Snow cover and precipitation impacts on dry season streamflow in the Lower Mekong Basin

Climate change impacts on dry season streamflow in the Mekong River are relatively understudied, despite the fact that water availability during this time is critically important for agricultural and ecological systems. Analyses of two gauging stations (Vientiane and Kratie) in the Lower Mekong Basi...

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Autores principales: Cook, B.I., Bell, Andrew, Anchukaitis, K.J., Buckley, B.M.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: American Geophysical Union 2012
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153287
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author Cook, B.I.
Bell, Andrew
Anchukaitis, K.J.
Buckley, B.M.
author_browse Anchukaitis, K.J.
Bell, Andrew
Buckley, B.M.
Cook, B.I.
author_facet Cook, B.I.
Bell, Andrew
Anchukaitis, K.J.
Buckley, B.M.
author_sort Cook, B.I.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Climate change impacts on dry season streamflow in the Mekong River are relatively understudied, despite the fact that water availability during this time is critically important for agricultural and ecological systems. Analyses of two gauging stations (Vientiane and Kratie) in the Lower Mekong Basin (LMB) show significant positive correlations between dry season (March through May, MAM) discharge and upper basin snow cover and local precipitation. Using snow cover, precipitation, and upstream discharge as predictors, we develop skillful regression models for MAM streamflow at Vientiane and Kratie, and force these models with output from a suite of general circulation model (GCM) experiments for the twentieth and twenty‐first centuries. The GCM simulations predict divergent trends in snow cover (decreasing) and precipitation (increasing) over the twenty‐first century, driving overall negligible long‐term trends in dry season streamflow. Our study demonstrates how future changes in dry season streamflow in the LMB will depend on changes in snow cover and precipitation, factors that will need to be considered when assessing the full basin response to other climatic and non‐climatic drivers.
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spelling CGSpace1532872025-02-19T14:07:03Z Snow cover and precipitation impacts on dry season streamflow in the Lower Mekong Basin Cook, B.I. Bell, Andrew Anchukaitis, K.J. Buckley, B.M. climate change precipitation snow cover stream flow Climate change impacts on dry season streamflow in the Mekong River are relatively understudied, despite the fact that water availability during this time is critically important for agricultural and ecological systems. Analyses of two gauging stations (Vientiane and Kratie) in the Lower Mekong Basin (LMB) show significant positive correlations between dry season (March through May, MAM) discharge and upper basin snow cover and local precipitation. Using snow cover, precipitation, and upstream discharge as predictors, we develop skillful regression models for MAM streamflow at Vientiane and Kratie, and force these models with output from a suite of general circulation model (GCM) experiments for the twentieth and twenty‐first centuries. The GCM simulations predict divergent trends in snow cover (decreasing) and precipitation (increasing) over the twenty‐first century, driving overall negligible long‐term trends in dry season streamflow. Our study demonstrates how future changes in dry season streamflow in the LMB will depend on changes in snow cover and precipitation, factors that will need to be considered when assessing the full basin response to other climatic and non‐climatic drivers. 2012-08-27 2024-10-01T13:55:54Z 2024-10-01T13:55:54Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153287 en Limited Access American Geophysical Union Cook, B.I.; Bell, Andrew; Anchukaitis, K.J.; Buckley, B.M. 2012. Snow cover and precipitation impacts on dry season streamflow in the Lower Mekong Basin. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 117(D16): D16116
spellingShingle climate change
precipitation
snow cover
stream flow
Cook, B.I.
Bell, Andrew
Anchukaitis, K.J.
Buckley, B.M.
Snow cover and precipitation impacts on dry season streamflow in the Lower Mekong Basin
title Snow cover and precipitation impacts on dry season streamflow in the Lower Mekong Basin
title_full Snow cover and precipitation impacts on dry season streamflow in the Lower Mekong Basin
title_fullStr Snow cover and precipitation impacts on dry season streamflow in the Lower Mekong Basin
title_full_unstemmed Snow cover and precipitation impacts on dry season streamflow in the Lower Mekong Basin
title_short Snow cover and precipitation impacts on dry season streamflow in the Lower Mekong Basin
title_sort snow cover and precipitation impacts on dry season streamflow in the lower mekong basin
topic climate change
precipitation
snow cover
stream flow
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153287
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AT buckleybm snowcoverandprecipitationimpactsondryseasonstreamflowinthelowermekongbasin