Enhancing resilience in the Horn of Africa: An exploration into alternative investment options

The most recent (2010–2011) drought in the arid and semiarid lowlands (ASAL) of the Horn of Africa has rendered over 13 million people in need of food, and caused a devastating famine in southern Somalia. The drought has also raised concerns that pastoralist livelihoods in this region are no longer...

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Main Authors: Headey, Derek D., Taffesse, Alemayehu Seyoum, You, Liangzhi
Format: Brief
Language:Inglés
Published: International Food Policy Research Institute 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154073
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author Headey, Derek D.
Taffesse, Alemayehu Seyoum
You, Liangzhi
author_browse Headey, Derek D.
Taffesse, Alemayehu Seyoum
You, Liangzhi
author_facet Headey, Derek D.
Taffesse, Alemayehu Seyoum
You, Liangzhi
author_sort Headey, Derek D.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The most recent (2010–2011) drought in the arid and semiarid lowlands (ASAL) of the Horn of Africa has rendered over 13 million people in need of food, and caused a devastating famine in southern Somalia. The drought has also raised concerns that pastoralist livelihoods in this region are no longer viable or sustainable, thereby justifying strategies that aim to sedentarize and diversify these livelihoods. Countering this view are advocates of wholesale protection of pastoralist livelihoods. Yet despite these very contrasting views on economic development in the region, very little research directly addresses this big picture question of where public resources should be invested. In this paper we argue that both economic theory and the existing evidence base warrant a more balanced development strategy involving movement out of pastoralism (intersectoral transformation), modernization of pastoralism (intrasectoral transformation), and cross-cutting transformations of the demographic, social, and political structure of ASAL populations. We then explore the empirical basis for balancing investments across these kinds of transformations. While the available evidence base is weak in some respects, we find that most nonpastoralist livelihoods in ASAL yield lower incomes than pastoralism, with the exception of urban livelihoods and irrigated farming. However, both irrigation and urban migration have a limited capacity to absorb growing populations. Additional irrigation investments in pastoralist regions, for example, appear to be capable of profitably absorbing only about three percent of the estimated pastoralist population in 2020. Migration is more promising, but only provided that it comes on the back of much larger investments in education and meaningful urban job opportunities.
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spelling CGSpace1540732025-11-06T06:10:45Z Enhancing resilience in the Horn of Africa: An exploration into alternative investment options Headey, Derek D. Taffesse, Alemayehu Seyoum You, Liangzhi pastoralism resilience development policies livestock shock drought economic development natural resources management infrastructure property rights The most recent (2010–2011) drought in the arid and semiarid lowlands (ASAL) of the Horn of Africa has rendered over 13 million people in need of food, and caused a devastating famine in southern Somalia. The drought has also raised concerns that pastoralist livelihoods in this region are no longer viable or sustainable, thereby justifying strategies that aim to sedentarize and diversify these livelihoods. Countering this view are advocates of wholesale protection of pastoralist livelihoods. Yet despite these very contrasting views on economic development in the region, very little research directly addresses this big picture question of where public resources should be invested. In this paper we argue that both economic theory and the existing evidence base warrant a more balanced development strategy involving movement out of pastoralism (intersectoral transformation), modernization of pastoralism (intrasectoral transformation), and cross-cutting transformations of the demographic, social, and political structure of ASAL populations. We then explore the empirical basis for balancing investments across these kinds of transformations. While the available evidence base is weak in some respects, we find that most nonpastoralist livelihoods in ASAL yield lower incomes than pastoralism, with the exception of urban livelihoods and irrigated farming. However, both irrigation and urban migration have a limited capacity to absorb growing populations. Additional irrigation investments in pastoralist regions, for example, appear to be capable of profitably absorbing only about three percent of the estimated pastoralist population in 2020. Migration is more promising, but only provided that it comes on the back of much larger investments in education and meaningful urban job opportunities. 2012 2024-10-01T13:59:19Z 2024-10-01T13:59:19Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154073 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Ethiopian Development Research Institute Headey, Derek D.; Taffesse, Alemayehu Seyoum; You, Liangzhi 2012. Enhancing resilience in the Horn of Africa: An exploration into alternative investment options. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154073
spellingShingle pastoralism
resilience
development policies
livestock
shock
drought
economic development
natural resources management
infrastructure
property rights
Headey, Derek D.
Taffesse, Alemayehu Seyoum
You, Liangzhi
Enhancing resilience in the Horn of Africa: An exploration into alternative investment options
title Enhancing resilience in the Horn of Africa: An exploration into alternative investment options
title_full Enhancing resilience in the Horn of Africa: An exploration into alternative investment options
title_fullStr Enhancing resilience in the Horn of Africa: An exploration into alternative investment options
title_full_unstemmed Enhancing resilience in the Horn of Africa: An exploration into alternative investment options
title_short Enhancing resilience in the Horn of Africa: An exploration into alternative investment options
title_sort enhancing resilience in the horn of africa an exploration into alternative investment options
topic pastoralism
resilience
development policies
livestock
shock
drought
economic development
natural resources management
infrastructure
property rights
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154073
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