Economywide impact of maize export bans on agricultural growth and household welfare in Tanzania: A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model Analysis

We study the impact of export bans in Tanzania using a computable general equilibrium model. We find that although maize is an important food crop in Tanzania, its contribution to food price inflation is rather limited, and that banning cross-border maize exports lowers the national food price index...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Diao, Xinshen, Kennedy, Adam, Mabiso, Athur, Pradesha, Angga
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2013
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153588
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author Diao, Xinshen
Kennedy, Adam
Mabiso, Athur
Pradesha, Angga
author_browse Diao, Xinshen
Kennedy, Adam
Mabiso, Athur
Pradesha, Angga
author_facet Diao, Xinshen
Kennedy, Adam
Mabiso, Athur
Pradesha, Angga
author_sort Diao, Xinshen
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description We study the impact of export bans in Tanzania using a computable general equilibrium model. We find that although maize is an important food crop in Tanzania, its contribution to food price inflation is rather limited, and that banning cross-border maize exports lowers the national food price index by only 0.6-2.4 percent compared with the free-export scenario. The benefits of lower prices are captured primarily by urban households, but maize producer prices decrease by 7-26 percent, depending on the region. We also find that the export ban decreases the wage rate for low-skilled labor and the returns to land, while returns to nonagricultural capital and wage rate for the skilled labor increase, further hurting poor rural households and thus increasing poverty for the country as a whole.
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spelling CGSpace1535882025-11-06T05:45:21Z Economywide impact of maize export bans on agricultural growth and household welfare in Tanzania: A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model Analysis Diao, Xinshen Kennedy, Adam Mabiso, Athur Pradesha, Angga exports commodities staple foods maize computable general equilibrium models export controls trade policies food prices volatility price volatility commodity markets households We study the impact of export bans in Tanzania using a computable general equilibrium model. We find that although maize is an important food crop in Tanzania, its contribution to food price inflation is rather limited, and that banning cross-border maize exports lowers the national food price index by only 0.6-2.4 percent compared with the free-export scenario. The benefits of lower prices are captured primarily by urban households, but maize producer prices decrease by 7-26 percent, depending on the region. We also find that the export ban decreases the wage rate for low-skilled labor and the returns to land, while returns to nonagricultural capital and wage rate for the skilled labor increase, further hurting poor rural households and thus increasing poverty for the country as a whole. 2013 2024-10-01T13:56:46Z 2024-10-01T13:56:46Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153588 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Diao, Xinshen; Kennedy, Adam; Mabiso, Athur and Pradesha, Angga. 2013. Economywide impact of maize export bans on agricultural growth and household welfare in Tanzania: A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model Analysis. IFPRI Discussion Paper 1287. ashington, D.C.: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153588
spellingShingle exports
commodities
staple foods
maize
computable general equilibrium models
export controls
trade policies
food prices
volatility
price volatility
commodity markets
households
Diao, Xinshen
Kennedy, Adam
Mabiso, Athur
Pradesha, Angga
Economywide impact of maize export bans on agricultural growth and household welfare in Tanzania: A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model Analysis
title Economywide impact of maize export bans on agricultural growth and household welfare in Tanzania: A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model Analysis
title_full Economywide impact of maize export bans on agricultural growth and household welfare in Tanzania: A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model Analysis
title_fullStr Economywide impact of maize export bans on agricultural growth and household welfare in Tanzania: A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Economywide impact of maize export bans on agricultural growth and household welfare in Tanzania: A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model Analysis
title_short Economywide impact of maize export bans on agricultural growth and household welfare in Tanzania: A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model Analysis
title_sort economywide impact of maize export bans on agricultural growth and household welfare in tanzania a dynamic computable general equilibrium model analysis
topic exports
commodities
staple foods
maize
computable general equilibrium models
export controls
trade policies
food prices
volatility
price volatility
commodity markets
households
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153588
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AT kennedyadam economywideimpactofmaizeexportbansonagriculturalgrowthandhouseholdwelfareintanzaniaadynamiccomputablegeneralequilibriummodelanalysis
AT mabisoathur economywideimpactofmaizeexportbansonagriculturalgrowthandhouseholdwelfareintanzaniaadynamiccomputablegeneralequilibriummodelanalysis
AT pradeshaangga economywideimpactofmaizeexportbansonagriculturalgrowthandhouseholdwelfareintanzaniaadynamiccomputablegeneralequilibriummodelanalysis