Impacts of climate change and the end of deforestation on land use in the Brazilian legal amazon
Climate change scenarios vary considerably over the Amazon region, with an extreme scenario projecting a dangerous (from the human perspective) increase of 3.8°C in temperature and 30% reduction in precipitation by 2050. The impacts of such climate change on Amazonian land-use dynamics, agricultural...
| Autores principales: | , , , , , , , |
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| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
American Meteorological Society
2011
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154527 |
| _version_ | 1855539873789771776 |
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| author | Lapola, David Montenegro Schaldach, Ruediger Alcamo, Joseph Bondeau, Alberte Msangi, Siwa Priess, Joerg A. Silvestrini, Rafaella Soares-Filho, Britaldo Silveira |
| author_browse | Alcamo, Joseph Bondeau, Alberte Lapola, David Montenegro Msangi, Siwa Priess, Joerg A. Schaldach, Ruediger Silvestrini, Rafaella Soares-Filho, Britaldo Silveira |
| author_facet | Lapola, David Montenegro Schaldach, Ruediger Alcamo, Joseph Bondeau, Alberte Msangi, Siwa Priess, Joerg A. Silvestrini, Rafaella Soares-Filho, Britaldo Silveira |
| author_sort | Lapola, David Montenegro |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Climate change scenarios vary considerably over the Amazon region, with an extreme scenario projecting a dangerous (from the human perspective) increase of 3.8°C in temperature and 30% reduction in precipitation by 2050. The impacts of such climate change on Amazonian land-use dynamics, agricultural production, and deforestation rates are still to be determined. In this study, the authors make a first attempt to assess these impacts through a systemic approach, using a spatially explicit modeling framework to project crop yield and land-use/land-cover changes in the Brazilian Amazon by 2050. The results show that, without any adaptation, climate change may exert a critical impact on the yields of crops commonly cultivated in the Amazon (e.g., soybean yields are reduced by 44% in the worst-case scenario). Therefore, following baseline projections on crop and livestock production, a scenario of severe regional climate change would cause |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace154527 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2011 |
| publishDateRange | 2011 |
| publishDateSort | 2011 |
| publisher | American Meteorological Society |
| publisherStr | American Meteorological Society |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1545272024-11-15T08:53:06Z Impacts of climate change and the end of deforestation on land use in the Brazilian legal amazon Lapola, David Montenegro Schaldach, Ruediger Alcamo, Joseph Bondeau, Alberte Msangi, Siwa Priess, Joerg A. Silvestrini, Rafaella Soares-Filho, Britaldo Silveira climate change deforestation land use Climate change scenarios vary considerably over the Amazon region, with an extreme scenario projecting a dangerous (from the human perspective) increase of 3.8°C in temperature and 30% reduction in precipitation by 2050. The impacts of such climate change on Amazonian land-use dynamics, agricultural production, and deforestation rates are still to be determined. In this study, the authors make a first attempt to assess these impacts through a systemic approach, using a spatially explicit modeling framework to project crop yield and land-use/land-cover changes in the Brazilian Amazon by 2050. The results show that, without any adaptation, climate change may exert a critical impact on the yields of crops commonly cultivated in the Amazon (e.g., soybean yields are reduced by 44% in the worst-case scenario). Therefore, following baseline projections on crop and livestock production, a scenario of severe regional climate change would cause 2011-05-31 2024-10-01T14:02:04Z 2024-10-01T14:02:04Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154527 en Limited Access American Meteorological Society Lapola, David Montenegro; Schaldach, Ruediger; Alcamo, Joseph; Bondeau, Alberte; Msangi, Siwa; Priess, Joerg A.; Silvestrini, Rafaella; Soares-Filho, Britaldo Silveira. 2011. Impacts of climate change and the end of deforestation on land use in the Brazilian legal amazon. Earth Interactions 15(16) : 1-29. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010EI333.1 |
| spellingShingle | climate change deforestation land use Lapola, David Montenegro Schaldach, Ruediger Alcamo, Joseph Bondeau, Alberte Msangi, Siwa Priess, Joerg A. Silvestrini, Rafaella Soares-Filho, Britaldo Silveira Impacts of climate change and the end of deforestation on land use in the Brazilian legal amazon |
| title | Impacts of climate change and the end of deforestation on land use in the Brazilian legal amazon |
| title_full | Impacts of climate change and the end of deforestation on land use in the Brazilian legal amazon |
| title_fullStr | Impacts of climate change and the end of deforestation on land use in the Brazilian legal amazon |
| title_full_unstemmed | Impacts of climate change and the end of deforestation on land use in the Brazilian legal amazon |
| title_short | Impacts of climate change and the end of deforestation on land use in the Brazilian legal amazon |
| title_sort | impacts of climate change and the end of deforestation on land use in the brazilian legal amazon |
| topic | climate change deforestation land use |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154527 |
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