. 2002 2024-10-24T12:45:24Z 2024-10-24T12:45:24Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/156763 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Ahmed, Akhter U.; Bouis, Howarth E. 2002. Weighing what's practical: proxy means tests for targeting food subsidies in Egypt. FCND Discussion Paper 132. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/156763
spellingShingle food supply
economic aspects
subsidies
evaluation
rationing
households
models
poverty
Ahmed, Akhter
Bouis, Howarth E.
Weighing what's practical: proxy means tests for targeting food subsidies in Egypt
title Weighing what's practical: proxy means tests for targeting food subsidies in Egypt
title_full Weighing what's practical: proxy means tests for targeting food subsidies in Egypt
title_fullStr Weighing what's practical: proxy means tests for targeting food subsidies in Egypt
title_full_unstemmed Weighing what's practical: proxy means tests for targeting food subsidies in Egypt
title_short Weighing what's practical: proxy means tests for targeting food subsidies in Egypt
title_sort weighing what s practical proxy means tests for targeting food subsidies in egypt
topic food supply
economic aspects
subsidies
evaluation
rationing
households
models
poverty
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/156763
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