Integrating livestock in the CAADP framework: Policy analysis using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model for Ethiopia

Researchers and policymakers increasingly recognize that the livestock sector supports the livelihoods of a large proportion of rural households in Africa and may have an important role to play in rural poverty reduction strategies. In order to develop this insight, economywide models should capture...

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Autores principales: Gelan, Ayele, Engida, Ermias, Caria, A. Stefano, Karugia, Joseph T.
Formato: Brief
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2012
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153819
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author Gelan, Ayele
Engida, Ermias
Caria, A. Stefano
Karugia, Joseph T.
author_browse Caria, A. Stefano
Engida, Ermias
Gelan, Ayele
Karugia, Joseph T.
author_facet Gelan, Ayele
Engida, Ermias
Caria, A. Stefano
Karugia, Joseph T.
author_sort Gelan, Ayele
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Researchers and policymakers increasingly recognize that the livestock sector supports the livelihoods of a large proportion of rural households in Africa and may have an important role to play in rural poverty reduction strategies. In order to develop this insight, economywide models should capture both the biological, dynamic relationships between the stocks and flows of livestock and the economic linkages between the sector and the rest of the economy. We extend an existing dynamic recursive general equilibrium model for the Ethiopian economy to better model the livestock sector. A separate herd dynamics module enables us to specify stock–flow relationship, distinguishing between the capital role of livestock and the flow of livestock products. We also improve the underlying system of economic accounts to better capture draft power and breeding stocks. We use this model to simulate separate, realistic Total Factor Productivity (TFP) shocks to three agricultural subsectors—cereals, cash crops, and livestock—and compare them with a baseline scenario replicating Ethiopia’s 1998 to 2007 productivity trends. In doing so, we follow Dorosh and Thurlow (2009) who have examined CAADP productivity scenarios.
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spelling CGSpace1538192025-11-06T06:02:26Z Integrating livestock in the CAADP framework: Policy analysis using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model for Ethiopia Gelan, Ayele Engida, Ermias Caria, A. Stefano Karugia, Joseph T. livestock caadp policy analysis computable general equilibrium models Researchers and policymakers increasingly recognize that the livestock sector supports the livelihoods of a large proportion of rural households in Africa and may have an important role to play in rural poverty reduction strategies. In order to develop this insight, economywide models should capture both the biological, dynamic relationships between the stocks and flows of livestock and the economic linkages between the sector and the rest of the economy. We extend an existing dynamic recursive general equilibrium model for the Ethiopian economy to better model the livestock sector. A separate herd dynamics module enables us to specify stock–flow relationship, distinguishing between the capital role of livestock and the flow of livestock products. We also improve the underlying system of economic accounts to better capture draft power and breeding stocks. We use this model to simulate separate, realistic Total Factor Productivity (TFP) shocks to three agricultural subsectors—cereals, cash crops, and livestock—and compare them with a baseline scenario replicating Ethiopia’s 1998 to 2007 productivity trends. In doing so, we follow Dorosh and Thurlow (2009) who have examined CAADP productivity scenarios. 2012 2024-10-01T13:57:50Z 2024-10-01T13:57:50Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153819 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Ethiopian Development Research Institute Gelan, Ayele; Engida, Ermias; Caria, A. Stefano; Karugia, Joseph T. 2012. Integrating livestock in the CAADP framework: Policy analysis using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model for Ethiopia. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153819
spellingShingle livestock
caadp
policy analysis
computable general equilibrium models
Gelan, Ayele
Engida, Ermias
Caria, A. Stefano
Karugia, Joseph T.
Integrating livestock in the CAADP framework: Policy analysis using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model for Ethiopia
title Integrating livestock in the CAADP framework: Policy analysis using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model for Ethiopia
title_full Integrating livestock in the CAADP framework: Policy analysis using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model for Ethiopia
title_fullStr Integrating livestock in the CAADP framework: Policy analysis using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model for Ethiopia
title_full_unstemmed Integrating livestock in the CAADP framework: Policy analysis using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model for Ethiopia
title_short Integrating livestock in the CAADP framework: Policy analysis using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model for Ethiopia
title_sort integrating livestock in the caadp framework policy analysis using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model for ethiopia
topic livestock
caadp
policy analysis
computable general equilibrium models
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153819
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AT cariaastefano integratinglivestockinthecaadpframeworkpolicyanalysisusingadynamiccomputablegeneralequilibriummodelforethiopia
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