Sensitivity of carbon emission estimates from indirect land-use change

An agricultural projection and greenhouse gas model are used to assess the impact of global cropland expansion on carbon emissions and the sensitivity of those estimates to modifications in assumptions concerning idle cropland, the degree of refinement in carbon coefficients, market responses, and y...

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Main Authors: Dumortier, Jerome, Hayes, Dermot J., Carriquiry, Miguel, Dong, Fengxia, Du, Xiaodong, Elobeid, Amani, Fabiosa, Jacinto F., Tokgoz, Simla
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Wiley 2011
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154908
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author Dumortier, Jerome
Hayes, Dermot J.
Carriquiry, Miguel
Dong, Fengxia
Du, Xiaodong
Elobeid, Amani
Fabiosa, Jacinto F.
Tokgoz, Simla
author_browse Carriquiry, Miguel
Dong, Fengxia
Du, Xiaodong
Dumortier, Jerome
Elobeid, Amani
Fabiosa, Jacinto F.
Hayes, Dermot J.
Tokgoz, Simla
author_facet Dumortier, Jerome
Hayes, Dermot J.
Carriquiry, Miguel
Dong, Fengxia
Du, Xiaodong
Elobeid, Amani
Fabiosa, Jacinto F.
Tokgoz, Simla
author_sort Dumortier, Jerome
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description An agricultural projection and greenhouse gas model are used to assess the impact of global cropland expansion on carbon emissions and the sensitivity of those estimates to modifications in assumptions concerning idle cropland, the degree of refinement in carbon coefficients, market responses, and yield increase. The results indicate that the impact of cropland expansion on carbon emissions is extremely sensitive to model assumptions. This is particularly true with respect to the price‐induced yield response. Given the available knowledge, it is very difficult to narrow the range of reasonable parameter values to tighten the set of results to a level that would allow robust policy conclusions.
format Journal Article
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institution CGIAR Consortium
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publishDate 2011
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spelling CGSpace1549082024-11-15T08:53:03Z Sensitivity of carbon emission estimates from indirect land-use change Dumortier, Jerome Hayes, Dermot J. Carriquiry, Miguel Dong, Fengxia Du, Xiaodong Elobeid, Amani Fabiosa, Jacinto F. Tokgoz, Simla greenhouse gas emissions biofuels crop yield land use An agricultural projection and greenhouse gas model are used to assess the impact of global cropland expansion on carbon emissions and the sensitivity of those estimates to modifications in assumptions concerning idle cropland, the degree of refinement in carbon coefficients, market responses, and yield increase. The results indicate that the impact of cropland expansion on carbon emissions is extremely sensitive to model assumptions. This is particularly true with respect to the price‐induced yield response. Given the available knowledge, it is very difficult to narrow the range of reasonable parameter values to tighten the set of results to a level that would allow robust policy conclusions. 2011-09 2024-10-01T14:04:44Z 2024-10-01T14:04:44Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154908 en Limited Access Wiley Dumortier, Jerome; Hayes, Dermot J.; Carriquiry, Miguel; Dong, Fengxia; Du, Xiaodong; Elobeid, Amani; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Tokgoz, Simla. 2011. Sensitivity of carbon emission estimates from indirect land-use change. Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy 33(3): 428-448. https://doi.org/10.1093/aepp/ppr015
spellingShingle greenhouse gas emissions
biofuels
crop yield
land use
Dumortier, Jerome
Hayes, Dermot J.
Carriquiry, Miguel
Dong, Fengxia
Du, Xiaodong
Elobeid, Amani
Fabiosa, Jacinto F.
Tokgoz, Simla
Sensitivity of carbon emission estimates from indirect land-use change
title Sensitivity of carbon emission estimates from indirect land-use change
title_full Sensitivity of carbon emission estimates from indirect land-use change
title_fullStr Sensitivity of carbon emission estimates from indirect land-use change
title_full_unstemmed Sensitivity of carbon emission estimates from indirect land-use change
title_short Sensitivity of carbon emission estimates from indirect land-use change
title_sort sensitivity of carbon emission estimates from indirect land use change
topic greenhouse gas emissions
biofuels
crop yield
land use
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154908
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