Bangladesh rice trade and price stabilization: Implications of the 2007/08 experience for public stocks

The extent to which Bangladesh should rely on imports for rice price stabilization is a contentious policy issue. This issue was underscored in the wake of the 2007–08 world food crisis, during which international rice prices skyrocketed and rice import supplies from India were disrupted. For more t...

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Autores principales: Dorosh, Paul A., Rashid, Shahidur
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2012
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154006
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author Dorosh, Paul A.
Rashid, Shahidur
author_browse Dorosh, Paul A.
Rashid, Shahidur
author_facet Dorosh, Paul A.
Rashid, Shahidur
author_sort Dorosh, Paul A.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The extent to which Bangladesh should rely on imports for rice price stabilization is a contentious policy issue. This issue was underscored in the wake of the 2007–08 world food crisis, during which international rice prices skyrocketed and rice import supplies from India were disrupted. For more than a dozen years, from 1994 to 2007, private-sector rice imports made a major contribution to price stabilization and food security in Bangladesh, adding to domestic supplies following production shortfalls. In particular, following massive floods in 1998, private-sector imports sourced from wholesale rice markets in India contributed more than 2 million tons to rice supply in Bangladesh. Subsequently, between 2003 and mid-2007, Bangladesh prices were particularly stable. This paper presents econometric evidence that trade with India was a determining factor in this price stability. In particular, the authors show that in this period, Bangladesh domestic wholesale prices were co-integrated with import parity prices of subsidized below-poverty-line rice from India’s public stocks. Import flows in these years generated an estimated total of 1.0 to 1.6 billion US dollars in consumer surplus for Bangladesh households but reduced producer surplus by a similar amount.
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spelling CGSpace1540062025-11-06T07:22:27Z Bangladesh rice trade and price stabilization: Implications of the 2007/08 experience for public stocks Dorosh, Paul A. Rashid, Shahidur price stabilization international trade rice trade The extent to which Bangladesh should rely on imports for rice price stabilization is a contentious policy issue. This issue was underscored in the wake of the 2007–08 world food crisis, during which international rice prices skyrocketed and rice import supplies from India were disrupted. For more than a dozen years, from 1994 to 2007, private-sector rice imports made a major contribution to price stabilization and food security in Bangladesh, adding to domestic supplies following production shortfalls. In particular, following massive floods in 1998, private-sector imports sourced from wholesale rice markets in India contributed more than 2 million tons to rice supply in Bangladesh. Subsequently, between 2003 and mid-2007, Bangladesh prices were particularly stable. This paper presents econometric evidence that trade with India was a determining factor in this price stability. In particular, the authors show that in this period, Bangladesh domestic wholesale prices were co-integrated with import parity prices of subsidized below-poverty-line rice from India’s public stocks. Import flows in these years generated an estimated total of 1.0 to 1.6 billion US dollars in consumer surplus for Bangladesh households but reduced producer surplus by a similar amount. 2012 2024-10-01T13:58:54Z 2024-10-01T13:58:54Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154006 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Dorosh, Paul A.; Rashid, Shahidur. 2012. Bangladesh rice trade and price stabilization: Implications of the 2007/08 experience for public stocks. IFPRI Discussion Paper 1209. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154006
spellingShingle price stabilization
international trade
rice
trade
Dorosh, Paul A.
Rashid, Shahidur
Bangladesh rice trade and price stabilization: Implications of the 2007/08 experience for public stocks
title Bangladesh rice trade and price stabilization: Implications of the 2007/08 experience for public stocks
title_full Bangladesh rice trade and price stabilization: Implications of the 2007/08 experience for public stocks
title_fullStr Bangladesh rice trade and price stabilization: Implications of the 2007/08 experience for public stocks
title_full_unstemmed Bangladesh rice trade and price stabilization: Implications of the 2007/08 experience for public stocks
title_short Bangladesh rice trade and price stabilization: Implications of the 2007/08 experience for public stocks
title_sort bangladesh rice trade and price stabilization implications of the 2007 08 experience for public stocks
topic price stabilization
international trade
rice
trade
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/154006
work_keys_str_mv AT doroshpaula bangladeshricetradeandpricestabilizationimplicationsofthe200708experienceforpublicstocks
AT rashidshahidur bangladeshricetradeandpricestabilizationimplicationsofthe200708experienceforpublicstocks