Revisiting the palm oil boom in Southeast Asia: The role of fuel versus food demand drivers

In the last 30 years, palm oil production has known a ninefold increase, with almost all production growth concentrated in Malaysia and Indonesia. Several public reports have associated the palm oil boom with extensive deforestation, often pointing to the increase in biofuel demand in developed nati...

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Autores principales: Sanders, Daniel J., Balagtas, Joseph V., Gruère, Guillaume P.
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2012
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153835
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author Sanders, Daniel J.
Balagtas, Joseph V.
Gruère, Guillaume P.
author_browse Balagtas, Joseph V.
Gruère, Guillaume P.
Sanders, Daniel J.
author_facet Sanders, Daniel J.
Balagtas, Joseph V.
Gruère, Guillaume P.
author_sort Sanders, Daniel J.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description In the last 30 years, palm oil production has known a ninefold increase, with almost all production growth concentrated in Malaysia and Indonesia. Several public reports have associated the palm oil boom with extensive deforestation, often pointing to the increase in biofuel demand in developed nations as a main driver of this phenomenon. Other demand drivers, especially as related to the food sector, have not been studied as much. In particular, regulations on genetically modified (GM) food in European nations and on trans fats in a number of developed countries have reportedly induced food companies to switch from soybean oil to palm oil and could therefore have contributed to additional demand for palm oil. This article provides a first analysis of the drivers of growth in palm oil production during the 1980–2010 boom, using a price dynamics analysis of the markets for palm oil, soybean oil, and crude oil. Soybean oil is selected as the leading vegetable oil in food markets, and crude oil is taken to represent the energy sector. We estimate two models of the oil price system: a vector auto regression model that treats all three prices as stationary and a vector error correction model that allows co-integration among the three prices.
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spelling CGSpace1538352025-11-06T06:42:32Z Revisiting the palm oil boom in Southeast Asia: The role of fuel versus food demand drivers Sanders, Daniel J. Balagtas, Joseph V. Gruère, Guillaume P. palm oils biofuels In the last 30 years, palm oil production has known a ninefold increase, with almost all production growth concentrated in Malaysia and Indonesia. Several public reports have associated the palm oil boom with extensive deforestation, often pointing to the increase in biofuel demand in developed nations as a main driver of this phenomenon. Other demand drivers, especially as related to the food sector, have not been studied as much. In particular, regulations on genetically modified (GM) food in European nations and on trans fats in a number of developed countries have reportedly induced food companies to switch from soybean oil to palm oil and could therefore have contributed to additional demand for palm oil. This article provides a first analysis of the drivers of growth in palm oil production during the 1980–2010 boom, using a price dynamics analysis of the markets for palm oil, soybean oil, and crude oil. Soybean oil is selected as the leading vegetable oil in food markets, and crude oil is taken to represent the energy sector. We estimate two models of the oil price system: a vector auto regression model that treats all three prices as stationary and a vector error correction model that allows co-integration among the three prices. 2012 2024-10-01T13:57:55Z 2024-10-01T13:57:55Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153835 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Sanders, Daniel J.; Balagtas, Joseph V.; Gruere, Guillaume P. 2012. Revisiting the palm oil boom in Southeast Asia: The role of fuel versus food demand drivers. IFPRI Discussion Paper 1167. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153835
spellingShingle palm oils
biofuels
Sanders, Daniel J.
Balagtas, Joseph V.
Gruère, Guillaume P.
Revisiting the palm oil boom in Southeast Asia: The role of fuel versus food demand drivers
title Revisiting the palm oil boom in Southeast Asia: The role of fuel versus food demand drivers
title_full Revisiting the palm oil boom in Southeast Asia: The role of fuel versus food demand drivers
title_fullStr Revisiting the palm oil boom in Southeast Asia: The role of fuel versus food demand drivers
title_full_unstemmed Revisiting the palm oil boom in Southeast Asia: The role of fuel versus food demand drivers
title_short Revisiting the palm oil boom in Southeast Asia: The role of fuel versus food demand drivers
title_sort revisiting the palm oil boom in southeast asia the role of fuel versus food demand drivers
topic palm oils
biofuels
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153835
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