Agricultural growth, poverty, and nutrition in Tanzania

Rapid economic growth has failed to significantly improve poverty and nutrition outcomes in Tanzania. This raises concerns over a decoupling of growth, poverty, and nutrition. We link recent production trends to household incomes using a regionalized, dynamic computable general equilibrium and micro...

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Autores principales: Pauw, Karl, Thurlow, James
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2010
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154792
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author Pauw, Karl
Thurlow, James
author_browse Pauw, Karl
Thurlow, James
author_facet Pauw, Karl
Thurlow, James
author_sort Pauw, Karl
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Rapid economic growth has failed to significantly improve poverty and nutrition outcomes in Tanzania. This raises concerns over a decoupling of growth, poverty, and nutrition. We link recent production trends to household incomes using a regionalized, dynamic computable general equilibrium and microsimulation model. Results indicate that the structure of economic growth-not the level-is currently constraining the rate of poverty reduction in Tanzania. Most importantly, agricultural growth trends have been driven by larger-scale farmers and by crops grown in only a few regions of the country. The slow expansion of food crops and livestock also explains the weak relationship between agricultural growth and nutrition outcomes. Additional model simulations find that accelerating agricultural growth, particularly in maize, greatly strengthens the growth-poverty relationship and enhances households- caloric availability. We conclude that low productivity, market constraints (including downstream agroprocessing), and barriers to import substitution for major food crops are among the more binding constraints to reducing poverty and improving nutrition in Tanzania.
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spelling CGSpace1547922025-11-06T06:47:37Z Agricultural growth, poverty, and nutrition in Tanzania Pauw, Karl Thurlow, James economic growth poverty nutrition household income computable general equilibrium models agricultural growth modelling livestock food crops agricultural development productivity market capacity development policies Rapid economic growth has failed to significantly improve poverty and nutrition outcomes in Tanzania. This raises concerns over a decoupling of growth, poverty, and nutrition. We link recent production trends to household incomes using a regionalized, dynamic computable general equilibrium and microsimulation model. Results indicate that the structure of economic growth-not the level-is currently constraining the rate of poverty reduction in Tanzania. Most importantly, agricultural growth trends have been driven by larger-scale farmers and by crops grown in only a few regions of the country. The slow expansion of food crops and livestock also explains the weak relationship between agricultural growth and nutrition outcomes. Additional model simulations find that accelerating agricultural growth, particularly in maize, greatly strengthens the growth-poverty relationship and enhances households- caloric availability. We conclude that low productivity, market constraints (including downstream agroprocessing), and barriers to import substitution for major food crops are among the more binding constraints to reducing poverty and improving nutrition in Tanzania. 2010 2024-10-01T14:03:54Z 2024-10-01T14:03:54Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154792 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Pauw, Karl; Thurlow, James. 2010. Agricultural growth, poverty, and nutrition in Tanzania. IFPRI Discussion Paper 947. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154792
spellingShingle economic growth
poverty
nutrition
household income
computable general equilibrium models
agricultural growth
modelling
livestock
food crops
agricultural development
productivity
market capacity
development policies
Pauw, Karl
Thurlow, James
Agricultural growth, poverty, and nutrition in Tanzania
title Agricultural growth, poverty, and nutrition in Tanzania
title_full Agricultural growth, poverty, and nutrition in Tanzania
title_fullStr Agricultural growth, poverty, and nutrition in Tanzania
title_full_unstemmed Agricultural growth, poverty, and nutrition in Tanzania
title_short Agricultural growth, poverty, and nutrition in Tanzania
title_sort agricultural growth poverty and nutrition in tanzania
topic economic growth
poverty
nutrition
household income
computable general equilibrium models
agricultural growth
modelling
livestock
food crops
agricultural development
productivity
market capacity
development policies
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154792
work_keys_str_mv AT pauwkarl agriculturalgrowthpovertyandnutritionintanzania
AT thurlowjames agriculturalgrowthpovertyandnutritionintanzania