Qualitative risk assessment of HPAI H5N1 transmission between small-scale commercial broiler chicken farms in Bogor, Indonesia
As part of the DFID-funded Pro-Poor HPAI Risk Reduction Project, a qualitative risk assessment was conducted for risk questions agreed during a stakeholder workshop in November, 2008, related to transmission of HPAI H5N1 between small-scale commercial broiler farms in the District and Municipality o...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Artículo preliminar |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
International Food Policy Research Institute
2010
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154836 |
| _version_ | 1855516498913656832 |
|---|---|
| author | Idris, Syafrison Palupi, Maria Fatima Sudiana, Elly Unger, Fred Costard, Solenne Pfeiffer, Dirk |
| author_browse | Costard, Solenne Idris, Syafrison Palupi, Maria Fatima Pfeiffer, Dirk Sudiana, Elly Unger, Fred |
| author_facet | Idris, Syafrison Palupi, Maria Fatima Sudiana, Elly Unger, Fred Costard, Solenne Pfeiffer, Dirk |
| author_sort | Idris, Syafrison |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | As part of the DFID-funded Pro-Poor HPAI Risk Reduction Project, a qualitative risk assessment was conducted for risk questions agreed during a stakeholder workshop in November, 2008, related to transmission of HPAI H5N1 between small-scale commercial broiler farms in the District and Municipality of Bogor. The overall risk of transmission was assessed as low, and risk estimates for the different pathways range from negligible to low. The risk associated with movement of contaminated visitor and equipment exchange was assessed as the highest. The risk of transmission via free-ranging poultry and wild birds was assessed negligible to very low, while via other pathways was assessed as negligible. It is important to note that the risk was estimated low because of a conditional probability effect (risk of infection/prevalence of HPAI H5N1 in small-scale broiler farm when data were collected was low). However, there are many steps/mechanisms of transmission associated with higher risk. It is highlighted that increasing prevalence of HPAI H5N1 in broiler farms will lead to increasing of risk of transmission. All risk estimates, except the one considering transmission via manure, were associated with a high uncertainty because of the lack of data on both the poultry sector in Indonesia and the epidemiology of HPAIV H5N1 more generally. |
| format | Artículo preliminar |
| id | CGSpace154836 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2010 |
| publishDateRange | 2010 |
| publishDateSort | 2010 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1548362025-11-06T05:21:23Z Qualitative risk assessment of HPAI H5N1 transmission between small-scale commercial broiler chicken farms in Bogor, Indonesia Idris, Syafrison Palupi, Maria Fatima Sudiana, Elly Unger, Fred Costard, Solenne Pfeiffer, Dirk developing countries risk assessment avian influenza highly pathogenic avian influenza quantitative analysis poultry As part of the DFID-funded Pro-Poor HPAI Risk Reduction Project, a qualitative risk assessment was conducted for risk questions agreed during a stakeholder workshop in November, 2008, related to transmission of HPAI H5N1 between small-scale commercial broiler farms in the District and Municipality of Bogor. The overall risk of transmission was assessed as low, and risk estimates for the different pathways range from negligible to low. The risk associated with movement of contaminated visitor and equipment exchange was assessed as the highest. The risk of transmission via free-ranging poultry and wild birds was assessed negligible to very low, while via other pathways was assessed as negligible. It is important to note that the risk was estimated low because of a conditional probability effect (risk of infection/prevalence of HPAI H5N1 in small-scale broiler farm when data were collected was low). However, there are many steps/mechanisms of transmission associated with higher risk. It is highlighted that increasing prevalence of HPAI H5N1 in broiler farms will lead to increasing of risk of transmission. All risk estimates, except the one considering transmission via manure, were associated with a high uncertainty because of the lack of data on both the poultry sector in Indonesia and the epidemiology of HPAIV H5N1 more generally. 2010 2024-10-01T14:04:13Z 2024-10-01T14:04:13Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154836 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Royal Veterinary College Rural Development Research Consortium Idris, Syafrison; Palupi, Maria Fatima; Sudiana, Elly; Unger, Fred; Costard, Solenne; Pfeiffer, Dirk. 2010. Qualitative risk assessment of HPAI H5N1 transmission between small-scale commercial broiler chicken farms in Bogor, Indonesia. Africa/Indonesia Team Working Paper 33. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154836 |
| spellingShingle | developing countries risk assessment avian influenza highly pathogenic avian influenza quantitative analysis poultry Idris, Syafrison Palupi, Maria Fatima Sudiana, Elly Unger, Fred Costard, Solenne Pfeiffer, Dirk Qualitative risk assessment of HPAI H5N1 transmission between small-scale commercial broiler chicken farms in Bogor, Indonesia |
| title | Qualitative risk assessment of HPAI H5N1 transmission between small-scale commercial broiler chicken farms in Bogor, Indonesia |
| title_full | Qualitative risk assessment of HPAI H5N1 transmission between small-scale commercial broiler chicken farms in Bogor, Indonesia |
| title_fullStr | Qualitative risk assessment of HPAI H5N1 transmission between small-scale commercial broiler chicken farms in Bogor, Indonesia |
| title_full_unstemmed | Qualitative risk assessment of HPAI H5N1 transmission between small-scale commercial broiler chicken farms in Bogor, Indonesia |
| title_short | Qualitative risk assessment of HPAI H5N1 transmission between small-scale commercial broiler chicken farms in Bogor, Indonesia |
| title_sort | qualitative risk assessment of hpai h5n1 transmission between small scale commercial broiler chicken farms in bogor indonesia |
| topic | developing countries risk assessment avian influenza highly pathogenic avian influenza quantitative analysis poultry |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154836 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT idrissyafrison qualitativeriskassessmentofhpaih5n1transmissionbetweensmallscalecommercialbroilerchickenfarmsinbogorindonesia AT palupimariafatima qualitativeriskassessmentofhpaih5n1transmissionbetweensmallscalecommercialbroilerchickenfarmsinbogorindonesia AT sudianaelly qualitativeriskassessmentofhpaih5n1transmissionbetweensmallscalecommercialbroilerchickenfarmsinbogorindonesia AT ungerfred qualitativeriskassessmentofhpaih5n1transmissionbetweensmallscalecommercialbroilerchickenfarmsinbogorindonesia AT costardsolenne qualitativeriskassessmentofhpaih5n1transmissionbetweensmallscalecommercialbroilerchickenfarmsinbogorindonesia AT pfeifferdirk qualitativeriskassessmentofhpaih5n1transmissionbetweensmallscalecommercialbroilerchickenfarmsinbogorindonesia |