Investigating economywide and household-level impacts of sector-specific shocks in a poor country: The case of avian flu in Ethiopia

Do the economic effects of potential avian flu outbreaks justify policy attention and resource allocation in a poor country like Ethiopia? We address this question by assessing both economywide (macro-level) economic impacts and household (micro-level) livelihood impacts that might be caused by an a...

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Main Authors: Ayele, Gezahegn, Birol, Ekin, Diao, Xinshen, Asare-Marfo, Dorene, Roy, Devesh, Thomas, Marcelle
Format: Artículo preliminar
Language:Inglés
Published: International Food Policy Research Institute 2010
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154609
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author Ayele, Gezahegn
Birol, Ekin
Diao, Xinshen
Asare-Marfo, Dorene
Roy, Devesh
Thomas, Marcelle
author_browse Asare-Marfo, Dorene
Ayele, Gezahegn
Birol, Ekin
Diao, Xinshen
Roy, Devesh
Thomas, Marcelle
author_facet Ayele, Gezahegn
Birol, Ekin
Diao, Xinshen
Asare-Marfo, Dorene
Roy, Devesh
Thomas, Marcelle
author_sort Ayele, Gezahegn
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Do the economic effects of potential avian flu outbreaks justify policy attention and resource allocation in a poor country like Ethiopia? We address this question by assessing both economywide (macro-level) economic impacts and household (micro-level) livelihood impacts that might be caused by an avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia. Because 1) the prevalent traditional poultry sector is weakly linked to other sectors, 2) livelihoods of the poultry-producing households are diversified, and 3) shocks are idiosyncratic in nature, the study finds that the impacts of an avian flu outbreak are likely to be small and limited to producers who keep larger flocks. Therefore, allotment of funds to prevent the disease must be justified on the grounds of preventing spread of the disease to human populations in Ethiopia and in other countries where it might have more severe economic and health effects. In other words, resource allocation must be justified as a global public good.
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spelling CGSpace1546092025-11-06T07:13:54Z Investigating economywide and household-level impacts of sector-specific shocks in a poor country: The case of avian flu in Ethiopia Ayele, Gezahegn Birol, Ekin Diao, Xinshen Asare-Marfo, Dorene Roy, Devesh Thomas, Marcelle avian influenza livelihoods models simulation probit analysis propensity score matching households Do the economic effects of potential avian flu outbreaks justify policy attention and resource allocation in a poor country like Ethiopia? We address this question by assessing both economywide (macro-level) economic impacts and household (micro-level) livelihood impacts that might be caused by an avian flu outbreak in Ethiopia. Because 1) the prevalent traditional poultry sector is weakly linked to other sectors, 2) livelihoods of the poultry-producing households are diversified, and 3) shocks are idiosyncratic in nature, the study finds that the impacts of an avian flu outbreak are likely to be small and limited to producers who keep larger flocks. Therefore, allotment of funds to prevent the disease must be justified on the grounds of preventing spread of the disease to human populations in Ethiopia and in other countries where it might have more severe economic and health effects. In other words, resource allocation must be justified as a global public good. 2010 2024-10-01T14:02:39Z 2024-10-01T14:02:39Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154609 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Ayele, Gezahegn; Birol, Ekin; Diao, Xinshen; Asare-Marfo, Dorene; Roy, Devesh; Thomas, Marcelle. 2010. Investigating economywide and household-level impacts of sector-specific shocks in a poor country: The case of avian flu in Ethiopia. IFPRI Discussion Paper 1034. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154609
spellingShingle avian influenza
livelihoods
models
simulation
probit analysis
propensity score matching
households
Ayele, Gezahegn
Birol, Ekin
Diao, Xinshen
Asare-Marfo, Dorene
Roy, Devesh
Thomas, Marcelle
Investigating economywide and household-level impacts of sector-specific shocks in a poor country: The case of avian flu in Ethiopia
title Investigating economywide and household-level impacts of sector-specific shocks in a poor country: The case of avian flu in Ethiopia
title_full Investigating economywide and household-level impacts of sector-specific shocks in a poor country: The case of avian flu in Ethiopia
title_fullStr Investigating economywide and household-level impacts of sector-specific shocks in a poor country: The case of avian flu in Ethiopia
title_full_unstemmed Investigating economywide and household-level impacts of sector-specific shocks in a poor country: The case of avian flu in Ethiopia
title_short Investigating economywide and household-level impacts of sector-specific shocks in a poor country: The case of avian flu in Ethiopia
title_sort investigating economywide and household level impacts of sector specific shocks in a poor country the case of avian flu in ethiopia
topic avian influenza
livelihoods
models
simulation
probit analysis
propensity score matching
households
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154609
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