How China's WTO accession affects rural economy in the less-developed regions: a multi-region, general equilibrium analysis

This study constructs a regional CGE model of China to analyze the differential regional impacts of China’s WTO accession on agricultural production, trade, and farmers’ income. The results show that China’s WTO accession will generally improve the total welfare but will widen existing gaps among re...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Diao, Xinshen, Fan, Shenggen, Zhang, Xiaobo
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2002
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/155995
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author Diao, Xinshen
Fan, Shenggen
Zhang, Xiaobo
author_browse Diao, Xinshen
Fan, Shenggen
Zhang, Xiaobo
author_facet Diao, Xinshen
Fan, Shenggen
Zhang, Xiaobo
author_sort Diao, Xinshen
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This study constructs a regional CGE model of China to analyze the differential regional impacts of China’s WTO accession on agricultural production, trade, and farmers’ income. The results show that China’s WTO accession will generally improve the total welfare but will widen existing gaps among regions and sectors. It is expected that the agricultural sector will suffer if only agricultural trade is liberalized, as cheap imports of agricultural products, particularly grains, will increase and domestic agricultural production and farmers’ agricultural income will decline. Full trade liberalization, i.e., lifting trade barriers in both agriculture and non-agriculture will benefit farmers and agriculture at the national level. However, the increase in rural income is still smaller than the increase in urban income, which implies that the rural- urban income gap may be further widened. Furthermore, among the regions, the less-developed rural areas will benefit little or even suffer because their major production activities and income sources are still from agriculture, especially from traditional agricultural activities such as grain production.
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publishDate 2002
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spelling CGSpace1559952025-11-06T05:35:19Z How China's WTO accession affects rural economy in the less-developed regions: a multi-region, general equilibrium analysis Diao, Xinshen Fan, Shenggen Zhang, Xiaobo wto agricultural productivity farm income trade liberalization This study constructs a regional CGE model of China to analyze the differential regional impacts of China’s WTO accession on agricultural production, trade, and farmers’ income. The results show that China’s WTO accession will generally improve the total welfare but will widen existing gaps among regions and sectors. It is expected that the agricultural sector will suffer if only agricultural trade is liberalized, as cheap imports of agricultural products, particularly grains, will increase and domestic agricultural production and farmers’ agricultural income will decline. Full trade liberalization, i.e., lifting trade barriers in both agriculture and non-agriculture will benefit farmers and agriculture at the national level. However, the increase in rural income is still smaller than the increase in urban income, which implies that the rural- urban income gap may be further widened. Furthermore, among the regions, the less-developed rural areas will benefit little or even suffer because their major production activities and income sources are still from agriculture, especially from traditional agricultural activities such as grain production. 2002 2024-10-24T12:42:58Z 2024-10-24T12:42:58Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/155995 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Diao, Xinshen; Fan, Shenggen; Zhang, Xiaobo. 2002. How China's WTO accession affects rural economy in the less-developed regions: a multi-region, general equilibrium analysis. TMD Discussion Paper 87. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/155995
spellingShingle wto
agricultural productivity
farm income
trade liberalization
Diao, Xinshen
Fan, Shenggen
Zhang, Xiaobo
How China's WTO accession affects rural economy in the less-developed regions: a multi-region, general equilibrium analysis
title How China's WTO accession affects rural economy in the less-developed regions: a multi-region, general equilibrium analysis
title_full How China's WTO accession affects rural economy in the less-developed regions: a multi-region, general equilibrium analysis
title_fullStr How China's WTO accession affects rural economy in the less-developed regions: a multi-region, general equilibrium analysis
title_full_unstemmed How China's WTO accession affects rural economy in the less-developed regions: a multi-region, general equilibrium analysis
title_short How China's WTO accession affects rural economy in the less-developed regions: a multi-region, general equilibrium analysis
title_sort how china s wto accession affects rural economy in the less developed regions a multi region general equilibrium analysis
topic wto
agricultural productivity
farm income
trade liberalization
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/155995
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AT fanshenggen howchinaswtoaccessionaffectsruraleconomyinthelessdevelopedregionsamultiregiongeneralequilibriumanalysis
AT zhangxiaobo howchinaswtoaccessionaffectsruraleconomyinthelessdevelopedregionsamultiregiongeneralequilibriumanalysis